New York rate 104.5 through the air and are 2-6. They finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, which is most of the explanation. Our Jets vs Chiefs prediction sends them to Arrowhead.
The Kansas City Chiefs run for 5.08 yards a carry, the best average in the league, and have conceded 12 touchdowns in seven games. The New York Jets have taken 64 penalties.
New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs
New York JetsSquawka16%Market20%▼ Slight lay
Kansas City ChiefsSquawka84%Market80%▲ ValueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Jets vs Chiefs: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jets vs Chiefs: 2026 form so far
A 5-2 team against a 2-6 team that moves the ball and does not finish. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Jets attack against the Chiefs defense
| Per game | Jets offense | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 214.9 | 222.9 |
| Rushing yards | 105.1 | 96.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 104.5 | 80.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.6% | 39.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 42.3% | 38.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.9 | 1.3 |
Chiefs attack against the Jets defense
| Per game | Chiefs offense | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 249.0 | 194.0 |
| Rushing yards | 134.1 | 123.6 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 99.7 | 101.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.7% | 62.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 2.5 |
Kansas City have conceded nine sacks in seven games and hold opponents to 38.9% in the red zone, both among the best marks in football.
Jets vs Chiefs quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes has 12 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 99.7 and threw three last week. Geno Smith has 12 to three at 104.5.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | Geno Smith | 20/32, 290 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 99.7 rtg | 165/239, 1913 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT, 104.5 rtg (8 games) |
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 30/41, 321 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 120.1 rtg | 154/232, 1795 yds, 12 TD, 4 INT, 99.7 rtg (7 games) |
Jets vs Chiefs injury report and team news
New York finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL.
Kansas City run for 5.08 yards a carry, the highest average in the league.
New York have taken 64 penalties and conceded 23 sacks in eight games.
New York JetsKansas City ChiefsA 104.5 passer rating, and a 2-6 record
A 104.5 team passer rating and 1,719 passing yards, and the Jets have won twice. The red zone is where it goes: 42.3% converted is the worst rate in football.
Add 64 penalties and 23 sacks conceded and the shape of a 2-6 season is clear enough.
Kansas City punish exactly that. They run for 5.08 a carry, concede 12 touchdowns in seven games and hold opponents to 38.9% in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,795 passing yards and 12 touchdowns at 99.7.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average in the NFL at 5.08.
- Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Twelve touchdown passes to three interceptions at 104.5.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,719 yards.
How to watch Jets vs Chiefs
Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Jets vs Chiefs |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Jets vs Chiefs prediction and score projection
Kansas City win 30-13. New York move the ball well enough, but a team that finishes 42.3% of its red-zone trips does not win at Arrowhead.
Signal’s live read on this game updates through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | You are here |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
You can find the full NFL picks page alongside our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in who wins the AFC. Player markets sit with player prop betting.
Jets vs Chiefs FAQ
Kansas City, heavily. Our Signal model has the Chiefs as strong favorites and the live number is in the Signal card on this page. Kansas City are 5-2 at +36; New York are 2-6.
1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT.
Kansas City, at 5.08 yards a carry — the highest average in the NFL.
They finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the league, and have taken 64 penalties.
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