Jacksonville Jaguars Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Jaguars game this season, plus AFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.
Jaguars 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | +0.7 | Fair |
| Jaguars AFC Championship oddsFull odds | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | +2.1 | Fair |
| Jaguars AFC South odds | 89.1% | Signal read | |||
Moneyline
Against the spread
Signal read
ValueSquawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
AFC South standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win AFC South | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 | 89.1% | 93.9% |
 Houston Texans | 2-4 | 9.4% | 24.7% |
 Indianapolis Colts | 2-4 | 1.5% | 2.6% |
 Tennessee Titans | 1-5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jacksonville Jaguars schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
Philadelphia Eagles Neutral siteSun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET66%win prob-4.2proj lineW 19–17FinalRead previewHouston Texans Neutral siteSun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET62%win prob-3.2proj lineL 31–34FinalRead preview
Jaguars injury report
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| B.J. Green II | DE | IR |
| Zach Durfee | DE | IR |
| Jared Bartlett | LB | IR |
| Parker Hughes | LB | IR |
| Anton Harrison | OL | IR |
| Garrett DiGiorgio | OL | IR |
| Patrick Mekari | OL | IR |
| Sam Mustipher | OL | IR |
| Caleb Ransaw | SAF | IR |
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79 players · tap to open
Offense 39
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Joey Aguilar | QB | Tennessee | |
| 10 | Quinn Ewers | QB | 2 | Texas |
| 16 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | 6 | Clemson |
| 14 | Nick Mullens | QB | 8 | Southern Miss |
| 20 | Ameer Abdullah | RB | 12 | Nebraska |
| 24 | Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | 4 | Kentucky |
| 5 | LeQuint Allen Jr. | RB | 2 | Syracuse |
| 30 | J'Mari Taylor | RB | Virginia | |
| 33 | Bhayshul Tuten | RB | 2 | Virginia Tech |
| 19 | Josh Cameron | WR | Baylor | |
| 12 | Travis Hunter | WR | 2 | Colorado |
| 13 | Tim Jones | WR | 4 | Southern Miss |
| 7 | Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | 3 | LSU |
| 3 | Jakobi Meyers | WR | 8 | NC State |
| 86 | Trebor Pena | WR | Penn State | |
| 81 | Austin Trammell | WR | 4 | Rice |
| 11 | Parker Washington | WR | 4 | Penn State |
| 18 | CJ Williams | WR | Stanford | |
| 0 | Michael Wortham | WR | Montana | |
| 83 | Brenden Bates | TE | 3 | Kentucky |
| 87 | Nate Boerkircher | TE | Texas A&M | |
| 88 | Tanner Koziol | TE | Houston | |
| 80 | Quintin Morris | TE | 5 | Bowling Green |
| 85 | Brenton Strange | TE | 4 | Penn State |
| 61 | Geron Christian Sr. | OT | 9 | Louisville |
| 76 | Ezra Cleveland | OL | 7 | Boise State |
| 66 | Eli Cox | OL | 1 | Kentucky |
| 74 | Garrett DiGiorgio | OL | UCLA | |
| 68 | Daniel Faalele | OL | 5 | Minnesota |
| 73 | Robert Hainsey | OL | 6 | Notre Dame |
| 77 | Anton Harrison | OL | 4 | Oklahoma |
| 70 | Cole Van Lanen | OL | 6 | Wisconsin |
| 72 | Walker Little | OL | 6 | Stanford |
| 65 | Patrick Mekari | OL | 8 | California |
| 64 | Wyatt Milum | OL | 2 | West Virginia |
| 60 | Jonah Monheim | OL | 2 | USC |
| 69 | Sam Mustipher | OL | 6 | Notre Dame |
| 75 | Emmanuel Pregnon | OL | Oregon | |
| 78 | Kilian Zierer | OL | 2 | Auburn |
Defense 36
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Zach Durfee | DE | Washington | |
| 41 | Josh Hines-Allen | DE | 8 | Kentucky |
| 95 | B.J. Green II | DE | 2 | Colorado |
| 57 | Bryan Thomas Jr. | DE | South Carolina | |
| 56 | BJ Ojulari | DE | 4 | LSU |
| 92 | Danny Striggow | DE | 2 | Minnesota |
| 44 | Travon Walker | DE | 5 | Georgia |
| 90 | Wesley Williams | DE | Duke | |
| 91 | Arik Armstead | DT | 12 | Oregon |
| 94 | T.J. Bollers | DT | California | |
| 93 | Matt Dickerson | DT | 6 | UCLA |
| 52 | DaVon Hamilton | DT | 7 | Ohio State |
| 99 | Ruke Orhorhoro | DT | 3 | Clemson |
| 98 | Albert Regis | DT | Texas A&M | |
| 45 | Jared Bartlett | LB | 1 | Cincinnati |
| 50 | Branson Combs | LB | 2 | Wake Forest |
| 47 | Dennis Gardeck | LB | 9 | Sioux Falls |
| Jamal Hill | LB | 3 | Oregon | |
| 53 | Parker Hughes | LB | Middle Tennessee | |
| 35 | Jalen McLeod | LB | 2 | Auburn |
| 51 | Ventrell Miller | LB | 4 | Florida |
| 23 | Foyesade Oluokun | LB | 9 | Yale |
| 31 | Jahlani Tavai | LB | 9 | Hawai'i |
| 1 | Montaric Brown | CB | 5 | Arkansas |
| 21 | Alijah Huzzie | CB | 1 | North Carolina |
| 4 | Jarrian Jones | CB | 3 | Florida State |
| 36 | Jaylon Jones | CB | 5 | Ole Miss |
| 2 | Jourdan Lewis | CB | 10 | Michigan |
| 37 | Jabbar Muhammad | CB | 1 | Oregon |
| 22 | Jalen Huskey | SAF | Maryland | |
| 25 | Rayuan Lane III | SAF | 2 | Navy |
| 6 | Antonio Johnson | SAF | 4 | Texas A&M |
| 26 | Kaevon Merriweather | SAF | 4 | Iowa |
| 29 | Eric Murray | SAF | 11 | Minnesota |
| 27 | Caleb Ransaw | SAF | 2 | Tulane |
| 42 | Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig | SAF | 1 | Colorado |
Special teams 4
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | Cam Little | K | 3 | Arkansas |
| 9 | Logan Cooke | P | 9 | Mississippi State |
| 55 | Jacob Bobenmoyer | LS | 6 | Northern Colorado |
| 46 | Ross Matiscik | LS | 7 | Baylor |
Jacksonville Jaguars FAQ
What are the Jaguars’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Jaguars a 6.8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 6.1%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Jaguars win the AFC South?
The model makes them 89.1% to win the AFC South. That makes them the favourite, ahead of the Houston Texans at 9.4%.
Will the Jaguars make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 93.9% to reach the postseason, and 9.5% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.
Who do the Jaguars play next?
Week 8, at home to Indianapolis Colts on Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET. Signal makes the Jaguars 79% with a projected line of JAC -8.8.
Who is the Jaguars’ starting quarterback?
Trevor Lawrence. That is the projected starter our model rates the Jaguars on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Jaguars projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 11-6 (11.3 wins).
When is the Jaguars’ bye week?
Week 7 of the 2026 season.
What is the Jaguars’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #6 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Jaguars play?
Jacksonville Jaguars play their home games at EverBank Stadium.