Denver Broncos Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Broncos game this season, plus AFC West standings and Super Bowl odds.
Broncos 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | +3.2 | Value |
| Broncos AFC Championship oddsFull odds | 14.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | +5.4 | Value |
| Broncos AFC West odds | 37.3% | Signal read | |||
at Moneyline
Against the spread
Signal read
Strong valueSquawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
AFC West standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win AFC West | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas City Chiefs | 5-0 | 62.1% | 95.0% |
| Denver Broncos | 4-2 | 37.3% | 89.6% |
 Las Vegas Raiders | 3-3 | 0.6% | 5.4% |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 0-6 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Denver Broncos schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
Broncos injury report
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Deiter | C | IR |
| Matt Henningsen | DE | IR |
| Levelle Bailey | LB | IR |
| Jonah Coleman | RB | IR |
| Frank Crum | T | IR |
| Caleb Lohner | TE | IR |
| Pat Bryant | WR | IR |
| Nick Gargiulo | G | PUP |
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79 players · tap to open
Offense 40
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sam Ehlinger | QB | 6 | Texas |
| 10 | Bo Nix | QB | 3 | Oregon |
| 8 | Jarrett Stidham | QB | 7 | Auburn |
| 28 | Tyler Badie | RB | 3 | Missouri |
| 20 | Jonah Coleman | RB | Washington | |
| 27 | J.K. Dobbins | RB | 7 | Ohio State |
| 12 | RJ Harvey | RB | 2 | UCF |
| 25 | Cody Schrader | RB | 3 | Missouri |
| 46 | Adam Prentice | FB | 6 | South Carolina |
| 83 | Michael Bandy | WR | 3 | San Diego |
| 13 | Pat Bryant | WR | 2 | Illinois |
| 11 | Troy Franklin | WR | 3 | Oregon |
| 5 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | 7 | Texas |
| 19 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 4 | Oklahoma |
| 81 | Kolbe Katsis | WR | Northern Arizona | |
| 87 | Dane Key | WR | Nebraska | |
| 80 | Cameron Ross | WR | Virginia | |
| 14 | Courtland Sutton | WR | 9 | SMU |
| 17 | Jaylen Waddle | WR | 6 | Alabama |
| 45 | Nate Adkins | TE | 4 | South Carolina |
| 89 | Dallen Bentley | TE | Utah | |
| 1 | Evan Engram | TE | 10 | Ole Miss |
| 85 | Lucas Krull | TE | 4 | Pittsburgh |
| 84 | Caleb Lohner | TE | 1 | Utah |
| 82 | Adam Trautman | TE | 7 | Dayton |
| 67 | Michael Deiter | C | 7 | Wisconsin |
| 54 | Alex Forsyth | C | 4 | Oregon |
| 60 | Luke Wattenberg | C | 5 | Washington |
| 66 | Nick Gargiulo | G | 2 | South Carolina |
| 74 | Ben Powers | G | 8 | Oklahoma |
| 76 | Calvin Throckmorton | G | 6 | Oregon |
| 72 | Garett Bolles | T | 10 | Utah |
| 73 | Frank Crum | T | 3 | Wyoming |
| 69 | Mike McGlinchey | T | 9 | Notre Dame |
| 71 | Tyler Miller | T | Iowa State | |
| 63 | Alex Palczewski | T | 4 | Illinois |
| 79 | Matt Peart | T | 7 | UConn |
| 78 | Kage Casey | OL | Boise State | |
| 77 | Quinn Meinerz | OL | 6 | Wisconsin-Whitewater |
| 68 | Gavin Ortega | OL | Weber State |
Defense 36
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | David Agoha | DE | 1 | |
| 91 | Matt Henningsen | DE | 4 | Wisconsin |
| 95 | Sai'vion Jones | DE | 2 | LSU |
| 93 | D.J. Jones | DT | 10 | Ole Miss |
| 98 | Tyler Onyedim | DT | Texas A&M | |
| 97 | Malcolm Roach | DT | 7 | Texas |
| 99 | Zach Allen | DL | 8 | Boston College |
| 94 | Jordan Jackson | DL | 3 | Air Force |
| 96 | Eyioma Uwazurike | DL | 4 | Iowa State |
| 56 | Levelle Bailey | LB | 2 | Fresno State |
| 50 | Red Murdock | LB | Buffalo | |
| 47 | Karene Reid | LB | 2 | Utah |
| 49 | Alex Singleton | LB | 8 | Montana State |
| 40 | Justin Strnad | LB | 7 | Wake Forest |
| 55 | Jordan Turner | LB | 2 | Michigan State |
| 15 | Nik Bonitto | OLB | 5 | Oklahoma |
| 0 | Jonathon Cooper | OLB | 6 | Ohio State |
| 52 | Jonah Elliss | OLB | 3 | Utah |
| 51 | Que Robinson | OLB | 2 | Alabama |
| 92 | Dondrea Tillman | OLB | 3 | Indiana (PA) |
| 59 | Johnny Walker | OLB | 2 | Missouri |
| 31 | Kris Abrams-Draine | CB | 3 | Missouri |
| 33 | Brent Austin | CB | California | |
| 23 | Jahdae Barron | CB | 2 | Texas |
| 2 | Pat Surtain II | CB | 6 | Alabama |
| 29 | Ja'Quan McMillian | CB | 4 | East Carolina |
| 21 | Riley Moss | CB | 4 | Iowa |
| 35 | Ugo Amadi | SAF | 8 | Oregon |
| 6 | Tycen Anderson | SAF | 5 | Toledo |
| 9 | Talanoa Hufanga | SAF | 6 | USC |
| 22 | Brandon Jones | SAF | 7 | Texas |
| 30 | Taylor Rapp | SAF | 8 | Washington |
| 39 | Miles Scott | SAF | Illinois | |
| 34 | JL Skinner | SAF | 4 | Boise State |
| 37 | Sean Fresch Jr. | DB | 1 | Rice |
| 26 | Devon Key | DB | 3 | Western Kentucky |
Special teams 3
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wil Lutz | K | 11 | Georgia State |
| 16 | Jeremy Crawshaw | P | 2 | Florida |
| 48 | Mitchell Fraboni | LS | 5 | Arizona State |
Denver Broncos FAQ
What are the Broncos’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Broncos a 7.4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 4.2%, so the model reads them as value. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Broncos win the AFC West?
The model makes them 37.3% to win the AFC West. The Kansas City Chiefs are favoured at 62.1%.
Will the Broncos make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 89.6% to reach the postseason, and 12.0% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.
Who do the Broncos play next?
Week 7, away at Arizona Cardinals on Sun Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET. Signal makes the Broncos 79% with a projected line of DEN -8.7. Read our full preview.
Who is the Broncos’ starting quarterback?
Bo Nix. That is the projected starter our model rates the Broncos on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Broncos projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 11-6 (11.1 wins).
When is the Broncos’ bye week?
Week 10 of the 2026 season.
What is the Broncos’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #4 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Broncos play?
Denver Broncos play their home games at Empower Field at Mile High.