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    Chicago Bears Odds & Predictions

    NFCNFC NorthElo 1562.0 · #15 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Bears game this season, plus NFC North standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Bears 2026 outlook

    40.9%Make playoffs
    14.1%Win NFC North
    3.0%No.1 seed
    3.7%Win NFC
    1.5%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Bears Super Bowl odds1.5%3.3%3.4%-1.9Fair
    Bears NFC Championship odds3.7%7.3%6.7%-3.5Lay
    Bears NFC North odds14.1%Model read
    Next game · Week 1CARat Carolina PanthersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka58% (-138)
    Market60% (-150)
    Gap-1.1 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedCHI -2.2
    MarketCHI -3.0
    Total47.0

    Signal read

    Fair
    Spread 
    No edge
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    NFC North standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin NFC NorthPlayoffs
    DETDetroit Lions–50.9%80.2%
    GBGreen Bay Packers–22.5%54.8%
    CHIChicago Bears–14.1%40.9%
    MINMinnesota Vikings–12.5%37.2%
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    Chicago Bears schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@CARCarolina PanthersSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET58%win prob-2.2proj line-3.0market lineRead preview
    WK 2vsMINMinnesota VikingsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line-170market price
    WK 3vsPHIPhiladelphia EaglesMon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET51%win prob-0.2proj line–market
    WK 4vsNYJNew York JetsSun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET76%win prob-7.6proj line–market
    WK 5@GBGreen Bay PackersSun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET44%win prob+1.7proj line–market
    WK 6@ATLAtlanta FalconsSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
    WK 7vsNENew England PatriotsThu Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET49%win prob+0.3proj line–market
    WK 8@SEASeattle SeahawksMon Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET31%win prob+5.3proj line–market
    WK 9vsTBTampa Bay BuccaneersSun Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET62%win prob-3.2proj line–market
    WK 10Bye week
    WK 11vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET67%win prob-4.7proj line–market
    WK 12@DETDetroit LionsThu Nov 26, 1:00 PM ET41%win prob+2.4proj line–market
    WK 13vsJACJacksonville JaguarsSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET48%win prob+0.6proj line–market
    WK 14@MIAMiami DolphinsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET55%win prob-1.4proj line–market
    WK 15@BUFBuffalo BillsSat Dec 19, 8:20 PM ET36%win prob+3.9proj line–market
    WK 16vsGBGreen Bay PackersFri Dec 25, 1:00 PM ET54%win prob-1.0proj line–market
    WK 17vsDETDetroit LionsSun Jan 3, 4:25 PM ET51%win prob-0.2proj line–market
    WK 18@MINMinnesota Vikings FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET41%win prob+2.4proj line-170market price

    Bears injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Bears coverage

    Bears vs Panthers Prediction: Picks, Odds & Week 1 PreviewMatch preview · Today

    Chicago Bears roster

    81 players · tap to open

    Offense 37

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    17Tyson BagentQB4Shepherd (WV)
    11Case KeenumQB14Houston
    18Caleb WilliamsQB3USC
    36Salvon AhmedRB5Washington
    38Brittain BrownRB3UCLA
    23Roschon JohnsonRB4Texas
    25Kyle MonangaiRB2Rutgers
    30Zavier ScottRB2Maine
    4D'Andre SwiftRB7Georgia
    80Kaden DavisWR1Northwest Missouri State
    10Luther Burden IIIWR2Missouri
    82Scotty MillerWR8Bowling Green
    15Rome OdunzeWR3Washington
    14Kalif RaymondWR10Holy Cross
    83JP RichardsonWR1TCU
    81Zavion ThomasWRLSU
    9Jahdae WalkerWR2Texas A&M
    88Stephen CarlsonTE4Princeton
    Qadir IsmailTE1Samford
    86Nikola KalinicTE2York (CAN)
    85Cole KmetTE7Notre Dame
    43Hayden LargeTEIowa
    84Colston LovelandTE2Michigan
    87Sam RoushTEStanford
    67Garrett BradburyC8North Carolina State
    54Logan JonesCIowa
    79Theo BenedetG2
    62Joe ThuneyG11North Carolina State
    76Caden BarnettOLWyoming
    60Kyle HergelOL2Boston College
    73Jonah JacksonOL7Ohio State
    70Braxton JonesOL5Southern Utah
    72Christian JonesOL3Texas
    74Jordan McFaddenOL4Clemson
    65Luke NewmanOL2Michigan State
    75Ozzy TrapiloOL2Boston College
    58Darnell WrightOL4Tennessee

    Defense 41

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    90Neville GallimoreDT7Oklahoma
    91Jayden LovingDTWake Forest
    96Jordan van den BergDLGeorgia Tech
    94Austin BookerDL3Kansas
    52Marcus DavenportDL8UTSA
    57Jonathan GarvinDL4Miami (FL)
    92Daniel HardyDL4Montana State
    50Grady JarrettDL12Clemson
    59Jamree KromahDL1James Madison
    97James LynchDL7Baylor
    55Dayo OdeyingboDL6Vanderbilt
    93Kentavius StreetDL8North Carolina State
    98Montez SweatDL8Mississippi State
    95Shemar TurnerDL2Texas A&M
    12Devin BushLB8Michigan
    53T.J. EdwardsLB8Wisconsin
    49Keyshaun ElliottLBArizona State
    47Ruben Hyppolite IILB2Maryland
    43Tony Fields IILB6West Virginia
    35Wayne Matthews IIILBMichigan State
    48D'Marco JacksonLB5Appalachian State
    47Buddy JohnsonLB5Texas A&M
    45Nephi SewellLB3Utah
    44Noah SewellLB4Oregon
    57Jack SanbornMLB5Wisconsin
    20Clark Phillips IIICB4Utah
    37Deantre PrinceCB2Ole Miss
    31Dillon ThienemanSAFOregon
    38Skyler ThomasSAFOregon State
    32Xavier WoodsSAF10Louisiana Tech
    39Josh BlackwellDB5Duke
    2Coby BryantDB5Cincinnati
    37Dallis FlowersDB4Pittsburg State
    6Kyler GordonDB5Washington
    22Elijah HicksDB5California
    24Malik Muhammad IIDBTexas
    1Jaylon JohnsonDB7Utah
    25Beanie Bishop Jr.DB2West Virginia
    21Cam LewisDB7Buffalo
    26Marlen SewellDBVanderbilt
    29Tyrique StevensonDB4Miami (FL)

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    8Cairo SantosK13Tulane
    19Tory TaylorP3Iowa
    45Beau GardnerLSGeorgia