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Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Predictions

NFCNFC SouthPower rank #25 of 32
1-52026 record

Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Buccaneers game this season, plus NFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

Squawka SignalSignal vs market

Buccaneers 2026 outlook

8.8%Make playoffs
8.3%Win NFC South
0.0%No.1 seed
0.2%Win NFC
0.0%Win Super Bowl
MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
Buccaneers Super Bowl oddsFull odds0.0%0.5%0.2%-0.4Fair
Buccaneers NFC Championship oddsFull odds0.2%0.5%0.4%-0.3Fair
Buccaneers NFC South odds8.3%Signal read
Next game · Week 7CARat Carolina PanthersRead the previewSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET

Moneyline

Squawka38% (+163)
Market41% (+144)
Gap-3.0 pts

Against the spread

ProjectedTB +3.2
MarketTB +3.0
Total44.5

Signal read

Fair
Spread 
No edge

Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

NFC South standings and division odds

Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

TeamRecordWin NFC SouthPlayoffs
CARCarolina Panthers3-258.9%60.7%
NONew Orleans Saints2-416.8%18.5%
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-416.0%17.6%
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-58.3%8.8%
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers schedule, results and lines

Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

WK 1@CINCincinnati BengalsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET27%win prob+6.5proj lineL 27–33FinalRead preview
WK 2vsCLECleveland BrownsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET59%win prob-2.5proj lineL 19–23FinalRead preview
WK 3vsMINMinnesota VikingsSun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET24%win prob+7.7proj lineL 16–23FinalRead preview
WK 4vsGBGreen Bay PackersSun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.8proj lineL 14–17FinalRead preview
WK 5@DALDallas CowboysThu Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET40%win prob+2.7proj lineW 24–16FinalRead preview
WK 6vsPITPittsburgh SteelersSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET35%win prob+3.9proj lineL 19–26FinalRead preview
WK 7@CARCarolina PanthersSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET38%win prob+3.2proj line+3.0market lineRead preview
WK 8vsATLAtlanta FalconsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.5proj line-108market price
WK 9@CHIChicago BearsSun Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET27%win prob+6.5proj line–market
WK 10Bye week
WK 11@DETDetroit LionsSun Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET25%win prob+7.1proj line–market
WK 12vsCARCarolina PanthersMon Nov 30, 8:15 PM ET48%win prob+0.5proj line+3.0market line
WK 13vsLACLos Angeles ChargersSun Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
WK 14@BALBaltimore RavensSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET24%win prob+7.5proj line–market
WK 15vsNONew Orleans SaintsSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET55%win prob-1.2proj line–market
WK 16@ATLAtlanta Falcons FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET42%win prob+2.1proj line-108market price
WK 17vsLALos Angeles Rams FlexSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.5proj line–market
WK 18@NONew Orleans Saints FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET44%win prob+1.4proj line–market

Buccaneers injury report

No weekly designations filed yet for Week 7.

Out long-term

PlayerPosStatus
Josh HayesCBIR
Christian RozeboomLBIR
Mohamed KamaraOLBIR
Jalen McMillanWRIR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster

74 players · tap to open

Offense 36

#PlayerPosExpCollege
10Jalon DanielsQBKansas
6Baker MayfieldQB9Oklahoma
8Brett RypienQB8Boise State
16Easton StickQB7North Dakota State
1Kenny GainwellRB6Memphis
7Bucky IrvingRB3Oregon
44Sean TuckerRB4Syracuse
18Josh WilliamsRB2LSU
2Emeka EgbukaWR2Ohio State
85Garrett GreeneWR1West Virginia
17Ted Hurst IIIWRGeorgia State
81Dean Patterson IVWRGeorgia Tech
19Kameron JohnsonWR3Barton
15Tez JohnsonWR2Oregon
14Chris Godwin Jr.WR10Penn State
83Eric Rivers Jr.WRGeorgia Tech
11Jalen McMillanWR3Washington
80David Sills VWR4West Virginia
82CJ DippreTE2Alabama
87Payne DurhamTE4Purdue
41Ko KieftTE5Minnesota
88Cade OttonTE5Washington
84Bauer SharpTELSU
62Graham BartonC3Duke
68Ben BredesonG7Michigan
65Dan FeeneyG10Indiana
72Luke HaggardG2Indiana
61Henry LutovskyGNebraska
69Cody MauchG4North Dakota State
75Billy SchrauthGNotre Dame
66Ben ScottG1Nebraska
70Benjamin ChukwumaT2Georgia State
67Luke GoedekeT5Central Michigan
76Paul RubeltTUCF
77Justin SkuleT7Vanderbilt
78Tristan WirfsT7Iowa

Defense 35

#PlayerPosExpCollege
90DeMonte CapehartDLClemson
93Jayson JonesDL1Auburn
94Calijah KanceyDL4Pittsburgh
56Rakeem Nunez-RochesDL12Southern Miss
95Elijah RobertsDL2SMU
91A'Shawn RobinsonDL11Alabama
92Elijah SimmonsDL2Tennessee
50Vita VeaNT9Washington
34Alex AnzaloneLB10Florida
8SirVocea DennisLB4Pittsburgh
46Caden FordhamLBNC State
52Christian RozeboomLB6South Dakota State
45Josiah TrotterLBMissouri
48Javin WrightLBNebraska
0Yaya DiabyOLB4Louisville
57Yasir HolmesOLBTarleton State
3Rueben Bain Jr.OLBMiami (FL)
59Mohamed KamaraOLB2Colorado State
97Al-Quadin MuhammadOLB9Miami (FL)
98Anthony NelsonOLB8Iowa
51David WalkerOLB2Central Arkansas
24Ayden GarnesCBArizona
32Josh HayesCB4Kansas State
28Brandon JohnsonCB1Oregon
38Kevin KnowlesCB3Florida State
27Zyon McCollumCB5Sam Houston
21Benjamin MorrisonCB2Notre Dame
25Jacob ParrishCB2Kansas State
31Antoine Winfield Jr.SAF7Minnesota
29Miles KillebrewSAF11Southern Utah
5Ifeatu MelifonwuSAF6Syracuse
36JJ RobertsSAF2Marshall
23Tykee SmithSAF3Georgia
33Silas WaltersSAFMiami (OH)
22Keionte ScottDBMiami (FL)

Special teams 3

#PlayerPosExpCollege
4Chase McLaughlinK8Illinois
9Riley DixonP11Syracuse
86Evan DeckersLS3Duke

Tampa Bay Buccaneers FAQ

What are the Buccaneers’ Super Bowl odds?

Squawka Signal gives the Buccaneers a 0.0% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 0.5%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.

Can the Buccaneers win the NFC South?

The model makes them 8.3% to win the NFC South. The Carolina Panthers are favoured at 58.9%.

Will the Buccaneers make the playoffs?

Signal has them at 8.8% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the NFC.

Who do the Buccaneers play next?

Week 7, away at Carolina Panthers on Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. Signal makes the Buccaneers 38% with a projected line of TB +3.2. Read our full preview.

Who is the Buccaneers’ starting quarterback?

Baker Mayfield. That is the projected starter our model rates the Buccaneers on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.

What record are the Buccaneers projected to finish with?

Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 7-10 (6.6 wins).

When is the Buccaneers’ bye week?

Week 10 of the 2026 season.

What is the Buccaneers’ power ranking?

Signal ranks them #25 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.

Where do the Buccaneers play?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play their home games at Raymond James Stadium.