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    Kansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC WestElo 1550.7 · #16 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Chiefs game this season, plus AFC West standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Chiefs 2026 outlook

    35.6%Make playoffs
    11.0%Win AFC West
    1.4%No.1 seed
    2.0%Win AFC
    0.7%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Chiefs Super Bowl odds0.7%5.1%5.9%-5.2Lay
    Chiefs AFC Championship odds2.0%11.1%10.7%-9.1Lay
    Chiefs AFC West odds11.0%Model read
    Next game · Week 1DENvs Denver BroncosMon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka37% (+170)
    Market56% (-127)
    Gap-19.7 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedKC +3.6
    MarketKC -2.5
    Total43.0

    Signal read

    Strong lay
    Spread 
    Broncos
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC West standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC WestPlayoffs
    DENDenver Broncos–69.2%87.1%
    LACLos Angeles Chargers–19.5%49.6%
    KCKansas City Chiefs–11.0%35.6%
    LVLas Vegas Raiders–0.3%1.6%
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    Kansas City Chiefs schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1vsDENDenver BroncosMon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET37%win prob+3.6proj line-2.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2vsINDIndianapolis ColtsSun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET58%win prob-2.1proj line-285market price
    WK 3@MIAMiami DolphinsSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET49%win prob+0.2proj line–market
    WK 4@LVLas Vegas RaidersSun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET64%win prob-3.8proj line–market
    WK 5Bye week
    WK 6vsLACLos Angeles ChargersSun Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET47%win prob+0.8proj line–market
    WK 7@SEASeattle SeahawksSun Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET26%win prob+6.9proj line–market
    WK 8@DENDenver BroncosSun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET28%win prob+6.2proj line-2.5market line
    WK 9vsNYJNew York JetsSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET71%win prob-6.0proj line–market
    WK 10@ATLAtlanta FalconsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET47%win prob+0.8proj line–market
    WK 11vsARIArizona CardinalsSun Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET68%win prob-4.9proj line–market
    WK 12@BUFBuffalo BillsThu Nov 26, 8:20 PM ET30%win prob+5.5proj line–market
    WK 13@LALos Angeles RamsThu Dec 3, 8:15 PM ET30%win prob+5.5proj line–market
    WK 14@CINCincinnati BengalsSun Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET46%win prob+1.1proj line–market
    WK 15vsNENew England PatriotsMon Dec 21, 8:15 PM ET43%win prob+1.9proj line–market
    WK 16vsSFSan Francisco 49ersSun Dec 27, 4:25 PM ET45%win prob+1.3proj line–market
    WK 17@LACLos Angeles Chargers FlexSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET37%win prob+3.4proj line–market
    WK 18vsLVLas Vegas Raiders FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET73%win prob-6.4proj line–market

    Chiefs injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Chiefs coverage

    Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · Today

    Kansas City Chiefs roster

    74 players · tap to open

    Offense 36

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    6Justin FieldsQB6Ohio State
    15Patrick MahomesQB10Texas Tech
    14Garrett NussmeierQBLSU
    9Kenneth Walker IIIRB5Michigan State
    10Emmett JohnsonRBNebraska
    39Jaydn OttRBOklahoma
    24Brashard SmithRB2SMU
    47Ben VanSumerenFB4Michigan State
    13Cyrus AllenWRCincinnati
    85Andrew ArmstrongWR1Arkansas
    8Jeff CaldwellWRCincinnati
    80Omari EvansWRWashington
    82Jimmy HolidayWR1Louisiana Tech
    81Nikko RemigioWR2Fresno State
    4Rashee RiceWR4SMU
    11Jalen RoyalsWR2Utah State
    2Tyquan ThorntonWR5Baylor
    1Xavier WorthyWR3Texas
    88Jake BriningstoolTE2Clemson
    83Noah GrayTE6Duke
    84John Michael GyllenborgTEWyoming
    87Travis KelceTE14Cincinnati
    Thomas OdukoyaTE2Eastern Michigan
    12Jared WileyTE3TCU
    52Creed HumphreyC6Oklahoma
    50Pete NygraCLouisville
    65Trey SmithG6Tennessee
    73Joshua EzeuduOG5North Carolina
    61Diego PoundsOTOle Miss
    71Josh SimmonsOT2Ohio State
    70Kahlil BensonTIndiana
    75Ethan DriskellT2Marshall
    76Kingsley SuamataiaT3BYU
    66Mike CaliendoOL4Western Michigan
    77Jaylon MooreOL6Western Michigan
    64Hunter NourzadOL3Penn State

    Defense 35

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    91Felix Anudike-UzomahDE4Kansas State
    97Ashton GillotteDE2Louisville
    56George KarlaftisDE5Purdue
    90Emmanuel OgbahDE11Oklahoma State
    57Tyreke SmithDE3Ohio State
    51R Mason ThomasDEOklahoma
    68Marcus HarrisDT1Auburn
    95Chris JonesDT11Mississippi State
    55Omarr Norman-LottDT2Tennessee
    99Peter WoodsDTClemson
    94Bryson EasonDLTennessee
    92Khyiris TongaNT6BYU
    31Jeffrey BassaLB2Oregon
    32Nick BoltonLB6Missouri
    48Cole ChristiansenLB2Army
    43Jack CochraneLB5South Dakota
    45Cam JonesLB3Indiana
    44Cooper McDonaldLB2TCU
    23Drue TranquillLB8Notre Dame
    40Ethan DownsOLB1Oklahoma
    54Jack PyburnOLBLSU
    22Jadon CanadyCBOregon
    5Mansoor DelaneCBLSU
    8Kristian FultonCB6LSU
    26Kader KohouCB5East Texas A&M
    46D'Arco Perkins-McAllisterCBLouisiana-Monroe
    30Chris Roland-WallaceCB3USC
    38L'Jarius SneedCB7Louisiana Tech
    17Alohi GilmanSAF7Notre Dame
    34Tanner McCalisterSAF1Ohio State
    29Xavier NwankpaSAFIowa
    25DeShon SingletonSAFNebraska
    27Chamarri ConnerDB4Virginia Tech
    21Jaden HicksDB3Washington State
    20Nohl WilliamsDB2California

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    7Harrison ButkerK10Georgia Tech
    14Matt AraizaP3San Diego State
    41James WinchesterLS12Oklahoma