Washington Commanders Odds & Predictions
Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Commanders game this season, plus NFC East standings and Super Bowl odds.
Commanders 2026 outlook
| Market | Squawka | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders Super Bowl oddsFull odds | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | -0.5 | Fair |
| Commanders NFC Championship oddsFull odds | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | -1.0 | Fair |
| Commanders NFC East odds | 1.6% | Signal read | |||
Moneyline
Against the spread
Signal read
Strong laySquawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.
NFC East standings and division odds
Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.
| Team | Record | Win NFC East | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
 New York Giants | 4-2 | 46.1% | 49.1% |
 Philadelphia Eagles | 2-4 | 37.6% | 40.0% |
 Dallas Cowboys | 2-4 | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Washington Commanders | 1-5 | 1.6% | 1.9% |
Washington Commanders schedule, results and lines
Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.
Indianapolis Colts Neutral siteSun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET46%win prob+1.0proj lineL 13–30FinalRead preview
Commanders injury report
Out long-term
| Player | Pos | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Jer'Zhan Newton | DT | IR |
| Leo Chenal | LB | IR |
| Javontae Jean-Baptiste | OLB | IR |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | IR |
| Laremy Tunsil | T | IR |
| Jaylin Lane | WR | IR |
Latest Commanders coverage
49ers vs Commanders: Kalshi Promo Code & $25 BonusMatch preview · 3 days agoCommanders vs 49ers Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · 4 days agoCommanders vs Giants: Kalshi Promo Code & $25 BonusMatch preview · 12 days agoGiants vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · 12 days agoCommanders vs Colts: Kalshi Promo Code & $25 BonusMatch preview · 19 days agoColts vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · 19 days agoWashington Commanders roster
76 players · tap to open
Offense 39
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jayden Daniels | QB | 3 | LSU |
| 15 | Sam Hartman | QB | 1 | Notre Dame |
| 16 | Athan Kaliakmanis | QB | Rutgers | |
| 8 | Marcus Mariota | QB | 12 | Oregon |
| 22 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | RB | 2 | Arizona |
| 30 | Austin Ekeler | RB | 9 | Western Colorado |
| 26 | Jeremy McNichols | RB | 6 | Boise State |
| 31 | Devin Neal | RB | 2 | Kansas |
| 24 | Craig Reynolds | RB | 7 | Kutztown |
| 1 | Rachaad White | RB | 5 | Arizona State |
| 86 | Jaden Bradley | WR | UNLV | |
| 6 | Dyami Brown | WR | 6 | North Carolina |
| 13 | Treylon Burks | WR | 5 | Arkansas |
| 88 | Nick DeGennaro | WR | James Madison | |
| 3 | Stefon Diggs | WR | 12 | Maryland |
| 12 | Van Jefferson | WR | 7 | Florida |
| 83 | Jaylin Lane | WR | 2 | Virginia Tech |
| 11 | Luke McCaffrey | WR | 3 | Rice |
| 17 | Terry McLaurin | WR | 8 | Ohio State |
| 14 | Antonio Williams | WR | Clemson | |
| 87 | John Bates | TE | 6 | Boise State |
| Quentin Moore | TE | Washington | ||
| 85 | Chig Okonkwo | TE | 5 | Maryland |
| 82 | Ben Sinnott | TE | 3 | Kansas State |
| 89 | Jack Westover | TE | 2 | Washington |
| 80 | Colson Yankoff | TE | 3 | UCLA |
| 66 | Matt Gulbin | C | Michigan State | |
| 67 | Nick Allegretti | G | 8 | Illinois |
| 74 | Brandon Coleman | G | 3 | TCU |
| 61 | Julian Good-Jones | G | 2 | Iowa State |
| 63 | Lucas Patrick | G | 10 | Duke |
| 75 | Chris Paul | G | 5 | Tulsa |
| 62 | Tanoa Togiai | G | Utah | |
| 76 | Sam Cosmi | OG | 6 | Texas |
| 72 | Josh Conerly Jr. | OT | 2 | Oregon |
| 77 | Esa Pole | OT | 2 | Washington State |
| 73 | Trent Scott | T | 9 | Grambling State |
| 78 | Laremy Tunsil | T | 11 | Ole Miss |
| 71 | Andrew Wylie | OL | 9 | Eastern Michigan |
Defense 34
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | Deatrich Wise Jr. | DE | 9 | Arkansas |
| 59 | T.J. Maguranyanga | DE | 1 | |
| 90 | Charles Omenihu | DE | 8 | Texas |
| 50 | Ricky Barber | DT | 1 | UCF |
| 55 | Byron Cowart | DT | 6 | Maryland |
| 99 | Javon Kinlaw | DT | 7 | South Carolina |
| 95 | Jer'Zhan Newton | DT | 3 | Illinois |
| 94 | Daron Payne | DT | 9 | Alabama |
| 97 | Tim Settle | DT | 9 | Virginia Tech |
| 96 | Shy Tuttle | DT | 8 | Tennessee |
| 54 | Leo Chenal | LB | 5 | Wisconsin |
| 51 | Ale Kaho | LB | 2 | UCLA |
| Austin Keys | LB | 3 | Auburn | |
| 4 | Frankie Luvu | LB | 9 | Washington State |
| 58 | Jordan Magee | LB | 3 | Temple |
| 56 | Kain Medrano | LB | 2 | UCLA |
| 52 | Sonny Styles | LB | Ohio State | |
| 92 | Dorance Armstrong | OLB | 9 | Kansas |
| 45 | K'Lavon Chaisson | OLB | 7 | LSU |
| 41 | Javontae Jean-Baptiste | OLB | 3 | Notre Dame |
| 48 | Joshua Josephs | OLB | Tennessee | |
| 98 | Odafe Oweh | OLB | 6 | Penn State |
| 23 | Trey Amos | CB | 2 | Ole Miss |
| 29 | Rasul Douglas | CB | 9 | West Virginia |
| 38 | Fred Davis II | CB | Northwestern | |
| 24 | Fabian Moreau | CB | 10 | UCLA |
| 2 | Amik Robertson | CB | 7 | Louisiana Tech |
| 0 | Mike Sainristil | CB | 3 | Michigan |
| 37 | Isaac Yiadom | CB | 9 | Boston College |
| 35 | Percy Butler | SAF | 5 | Louisiana |
| 25 | Nick Cross | SAF | 5 | Maryland |
| 20 | Quan Martin | SAF | 4 | Illinois |
| 18 | Tyler Owens | SAF | 3 | Texas Tech |
| 39 | Jeremy Reaves | SAF | 7 | South Alabama |
Special teams 3
| # | Player | Pos | Exp | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Drew Stevens | K | Iowa | |
| 10 | Tress Way | P | 13 | Oklahoma |
| 69 | Tyler Ott | LS | 12 | Harvard |
Washington Commanders FAQ
What are the Commanders’ Super Bowl odds?
Squawka Signal gives the Commanders a 0.0% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 0.5%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.
Can the Commanders win the NFC East?
The model makes them 1.6% to win the NFC East. The New York Giants are favoured at 46.1%.
Will the Commanders make the playoffs?
Signal has them at 1.9% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.
Who do the Commanders play next?
Week 8, at home to Philadelphia Eagles on Sun Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET. Signal makes the Commanders 39% with a projected line of WAS +2.9.
Who is the Commanders’ starting quarterback?
Marcus Mariota. That is the projected starter our model rates the Commanders on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.
What record are the Commanders projected to finish with?
Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 6-11 (6.2 wins).
When is the Commanders’ bye week?
Week 7 of the 2026 season.
What is the Commanders’ power ranking?
Signal ranks them #27 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.
Where do the Commanders play?
Washington Commanders play their home games at Northwest Stadium.