Jacksonville are +85 on the season, the best point differential in the NFL. Baltimore are -24 and lost Lamar Jackson to injured reserve on 1 November. Our Jaguars vs Ravens prediction opens Week 9.
The Jacksonville Jaguars rate 111.5 through the air and have conceded 12 touchdowns in seven games. The Baltimore Ravens have taken 67 penalties and given up 22 sacks.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville JaguarsSquawka61%Market80%▼ Overpriced
Baltimore RavensSquawka39%Market20%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Jaguars vs Ravens: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jaguars vs Ravens: 2026 form so far
The best differential in football against a 4-4 team without its quarterback. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Jaguars attack against the Ravens defense
| Per game | Jaguars offense | Ravens allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 227.4 | 228.2 |
| Rushing yards | 122.9 | 102.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 111.5 | 95.2 |
| Touchdowns | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 48.2% | 39.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 68.4% | 67.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 2.1 |
Ravens attack against the Jaguars defense
| Per game | Ravens offense | Jaguars allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 205.1 | 253.9 |
| Rushing yards | 133.5 | 77.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 3.4 |
| Passer rating | 100.1 | 84.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.2% | 35.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 59.3% | 40.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Jacksonville concede 3.39 yards a carry, the best run defense in the NFL, and 40.9% in the red zone.
Jaguars vs Ravens quarterback matchup
Trevor Lawrence has 17 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 112.6. Baltimore used three quarterbacks last week and Joe Fagnano, who started, rated 40.0.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | Trevor Lawrence | 10/14, 210 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 153.3 rtg | 130/198, 1690 yds, 17 TD, 4 INT, 112.6 rtg (7 games) |
| Quinn Ewers | 1/3, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 42.4 rtg | 1/3, 8 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 42.4 rtg (2 games) | |
| Ravens | Joe Fagnano | 10/21, 91 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 40.0 rtg | 10/21, 91 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 40.0 rtg (1 game) |
| Tyler Huntley | 2/4, 0 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 56.3 rtg | 76/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT, 95.5 rtg (5 games) |
Jaguars vs Ravens injury report and team news
Baltimore placed Lamar Jackson on injured reserve on 1 November.
Jacksonville are +85 on the season, the best point differential in the NFL.
Baltimore have taken 67 penalties and conceded 22 sacks in eight games.
Jacksonville JaguarsBaltimore RavensThe best team in the league against a quarterback room in pieces
Plus 85 is the best differential in football, and it is built on both halves: 24 touchdowns scored and 12 conceded in seven games.
Baltimore’s problem is simpler. Lamar Jackson went on injured reserve on 1 November, and the three quarterbacks who threw last week produced one interception and no touchdowns between them.
The Ravens can still run it — 1,068 rushing yards at 4.62 a carry — and Jacksonville’s run defense at 3.39 is the sternest test that has faced.
Players to watch
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC, QB): 1,690 passing yards and 17 touchdowns at 112.6.
- Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR): The first read in an offense converting 48.2% on third down.
- Derrick Henry (BAL, RB): Leads a run game with 1,068 yards at 4.62 a carry.
- Zay Flowers (BAL, WR): A primary target in a passing game that must carry more now.
How to watch Jaguars vs Ravens
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 5 at M&T Bank Stadium, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT. Prime Video has the exclusive broadcast.
| Detail | Jaguars vs Ravens |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, November 5, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT |
| Venue | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD |
| TV | Prime Video |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Prime Video |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Jaguars vs Ravens prediction and score projection
Jacksonville win 27-20. The Ravens can run it and will keep this respectable, but losing Jackson against the best differential in the league is too much to carry.
The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9:15 PM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | You are here |
| Sun 10:30 AM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 2:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 5:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 5:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:20 PM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Mon 9:15 PM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see NFL predictions for the round and the NFL odds page. The outright markets are priced in the Super Bowl market. We price the player markets in prop markets for this game.
Jaguars vs Ravens FAQ
Jacksonville. Our Signal model has the Jaguars favored and the live number sits in the Signal card on this page. Jacksonville are 5-2 at +85; Baltimore are 4-4 at -24.
No. Baltimore placed him on injured reserve on 1 November.
8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 5 at M&T Bank Stadium, which is 7:15 PM CT and 5:15 PM PT.
Jacksonville, at +85 — the best in the NFL.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change