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Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders Odds & Predictions

AFCAFC WestPower rank #26 of 32
3-32026 record

Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Raiders game this season, plus AFC West standings and Super Bowl odds.

Squawka SignalSignal vs market

Raiders 2026 outlook

5.4%Make playoffs
0.6%Win AFC West
0.0%No.1 seed
0.0%Win AFC
0.0%Win Super Bowl
MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
Raiders Super Bowl oddsFull odds0.0%0.5%0.4%-0.5Fair
Raiders AFC Championship oddsFull odds0.0%0.5%2.0%-1.9Fair
Raiders AFC West odds0.6%Signal read
Next game · Week 7LAvs Los Angeles RamsRead the previewSun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET

Moneyline

Squawka33% (+203)
Market37% (+170)
Gap-3.4 pts

Against the spread

ProjectedLV +4.6
MarketLV +3.5
Total48.5

Signal read

Lay
Spread 
Rams
KalshiPolymarketProphetX

Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

AFC West standings and division odds

Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

TeamRecordWin AFC WestPlayoffs
KCKansas City Chiefs5-062.1%95.0%
DENDenver Broncos4-237.3%89.6%
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-30.6%5.4%
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-60.0%0.0%
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Las Vegas Raiders schedule, results and lines

Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

WK 1vsMIAMiami DolphinsSun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET64%win prob-3.9proj lineW 27–13FinalRead preview
WK 2@LACLos Angeles ChargersSun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET43%win prob+1.9proj lineW 26–14FinalRead preview
WK 3@NONew Orleans SaintsSun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET44%win prob+1.6proj lineW 35–27FinalRead preview
WK 4vsKCKansas City ChiefsSun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET29%win prob+6.0proj lineL 27–30FinalRead preview
WK 5@NENew England PatriotsSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET19%win prob+9.5proj lineL 17–45FinalRead preview
WK 6vsBUFBuffalo BillsSun Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET19%win prob+9.4proj lineL 30–33FinalRead preview
WK 7vsLALos Angeles RamsSun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET33%win prob+4.6proj line+3.5market lineRead preview
WK 8@NYJNew York JetsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET54%win prob-0.9proj line-100market price
WK 9@SFSan Francisco 49ersSun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET18%win prob+10.1proj line–market
WK 10vsSEASeattle SeahawksSun Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET29%win prob+5.8proj line–market
WK 11@DENDenver BroncosSun Nov 22, 4:25 PM ET18%win prob+9.7proj line–market
WK 12@CLECleveland BrownsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET49%win prob+0.3proj line–market
WK 13Bye week
WK 14vsLACLos Angeles ChargersSun Dec 13, 4:05 PM ET53%win prob-0.7proj line–market
WK 15vsDENDenver BroncosSun Dec 20, 4:25 PM ET25%win prob+7.1proj line–market
WK 16vsTENTennessee TitansSun Dec 27, 4:05 PM ET74%win prob-6.7proj line–market
WK 17@ARIArizona CardinalsSun Jan 3, 4:05 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line–market
WK 18@KCKansas City Chiefs FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET21%win prob+8.6proj line–market

Raiders injury report

No weekly designations filed yet for Week 7.

Out long-term

PlayerPosStatus
Chigozie AnusiemCBIR
Keyron CrawfordDEIR
Justin PickettGIR
Brennan JacksonLBIR
Chris CollierRBIR
Carter RunyonTEIR
Dont'e Thornton Jr.WRIR
Jack BechWRIR

Las Vegas Raiders roster

78 players · tap to open

Offense 39

#PlayerPosExpCollege
8Kirk CousinsQB15Michigan State
15Fernando MendozaQBIndiana
12Aidan O'ConnellQB4Purdue
33Chris CollierRB2Lock Haven
37Roman HembyRBIndiana
2Ashton JeantyRB2Boise State
4Mike Washington Jr.RBArkansas
23Dylan LaubeRB3New Hampshire
30Owen WrightRB2Monmouth
34Connor HeywardFB5Michigan State
18Jack BechWR2TCU
19Malik BensonWROregon
16Phillip Dorsett IIWR9Miami (FL)
10Dont'e Thornton Jr.WR2Tennessee
9Jalen NailorWR5Michigan State
83Deven ThompkinsWR5Utah State
88Jamari ThrashWR3Louisville
1Tre TuckerWR4Cincinnati
82Cody WhiteWR6Michigan State
81Dareke YoungWR5Lenoir-Rhyne
89Brock BowersTE3Georgia
45Patrick GurdTECincinnati
87Michael MayerTE4Notre Dame
84Carter RunyonTE2Towson
80Ian ThomasTE9Indiana
65Tyler LinderbaumC5Iowa
67Will PutnamC2Clemson
70Spencer BurfordG5UTSA
77Bryce CabeldueG2Kansas
77Justin PickettGDuke
76Caleb RogersG2Texas Tech
66Trey Zuhn IIIOGTexas A&M
71DJ GlazeOT3Maryland
60Charles GrantT2William & Mary
73Niklas HenningTQueens
78Amari KightT1UCF
74Kolton MillerT9UCLA
75Darian KinnardOL4Kentucky
58Jackson Powers-JohnsonOL3Oregon

Defense 35

#PlayerPosExpCollege
42Keyron CrawfordDEAuburn
98Maxx CrosbyDE8Eastern Michigan
93Patrick JohnsonDE6Tulane
51Malcolm KoonceDE6Buffalo
52Azeez OjulariDE6Georgia
95Kwity PayeDE6Michigan
48Cian SloneDENC State
69Adam ButlerDT9Vanderbilt
90Brandon ClevelandDTNC State
94Folorunso FatukasiDT8UConn
97Tonka HemingwayDT2South Carolina
91Tim Keenan IIIDTAlabama
99Thomas Booker IVDT4Stanford
96Jonah LauluDT3Oklahoma
92JJ PeguesDT2Ole Miss
17Nakobe DeanLB5Georgia
44Tommy EichenbergLB3Ohio State
54Brennan JacksonLB3Washington State
55Cody LindenbergLB2Minnesota
57Cameron McGroneLB3Michigan
50Segun OlubiLB4San Diego State
7Quay WalkerLB5Georgia
29Chigozie AnusiemCB2Colorado State
3Taron JohnsonCB9Weber State
25Darrell Luter Jr.CB4South Alabama
35Hezekiah MassesCBCalifornia
28Jermod McCoyCBTennessee
26Darien PorterCB2Iowa State
5Eric StokesCB6Georgia
22Greedy VanceCB2USC
11Jeremy ChinnSAF7Southern Illinois
43Dalton JohnsonSAFArizona
27Tristin McCollumSAF3Sam Houston
20Isaiah Pola-MaoSAF5USC
31Treydan StukesSAFArizona

Special teams 4

#PlayerPosExpCollege
14Matt GayK7Utah
38Kansei MatsuzawaKHawai'i
6AJ ColeP8NC State
47Alex WardLS4UCF

Las Vegas Raiders FAQ

What are the Raiders’ Super Bowl odds?

Squawka Signal gives the Raiders a 0.0% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 0.5%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.

Can the Raiders win the AFC West?

The model makes them 0.6% to win the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs are favoured at 62.1%.

Will the Raiders make the playoffs?

Signal has them at 5.4% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.

Who do the Raiders play next?

Week 7, at home to Los Angeles Rams on Sun Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET. Signal makes the Raiders 33% with a projected line of LV +4.6. Read our full preview.

Who is the Raiders’ starting quarterback?

Kirk Cousins. That is the projected starter our model rates the Raiders on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.

What record are the Raiders projected to finish with?

Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 6-11 (6.4 wins).

When is the Raiders’ bye week?

Week 13 of the 2026 season.

What is the Raiders’ power ranking?

Signal ranks them #26 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.

Where do the Raiders play?

Las Vegas Raiders play their home games at Allegiant Stadium.