Home » NFL betting: odds, picks and how to bet

NFL betting: odds, picks and how to bet

Betting on the NFL is legal for more than half the country now, and the ads make it feel universal. It is not. Roughly 30 states run licensed online markets, a handful more allow only retail betting, and the three biggest states in the union still allow neither. So NFL betting in the US starts with one unglamorous question, where are you standing, and this page answers it first. After that: how the odds are read, what the markets mean, when the season’s key dates fall, and where our picks and futures coverage lives. 21+ in most states.

NFL odds this week

Lines for the coming week post within hours of Sunday’s final whistle. Books hang openers Sunday night or Monday, reprice as injury reports firm up Wednesday through Friday, and settle by the weekend. Quarterback news moves numbers more than everything else combined. During the season this section carries the full slate with current spreads, totals and moneylines. Whatever you see quoted anywhere on this page is a snapshot at the time of writing; lines move constantly.

One habit worth building before Week 1: hold accounts at more than one book. The same game is priced slightly differently across sportsbooks, and over a season those half-point and five-cent differences compound into real money. One account is a price-taker. Three accounts is a market.

Where NFL betting is legal in the US

The short version: about 30 states plus DC license online sportsbooks, and if you are in one of them you can open an account and bet this afternoon. The biggest regulated markets are New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Illinois and Massachusetts, with Arizona, Colorado, Virginia, Maryland, Tennessee, Louisiana, Kentucky, North Carolina and most of the Northeast alongside them. Missouri joined most recently. Our state explainers cover the rules, books and quirks of each market.

How you can betWhere that applies
Online sportsbooks, full marketsAround 30 states and DC, including NY, NJ, PA, OH, MI, IL, MA, AZ, CO, VA, MD, TN, LA, KY, NC and MO
Retail sportsbooks only (casino locations)A small group, including South Dakota, Wisconsin and New Mexico
Online through one designated operatorA few states run a single-operator model rather than an open market, Florida among them
No legal sports betting yetCalifornia, Texas, Georgia, Minnesota, Utah, Alabama, Oklahoma and a handful of others

Statuses move; this table reflects the map at the time of writing, and the individual state explainers stay current on the details.

Then there are the holdouts, and they are not small ones. California, Texas and Georgia, home to about a quarter of NFL fandom between them, have no legal online sports betting. If that is you, the regulated options are prediction markets and sweepstakes-model operators rather than conventional sportsbooks, and the difference matters; the next section covers both.

One rule travels everywhere: regulated apps verify your location at bet time. You bet where you are standing, not where you live.

No sportsbook in your state? Prediction markets and sweepstakes

Two products fill the gap in the holdout states, and they are not the same thing. Prediction markets like Kalshi are federally regulated exchanges where you trade event contracts on game outcomes; prices behave like odds, but you are trading against other users rather than betting against a book, and the products are available in most states regardless of sports betting law. Sweepstakes operators run a dual-currency model that works in most of the country under sweepstakes law rather than gambling law. Both are real, regulated routes, and both come with their own fine print. Our prediction markets guide explains how event contracts work, our Kalshi vs Polymarket breakdown compares the two big exchanges, and our sweepstakes casinos guide covers that model’s rules.

NFL betting markets at a glance

Six markets cover almost every NFL bet placed. One line each here; the practical how-to lives in our beginner guide once the season nears.

MarketWhat it isWorth knowing
MoneylinePick the winner, nothing elseThe right first bet; the price carries the mismatch
Point spreadBeat the book’s margin, not just winThe NFL’s signature market; usually -110 both sides
Totals (over/under)Combined points, over or under the numberWeather and pace move these more than names do
Player and game propsSide markets on players and eventsThe fastest-growing segment; menus vary wildly by book
ParlaysChained bets, multiplied odds and riskHeavily promoted because margins are the widest in the building
FuturesSeason-long: Super Bowl, divisions, win totals, MVPBest prices exist before anyone is sure of anything

How NFL odds are priced

American odds run on a simple pair of rules. A negative number shows what you risk to win $100: at -110, you stake $110 to win $100. A positive number shows what $100 wins: at +150, a $100 bet returns $150 in profit. The standard spread price is -110 on both sides, and the gap between those two -110s is the book’s cut.

The football-specific knowledge worth having early is the key numbers. NFL games land on a final margin of exactly 3 more than any other number, with 7 close behind, because that is how field goals and converted touchdowns score. A spread moving across 3 or 7 changes real win probability more than any other single point, which is why the market defends those numbers so hard.

Here is a real-shaped Sunday line, read aloud. Chiefs -3.5 (-110), Broncos +3.5 (-110), total 44.5: Kansas City favored by three and a half, either side of the spread costs $110 to win $100, and the combined score is priced around 44 or 45 points. The moneyline on the same game might read Chiefs -180, Broncos +155. No points involved there, just the winner.

The NFL season: key dates

WhenWhat
Early AugustPreseason; futures reprice on camp news
9 September 2026Season kickoff, a Wednesday night: Seahawks and Patriots replay the Super Bowl
13 September 2026Week 1 Sunday slate; season-long markets tighten from here
Late NovemberThanksgiving triple-header
10 January 2027Week 18 wraps; resting starters wrecks lines
From 16 January 2027Playoffs, 14 teams, single elimination
14 February 2027Super Bowl LXI, the biggest betting day of the year

Sunday windows open at 1:00 p.m. ET with late games at 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET, and Thursday and Monday night games around 8:15 p.m. ET.

How the game is played, in one minute

An offense gets four downs to gain ten yards; make it and the count resets, fall short and the ball changes hands, which is why fourth down usually means a punt. Touchdowns score six plus a kicked extra point for seven, or a two-point try. Field goals score three. Those values are the entire reason 3 and 7 rule the spread market.

Games run four 15-minute quarters across about three hours of real time, and the clock stops constantly: incompletions, out-of-bounds plays, the two-minute warnings, reviews. A regular-season game that ends level goes to one 10-minute overtime where both teams get the ball under the rules rewritten in 2025; it can still finish tied, which refunds a two-way moneyline at most books, and overtime points count toward the total. Playoff games play on until someone wins. College football settles things differently, with alternating possessions from the 25-yard line, so do not let Saturday habits price your Sunday bets. The full beginner’s guide to how the NFL works, overtime rules included, goes much deeper.

Watching the NFL, and betting while you do

Sunday afternoon games split between CBS and FOX by conference, Sunday night belongs to NBC, Monday night to ESPN and ABC, and Thursday night streams on Prime Video. Out-of-market Sunday games live on NFL Sunday Ticket through YouTube. Every regulated sportsbook runs live in-game markets during broadcasts, and a few stream games inside the app for account holders. Live betting rewards the viewer who notices things before the algorithm reprices them; it punishes everyone else, so treat in-game markets as a discipline of their own.

The best sportsbooks for NFL betting

Every major regulated book prices the NFL hard, but they are not interchangeable: streaming, prop depth, same game parlay tools and payout speed vary a lot. Our full reviews cover BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars and bet365, and the wider sportsbooks hub ranks everything we rate. Our ranking of the best NFL betting sites scores each book on its football product specifically.

How NFL betting promos actually work

US books compete loudly on welcome offers, and the mechanics matter more than the headline number. Most offers pay out in bonus bets rather than withdrawable cash: win with a bonus bet and you keep the winnings but not the stake. First-bet offers refund a losing opening wager in bonus bets, which is insurance, not free money. Profit boosts sweeten the odds on a single bet and are usually the cleanest value on the menu. Read the playthrough terms before you deposit, compare offers across two or three books rather than taking the first one advertised at you, and remember the promo exists because the lifetime math favors the house.

NFL picks and predictions

Weekly picks for the 2026 season land in September: every game called straight up and against the spread, best bets flagged, reasoning written out, record published. Straight up answers who wins; against the spread answers who beats the number, and a team can win the game while losing you the bet. Our weekly coverage gives both, because they serve different bets. Until then, the honest advice fits in a sentence: bet less than feels exciting, and never chase a bad Sunday into Monday night.

NFL futures and season-long markets

Futures are where books hold their biggest margins and where the best prices exist before anyone is sure of anything. Super Bowl winner is the headline market, but the deeper menu is where value hides: division winners, team win totals priced as overs and unders, and the awards markets led by MVP, where a quarterback on a winning team is nearly always the profile that cashes. Odds shorten fast on winners and drift on losers, so timing matters more here than in any weekly market. Dedicated futures pages with maintained odds are on the way.

Betting the NFL responsibly

The legal age is 21 in most states, 18 in a few. Set deposit limits inside the app before the season starts, not after a bad week. Every regulated book carries limit and self-exclusion tools, and if betting stops being entertainment, help is free: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. More resources are on our gambling awareness page.

NFL betting FAQ

Is NFL betting legal in my state?

In about 30 states plus DC, yes, through licensed online sportsbooks. A few states are retail-only, and California, Texas and Georgia have no legal sports betting at all yet. The state explainers linked above cover each market’s specifics.

What does -110 mean?

Risk $110 to win $100. It is the standard price on point spreads and totals, and the ten-dollar difference is the book’s margin.

Can I bet on the NFL in California or Texas?

Not through a licensed sportsbook. Regulated prediction markets and sweepstakes-model operators are the compliant alternatives there, and they work differently enough that reading up first is worth it.

What time do NFL games start?

Sundays at 1:00 p.m. ET, 4:05 or 4:25 p.m. ET, and 8:20 p.m. ET, with Thursday and Monday night games around 8:15 p.m. ET. West Coast bettors, subtract three hours.

Are sports betting winnings taxable?

Yes. Gambling winnings are taxable income federally, books issue tax forms above certain thresholds, and several states tax them too. Keep records, and treat this as general information rather than tax advice.

What is the point spread?

The market that levels a mismatch: the favorite must win by more than the number, the underdog covers by staying within it or winning outright. A -6.5 favorite has to win by 7.

Which sportsbook is best for the NFL?

It depends what you bet. Our reviews score each book on streaming, props, parlays and payouts; BetMGM currently rates highest overall, and the right answer for a props bettor differs from a streamer’s.

21+ in most states (18+ in some) | Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds referenced at time of writing and subject to change.