This week Squawka Signal calls 9 Liga MX fixtures. Its most confident pick is Toluca 2-0 Juárez — Toluca to win at 79%. Through 48 graded picks this season, Signal is running at 48% on Liga MX results.
Squawka’s Liga MX predictions cover every fixture in the Apertura — a projected scoreline and a win probability for each match, built by our data model, Squawka Signal.
This is new for the 2026 season. The card below runs through the next seven days of Liga MX action. For each game you get the most likely scoreline, the team the model favors, its win probability, and a direct link to trade or bet the call. And it refreshes every matchday, so each prediction sharpens as kickoff nears.
So how does it work? Signal is a team-strength model. It rates every Liga MX club’s attack and defense from two full seasons of results, it leans on recent form, and it factors in home advantage. It then turns those ratings into the single most likely scoreline for each game. The model draws on the same data that drives Squawka’s match previews. It is also fully transparent, and the AI Predictor methodology spells out exactly how it works.
Liga MX is one of the most competitive leagues in the Americas, and our Liga MX predictions reflect that. When the ratings back a clear favorite, Signal says so. When a match is genuinely even, it tells you that too. We then grade every pick against the real result, out in the open, so the record has to earn its number rather than simply claim one. For the fullest read on a game, pair the prediction with our Liga MX match previews, where you will also find team news and probable lineups.
Liga MX Predictions: AI Score Picks For Every Match
Updated 30 Aug 2026, 07:05 ET · next seven days of fixtures
Recent results
Where you can act on a pick depends on where you are. Pick your region: US readers get the Kalshi prediction-market contract for each match; readers elsewhere get bet365 odds. The Signal pick itself is the same either way.
How to read it: the pick is Signal’s single most likely scoreline; the % is the model’s estimated chance the favored team wins the match — not the chance of that exact scoreline.
Matchday · Aug 30 ET
Matchday · Sep 4–5 ET
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How to read Squawka’s Liga MX predictions
Each row gives you three things: the scoreline Signal thinks is most likely, the side it favors, and how confident it is. A pick at 60% or higher is a firm lean. Anything near 40% is close to a coin toss, and we would rather tell you that than dress it up. So use the win probability, not just the scoreline, to judge how strong a call really is.
These Liga MX predictions update every matchday through the 2026 season, so check back during the week as fresh games move into the seven-day window. And for the biggest fixtures, read the Liga MX predictions here alongside the full match preview before you back anything.
More from the AI Predictor
- How the AI Predictor works — the full methodology, and how we measure it
- Liga MX on Squawka US — previews, stats, and analysis across the league
Latest Liga MX news
Match previews, player stats, and analysis from across the league are on the Liga MX desk.