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Texans vs Chargers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction, picks and odds for Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season

The Chargers are 0-7, have scored nine touchdowns and rate 68.9 through the air. Justin Herbert has five touchdown passes to ten interceptions. Our Texans vs Chargers prediction finds a team in freefall.

The Houston Texans are 2-5 but C.J. Stroud has thrown one interception in seven games. The Los Angeles Chargers have conceded 23 sacks.

Squawka Signal · Model vs market

Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Houston Texans favorites by about 2 points, a 58% win probability.

HOUHouston TexansSquawka58%Market66%▼ Slight lay
LACLos Angeles ChargersSquawka42%Market34%▲ Value
Projected lineHouston Texans -2
Against the spreadLos Angeles Chargers +5 — model Houston Texans -2 vs market Houston Texans -5
ValueLos Angeles Chargers — model 42% vs market 34%

Squawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.

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Week 9 · Editorial pick

Texans vs Chargers: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

Texans AT Chargers

Our props

TotalUnder 40.5 pointsThe Chargers have scored nine touchdowns in seven games and hold opponents to 30.6% on third down. Houston have 593 rushing yards, third-lowest in the NFL.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
Player propC.J. Stroud under 1.5 passing touchdownsStroud has 11 in seven games but the Chargers hold opponents to 30.6% on third down, the fourth-best rate in the league.
★★☆☆☆2/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Texans vs Chargers: 2026 form so far

A 2-5 team against a winless one, and the gap is entirely at quarterback. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Texans attack against the Chargers defense

Per gameTexans offenseChargers allow
Passing yards253.4198.4
Rushing yards84.7124.6
Yards per carry3.64.1
Passer rating100.389.5
Touchdowns2.42.7
Third-down conversion37.1%30.6%
Red-zone conversion60.0%50.0%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.11.7

Chargers attack against the Texans defense

Per gameChargers offenseTexans allow
Passing yards177.1244.0
Rushing yards111.198.0
Yards per carry4.03.8
Passer rating68.996.9
Touchdowns1.32.7
Third-down conversion35.1%40.4%
Red-zone conversion47.1%68.4%
Sacks conceded / recorded3.33.0

The Chargers have scored nine touchdowns in seven games. No team in the NFL has fewer, and the next-lowest is Minnesota on 12.

Texans vs Chargers quarterback matchup

C.J. Stroud has 11 touchdown passes to one interception at 100.7. Justin Herbert has five to ten at 69.3.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
TexansC.J. Stroud17/28, 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 99.3 rtg160/247, 1867 yds, 11 TD, 1 INT, 100.7 rtg (7 games)
ChargersJustin Herbert24/32, 257 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 72.0 rtg131/212, 1398 yds, 5 TD, 10 INT, 69.3 rtg (7 games)
Last game is Week 8 (Week 7 for Houston, who was idle). Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Texans vs Chargers injury report and team news

The Chargers have scored nine touchdowns in seven games, fewer than any team in the NFL.

Justin Herbert has thrown five touchdown passes to ten interceptions.

C.J. Stroud has thrown one interception in seven games.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week
HOUHouston Texans
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Jaylin SmithCBIR
Ali GayeDEIR
Dylan HortonDEIR
Solomon ByrdDEIR
Mario Edwards Jr.DTIR
Jake HummelLBIR
K.C. OssaiLBIR
Sam HagenOTIR
Graham MertzQBIR
British BrooksRBIR
Jayden HigginsWRIR
Jaylin NoelWRIR
E.J. SpeedLBPUP
LACLos Angeles Chargers
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Tyler BiadaszCIR
Alec IngoldFBIR
Denzel PerrymanLBIR
Trevor PenningOLIR
Trey LanceQBIR
Derwin James Jr.SAFIR
Rashawn SlaterTIR
Trey Pipkins IIITIR
David NjokuTEIR

One interception against ten

C.J. Stroud has thrown one interception all season. Justin Herbert has thrown ten, and the Chargers have scored nine touchdowns in seven games.

Houston are 2-5 anyway, because 593 rushing yards is the third-lowest total in the league and 21 sacks conceded does not help.

The Chargers’ defense is the one thing holding up: 30.6% allowed on third down is the fourth-best rate in football.

Players to watch

  • C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 1,867 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception.
  • Nico Collins (HOU, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,774 yards.
  • Justin Herbert (LAC, QB): Five touchdown passes to ten interceptions at 69.3.
  • Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): The one Chargers phase that functions, at 4.01 a carry.

How to watch Texans vs Chargers

Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at SoFi Stadium, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.

DetailTexans vs Chargers
DateSunday, November 8, 2026
Kickoff4:05 PM ET / 3:05 PM CT / 1:05 PM PT
VenueSoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
TVCBS
Live streamNFL+ / Paramount+
WeekWeek 9, 2026 NFL season

Texans vs Chargers prediction and score projection

Houston win 23-17. Neither team scores freely, but one has a quarterback with one interception and the other has one with ten.

Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Kickoff (ET)GameOur predictionPreview
Thu 9:15 PMJaguars @ RavensJaguars 27-20Read
Sun 10:30 AMBengals @ FalconsBengals 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMBrowns @ SaintsSaints 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMCowboys @ ColtsCowboys 26-20Read
Sun 2:00 PMBroncos @ PanthersBroncos 26-16Read
Sun 2:00 PMLions @ DolphinsLions 30-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMRams @ CommandersRams 27-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMGiants @ EaglesGiants 20-17Read
Sun 2:00 PMJets @ ChiefsChiefs 30-13Read
Sun 5:05 PMTexans @ ChargersTexans 23-17You are here
Sun 5:25 PMCardinals @ SeahawksSeahawks 30-16Read
Sun 5:25 PMPackers @ PatriotsPatriots 24-20Read
Sun 5:25 PMRaiders @ 49ers49ers 30-17Read
Sun 9:20 PMBuccaneers @ BearsBears 27-20Read
Mon 9:15 PMBills @ VikingsBills 27-24Read

For the rest of the week, see this week’s Signal picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in our Super Bowl board. Player markets sit with player prop betting.

Texans vs Chargers FAQ

Who is favored, the Texans or the Chargers?

Houston. Our Signal model has the Texans favored and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page, despite the Chargers playing at home. Houston are 2-5; the Chargers are 0-7 at -76.

What time is Texans vs Chargers?

4:05 PM ET on Sunday, November 8 at SoFi Stadium, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT.

Which team has scored fewest touchdowns?

The Chargers, with nine in seven games — the lowest total in the NFL.

How many interceptions has Justin Herbert thrown?

Ten, against five touchdown passes.

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change