Pittsburgh Steelers Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Steelers game this season, plus AFC North standings and Super Bowl odds.
Steelers 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | +0.7 | Fair |
| Steelers AFC Championship oddsFull odds | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | +0.9 | Fair |
| Steelers AFC North odds | 28.0% | Signal read | |||
Moneyline
Against the spread
Signal read
ValueSquawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
AFC North standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win AFC North | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Bengals | 3-2 | 35.6% | 67.4% |
 Baltimore Ravens | 4-2 | 31.8% | 63.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4-2 | 28.0% | 58.7% |
 Cleveland Browns | 4-2 | 4.7% | 15.5% |
Pittsburgh Steelers schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
New Orleans Saints Neutral siteSun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET69%win prob-5.1proj line-3.0market lineRead preview
Steelers injury report
Official designations for Week 7.
| Player | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Skowronek | WR | Out | Calf | DNP |
| Brandin Echols | CB | Out | Hamstring | DNP |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | Questionable | Knee | Limited |
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Lee | DL | IR |
| Derrick Harmon | DT | IR |
| Sebastian Joseph-Day | DT | IR |
| Gennings Dunker | G | IR |
| Jack Driscoll | OT | IR |
| DeShon Elliott | SAF | IR |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | IR |
| Roman Wilson | WR | IR |
| Donte Kent | CB | PUP |
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78 players · tap to open
Offense 37
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Drew Allar | QB | Penn State | |
| 18 | Will Howard | QB | 2 | Ohio State |
| 8 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | 22 | California |
| 2 | Mason Rudolph | QB | 9 | Oklahoma State |
| 13 | Rico Dowdle | RB | 7 | South Carolina |
| 29 | Eli Heidenreich | RB | Navy | |
| 21 | Travis Homer | RB | 8 | Miami (FL) |
| 31 | Lew Nichols | RB | 1 | Central Michigan |
| 30 | Jaylen Warren | RB | 5 | Oklahoma State |
| 37 | Riley Nowakowski | FB | Indiana | |
| 17 | Germie Bernard | WR | Alabama | |
| 82 | Isaiah Hodgins | WR | 5 | Oregon State |
| 84 | Max Hurleman | WR | 1 | Notre Dame |
| 89 | Brandon Johnson | WR | 3 | UCF |
| 11 | Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | 7 | USC |
| 4 | DK Metcalf | WR | 8 | Ole Miss |
| 15 | Ben Skowronek | WR | 6 | Notre Dame |
| 87 | Brandon Smith | WR | 1 | Iowa |
| 83 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | 9 | South Florida |
| 10 | Kaden Wetjen | WR | Iowa | |
| 14 | Roman Wilson | WR | 3 | Michigan |
| 88 | Pat Freiermuth | TE | 6 | Penn State |
| 81 | Lake McRee | TE | USC | |
| 85 | Robert Tonyan | TE | 8 | Indiana State |
| 80 | Darnell Washington | TE | 4 | Georgia |
| 54 | Zach Frazier | C | 3 | West Virginia |
| 62 | Ryan McCollum | C | 4 | Texas A&M |
| 73 | Gennings Dunker | G | Iowa | |
| 67 | Brock Hoffman | G | 5 | Virginia Tech |
| 66 | Mason McCormick | G | 3 | South Dakota State |
| 60 | Dylan Cook | OT | 3 | Montana |
| 68 | Jack Driscoll | OT | 6 | Auburn |
| 76 | Troy Fautanu | OT | 3 | Washington |
| 71 | Max Iheanachor | OT | Arizona State | |
| 74 | Spencer Anderson | OL | 4 | Maryland |
| 79 | Steven Jones | OL | 1 | Oregon |
| 72 | Doug Nester | OL | 1 | West Virginia |
Defense 38
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | Gabriel Rubio | DE | Notre Dame | |
| 65 | Kyler Baugh | DT | 1 | Minnesota |
| 95 | Keeanu Benton | DT | 4 | Wisconsin |
| 99 | Derrick Harmon | DT | 2 | Oregon |
| 97 | Cameron Heyward | DT | 16 | Ohio State |
| 69 | Sebastian Joseph-Day | DT | 8 | Rutgers |
| 93 | Esezi Otomewo | DT | 4 | Minnesota |
| 94 | Yahya Black | DL | 2 | Iowa |
| 92 | Kevin Jobity Jr. | DL | Syracuse | |
| 91 | Logan Lee | DL | 3 | Iowa |
| 44 | Carson Bruener | LB | 2 | Washington |
| 57 | KJ Henry | LB | 3 | Clemson |
| 51 | Nick Herbig | LB | 4 | Wisconsin |
| 56 | Alex Highsmith | LB | 7 | Charlotte |
| 55 | Cole Holcomb | LB | 8 | North Carolina |
| 48 | Marte Mapu | LB | 4 | Sacramento State |
| 6 | Patrick Queen | LB | 7 | LSU |
| 50 | Elandon Roberts | LB | 10 | Houston |
| 33 | Jack Sawyer | LB | 2 | Ohio State |
| 90 | T.J. Watt | LB | 10 | Wisconsin |
| 45 | Julius Welschof | LB | 1 | Charlotte |
| 41 | Payton Wilson | LB | 3 | NC State |
| 53 | Jacoby Windmon | LB | 2 | Michigan State |
| 35 | Jamel Dean | CB | 8 | Auburn |
| 26 | Brandin Echols | CB | 6 | Kentucky |
| 23 | Daylen Everette | CB | Georgia | |
| 22 | Asante Samuel Jr. | CB | 6 | Florida State |
| 34 | Donte Kent | CB | 2 | Central Michigan |
| 27 | Sean Murphy-Bunting | CB | 7 | Central Michigan |
| 5 | Jalen Ramsey | CB | 11 | Florida State |
| 38 | Darius Rush | CB | 3 | South Carolina |
| 39 | Terell Smith | CB | 5 | Minnesota |
| 3 | Jaquan Brisker | SAF | 5 | Penn State |
| 25 | DeShon Elliott | SAF | 9 | Texas |
| 28 | Robert Spears-Jennings | SAF | Oklahoma | |
| 49 | Sebastian Castro | DB | 2 | Iowa |
| 40 | Doneiko Slaughter | DB | 1 | Arkansas |
| 42 | Car'lin Vigers | DB | 1 | Louisiana-Monroe |
Special teams 3
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chris Boswell | K | 12 | Rice |
| 19 | Cameron Johnston | P | 9 | Ohio State |
| 46 | Christian Kuntz | LS | 6 | Duquesne |
Pittsburgh Steelers FAQ
What are the Steelers’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Steelers a 1.5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 0.7%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Steelers win the AFC North?
The model makes them 28.0% to win the AFC North. The Cincinnati Bengals are favoured at 35.6%.
Will the Steelers make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 58.7% to reach the postseason, and 1.4% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.
Who do the Steelers play next?
Week 7, away at New Orleans Saints on Sun Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET. Signal makes the Steelers 69% with a projected line of PIT -5.1. Read our full preview.
Who is the Steelers’ starting quarterback?
Aaron Rodgers. That is the projected starter our model rates the Steelers on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Steelers projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 10-7 (9.9 wins).
When is the Steelers’ bye week?
Week 9 of the 2026 season.
What is the Steelers’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #12 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Steelers play?
Pittsburgh Steelers play their home games at Acrisure Stadium.