Our Correct Score predictions for this week, lifted from every Squawka match preview. Each named scoreline carries the live bet365 price, our confidence rating, and a link to the full preview.
Correct Score is the highest-difficulty market on the soccer card. So a single, exact prediction of the final regulation-time scoreline. The payouts reflect that difficulty. For instance, a moderately likely 2-1 home win prices in the +650 to +900 range. Furthermore, a 4-3 thriller can land at +5000 or longer.
This week’s Correct Score predictions
The table pulls every Correct Score call from this week’s previews, sorted by kickoff. Each match link opens the full preview. There you’ll find the reasoning, recent form, key stats and the other Best Bets we have spotted. For a mixed tip card across all markets, see the main soccer predictions page.
What are Correct Score predictions?
Correct Score predictions name the exact final scoreline of a match in regulation time. So a 1-0 home win, a 2-2 draw, a 3-1 away win — every outcome is a separate selection. Furthermore, only the exact match wins. There are no consolation prizes for being one goal off.
Sportsbooks typically list scorelines from 0-0 up to around 5-5. Anything beyond that goes into an “Any Other Score” line. As a result, the market sits at the high-risk, high-reward end of the soccer card. Small stakes, long prices, low strike rate.
How to spot Correct Score predictions value
A Poisson-distribution model drives Correct Score pricing. So sportsbooks weight each side’s expected-goals output, defensive solidity and home-field advantage. Here are the angles our team leans on:
- High-frequency scorelines first. 1-0, 2-1, 1-1 and 2-0 account for roughly 40% of all Premier League matches in an average season. Therefore, anchoring a Correct Score read on one of those scorelines, before reaching for the long shots, improves base-rate strike rate.
- Mismatches with a clear favourite. A side that wins comfortably most weeks at home (xG 1.8+, opponent xG sub-1.0) makes 2-0 or 3-0 a tighter call than the price implies. Furthermore, the model averages the unlikely scorelines into the price. As a result, the high-probability single-goal margin goes under-priced.
- Tight matchups for 0-0 and 1-1. Cup ties, derbies and meetings of disciplined defences regularly finish in single-digit goal totals. Likewise, both sides priced longer than +700 on those scorelines is a regular value pocket.
- Stake sizing matters more here than anywhere. Correct Score strike rates run in the 7%-15% range. So the pricing reflects that. However, stake discipline matters even more on a market this volatile. Therefore, treat each pick as a small unit, not a primary call.
Key stats behind our Correct Score predictions
Before locking in a Correct Score pick, our team runs a few Squawka reads. Furthermore, the table below collects the most useful ones across the four leagues we cover. Use it to sense-check our Correct Score predictions against the underlying numbers.
| Competition | Top scorers | Clean sheets | Attacking stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | View | View | View |
| Champions League | View | View | View |
| MLS | View | View | View |
| Liga MX | View | View | View |
Browse other predictions
Same week, different bet types. Drill into another market or jump back to the cross-comp picks page.
| Bet type | What we cover | Page |
|---|---|---|
| All markets | Cross-competition soccer picks | View all predictions |
| BTTS | Both Teams To Score picks and analysis | View BTTS predictions |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over/Under goals picks and analysis | View Over 2.5 predictions |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Player goalscorer picks and tips | View Goalscorer predictions |
Browse other predictions
Looking for a different bet type? Pick another market or jump back to the full card.
| Bet type | What we cover | Page |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Both Teams to Score Yes/No tips | View BTTS predictions |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Over/Under 2.5 goals tips | View Over 2.5 Goals predictions |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Player goalscorer tips | View Anytime Goalscorer predictions |
| All bet types | This week’s full predictions card | View all soccer predictions |
Where to bet on Correct Score predictions in the US
The odds in our picks table come from bet365, our pricing baseline. Any major US sportsbook carries Correct Score. However, a few stand out for depth of coverage and competitive prices.
bet365 — source of our quoted odds
Every price in our picks table comes directly from bet365. So the fastest path to action is at the book where we sourced the call. Also, bet365 offers Half-Time / Full-Time and Score-Cast variants. For instance, these combine Correct Score with first goalscorer for readers who want to layer in another angle. See our bet365 review or check the latest Correct Score odds at bet365.
Caesars — depth across all soccer competitions
Caesars prices Correct Score deep across MLS, Liga MX, the Premier League and the Champions League. Furthermore, the book runs strong same-day boosts on selected scorelines. Therefore, on a high-confidence Correct Score call, cross-checking Caesars against bet365 is the move. As a result, the gap between the two on a +800 scoreline can be the entire edge. See our Caesars review or open the Caesars Correct Score markets here.
FanDuel — same-game parlay friendly
FanDuel is the strongest fit when combining Correct Score with another leg. For example, 2-1 plus a specific anytime goalscorer in the same scoreline. Furthermore, the same-game parlay pricing on those combinations is among the most generous in the US market. See our FanDuel review or build a Correct Score same-game parlay on FanDuel.
Correct Score predictions FAQs
What do Correct Score predictions mean in soccer betting?
Correct Score predictions name the exact final scoreline of a match in regulation time. So the bet wins only if the prediction matches the final score precisely. Even one goal off and the stake is lost.
Do Correct Score predictions include extra time or penalties?
No. Correct Score markets at US sportsbooks settle on regulation-time goals only. As a result, extra time and penalty shootouts do not count.
What is “Any Other Score” in Correct Score betting?
“Any Other Score” is a catch-all selection. So it wins if the final scoreline falls outside the listed range, typically anything beyond 5-5. The price usually runs long, in the +1500 to +3000 range. However, it’s only relevant on matches with genuine route-one chaos in the build-up.
How often do Correct Score predictions win?
Correct Score strike rates land in the 7%-15% range across an average season. Furthermore, even on the most-priced scorelines, the pattern holds. So the market is built for high-volatility, low-frequency outcomes. Therefore, stake sizing should reflect that.
When are this week’s Correct Score predictions updated?
The picks table refreshes every time a new match preview publishes on Squawka US. In practice, that means Thursday afternoons for MLS and Liga MX fixtures. Also, Friday mornings for the Premier League weekend slate.
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