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    Miami Dolphins

    Miami Dolphins Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC EastElo 1470.4 · #26 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Dolphins game this season, plus AFC East standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Dolphins 2026 outlook

    8.4%Make playoffs
    1.8%Win AFC East
    0.1%No.1 seed
    0.2%Win AFC
    0.1%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Dolphins Super Bowl odds0.1%0.5%0.5%-0.5Fair
    Dolphins AFC Championship odds0.2%0.5%0.4%-0.3Fair
    Dolphins AFC East odds1.8%Model read
    Next game · Week 1LVat Las Vegas RaidersSun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka60% (-150)
    Market37% (+170)
    Gap+23.3 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedMIA -2.7
    MarketMIA +3.5
    Total41.0

    Signal read

    Strong value
    Spread 
    Dolphins
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC East standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC EastPlayoffs
    BUFBuffalo Bills–63.8%88.2%
    NENew England Patriots–34.2%71.9%
    MIAMiami Dolphins–1.8%8.4%
    NYJNew York Jets–0.2%1.3%
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    Miami Dolphins schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@LVLas Vegas RaidersSun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line+3.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2@SFSan Francisco 49ersSun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ET32%win prob+5.0proj line+525market price
    WK 3vsKCKansas City ChiefsSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.2proj line–market
    WK 4@MINMinnesota VikingsSun Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET32%win prob+5.1proj line–market
    WK 5vsCINCincinnati BengalsSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.4proj line–market
    WK 6Bye week
    WK 7@NYJNew York JetsSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET59%win prob-2.3proj line–market
    WK 8vsNENew England PatriotsSun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET39%win prob+2.9proj line–market
    WK 9vsDETDetroit LionsSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET41%win prob+2.5proj line–market
    WK 10@INDIndianapolis ColtsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET44%win prob+1.7proj line–market
    WK 11@BUFBuffalo BillsSun Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET27%win prob+6.6proj line–market
    WK 12vsNYJNew York JetsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET68%win prob-4.9proj line–market
    WK 13@DENDenver BroncosSun Dec 6, 4:05 PM ET25%win prob+7.3proj line–market
    WK 14vsCHIChicago BearsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET45%win prob+1.4proj line–market
    WK 15@GBGreen Bay PackersSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET34%win prob+4.3proj line–market
    WK 16vsLACLos Angeles ChargersSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET43%win prob+1.8proj line–market
    WK 17vsBUFBuffalo BillsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET35%win prob+3.9proj line–market
    WK 18@NENew England Patriots FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET30%win prob+5.6proj line–market

    Dolphins injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Dolphins coverage

    Dolphins vs Raiders Prediction & PicksMatch preview · Today

    Miami Dolphins roster

    71 players · tap to open

    Offense 31

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    15Brady CookQB2Missouri
    14Kyle McCordQB1Syracuse
    2Malik WillisQB5Liberty
    28De'Von AchaneRB4Texas A&M
    0Ollie Gordon IIRB2Oklahoma State
    5Jaylen WrightRB3Tennessee
    34DJ HermanFBSan Diego State
    18Chris BellWRLouisville
    7Caleb DouglasWRTexas Tech
    21Kevin Coleman Jr.WRMissouri
    84Ryan MillerWR3Furman
    81Will SheppardWR1Colorado
    1Jalen TolbertWR5South Alabama
    6Malik WashingtonWR3Virginia
    85Greg DulcichTE5UCLA
    80Justin JolyTENorth Carolina State
    82Will KacmarekTEOhio State
    89Ben SimsTE4Baylor
    49Seydou TraoreTEMississippi State
    87Cole TurnerTE3Nevada
    87Tre WatsonTE1Texas A&M
    55Aaron BrewerC7Texas State
    60Andrew MeyerC3UTEP
    63DJ CampbellGTexas
    71Jonah SavaiinaeaG2Arizona
    73Austin JacksonOT7USC
    62Jarrett KingstonOT3USC
    52Patrick PaulOT3Houston
    79Chukwuebuka GodrickT1
    74Kadyn ProctorOLAlabama
    75Caedan WallaceOL3Penn State

    Defense 37

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    98Clelin FerrellDE8Clemson
    90Malik HerringDE6Georgia
    51Robert Beal Jr.DE4Georgia
    57Max LlewellynDEIowa
    44Chop RobinsonDE3Penn State
    9Josh UcheDE7Michigan
    93Zeek BiggersDT2Georgia Tech
    78Kenneth GrantDT2Michigan
    97Keith Cooper Jr.DT1Houston
    94Jordan PhillipsDT2Maryland
    92Zach SielerDT9Ferris State
    91Mazi SmithDT4Michigan
    95Rene KongaDLLouisville
    96Jordan MillerNT1SMU
    50Liam AndersonLB1Holy Cross
    20Jordyn BrooksLB7Texas Tech
    53Amari GainerLB2North Carolina
    56Ronnie Harrison Jr.LB9Alabama
    40Willie Gay Jr.LB7Mississippi State
    19Kyle LouisLBPittsburgh
    17Trey MooreLBTexas
    10Jacob RodriguezLBTexas Tech
    42Jackson WoodardLB1UNLV
    27Ethan BonnerCB3Stanford
    8JuJu BrentsCB4Kansas State
    29Storm DuckCB3Louisville
    24A.J. Green IIICB4Oklahoma State
    3Chris JohnsonCBSan Diego State
    22Darrell Baker Jr.CB4Georgia Southern
    4Jason Marshall Jr.CB2Florida
    24Marcellas Dial Jr.CB3South Carolina
    32Jaylin SimpsonCB1Auburn
    35Reese TaylorCB2Purdue
    23Zayne AndersonSAF4BYU
    11Dante Trader Jr.SAF2Maryland
    16Michael TaaffeSAFTexas
    25Julius WoodSAF2East Carolina

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    47Riley PattersonK6Memphis
    48Bradley PinionP12Clemson
    46Tucker AddingtonLS2Sam Houston