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    Indianapolis Colts

    Indianapolis Colts Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC SouthElo 1503.4 · #21 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Colts game this season, plus AFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Colts 2026 outlook

    24.1%Make playoffs
    6.8%Win AFC South
    0.7%No.1 seed
    0.7%Win AFC
    0.3%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Colts Super Bowl odds0.3%1.4%1.2%-1.1Fair
    Colts AFC Championship odds0.7%2.4%2.8%-2.1Fair
    Colts AFC South odds6.8%Model read
    Next game · Week 1BALvs Baltimore RavensSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka44% (+127)
    Market38% (+163)
    Gap+6.6 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedIND +1.6
    MarketIND +3.5
    Total48.0

    Signal read

    Value
    Spread 
    Colts
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC South standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC SouthPlayoffs
    HOUHouston Texans–51.2%78.8%
    JACJacksonville Jaguars–41.8%74.2%
    INDIndianapolis Colts–6.8%24.1%
    TENTennessee Titans–0.2%0.8%
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    Indianapolis Colts schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET44%win prob+1.6proj line+3.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2@KCKansas City ChiefsSun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET42%win prob+2.1proj line+270market price
    WK 3vsHOUHouston TexansSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.7proj line–market
    WK 4@WASWashington Commanders Neutral siteSun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET52%win prob-0.5proj line–market
    WK 5@PITPittsburgh SteelersSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.7proj line–market
    WK 6vsTENTennessee TitansSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET69%win prob-5.4proj line–market
    WK 7@MINMinnesota VikingsSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.7proj line–market
    WK 8@JACJacksonville JaguarsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET30%win prob+5.6proj line–market
    WK 9vsDALDallas CowboysSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET56%win prob-1.7proj line–market
    WK 10vsMIAMiami DolphinsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET56%win prob-1.7proj line–market
    WK 11@HOUHouston TexansThu Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET27%win prob+6.4proj line–market
    WK 12vsNYGNew York GiantsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET61%win prob-2.9proj line–market
    WK 13Bye week
    WK 14@PHIPhiladelphia EaglesSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.8proj line–market
    WK 15@TENTennessee TitansSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line–market
    WK 16vsCINCincinnati Bengals FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
    WK 17@CLECleveland BrownsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line–market
    WK 18vsJACJacksonville Jaguars FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET39%win prob+2.9proj line–market

    Colts injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

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    Indianapolis Colts roster

    76 players · tap to open

    Offense 37

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    17Daniel JonesQB8Duke
    15Riley LeonardQB2Notre Dame
    5Anthony Richardson Sr.QB4Florida
    36Davon BoothRBMississippi State
    42Anderson CastleRBDuke
    21DJ GiddensRB2Kansas State
    20Seth McGowanRBKentucky
    28Jonathan TaylorRB7Wisconsin
    10Keenan AllenWR13California
    80Deion BurksWROklahoma
    2Josh DownsWR4North Carolina
    16Ashton DulinWR8Malone (OH)
    6Anthony GouldWR3Oregon State
    2D.J. MontgomeryWR5Austin Peay
    14Alec PierceWR5Cincinnati
    13Laquon TreadwellWR10Ole Miss
    12Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR7Indiana
    81Mo Alie-CoxTE9VCU
    49Pharaoh BrownTE9Oregon
    86Will MalloryTE4Miami (FL)
    49Sean McKeonTE5Michigan
    85Drew OgletreeTE5Youngstown State
    45Carson TowtTENotre Dame
    84Tyler WarrenTE2Penn State
    60Tanor BortoliniC3Wisconsin
    62Jalen FarmerGKentucky
    71Matt GoncalvesG3Pittsburgh
    56Quenton NelsonG9Notre Dame
    66Josh SillsG3Oklahoma State
    68Dalton TuckerG3Marshall
    65Reid HolskeyOT1Miami (OH)
    78Roy MbaetekaOT1
    76Nolan RucciOTPenn State
    79Bernhard RaimannT5Central Michigan
    67Luke TenutaT4Virginia Tech
    75Jalen TravisT2Iowa State
    63Sedrick Van Pran-GrangerOL3Georgia

    Defense 36

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    72Micheal ClemonsDE5Texas A&M
    55Caden CurryDEOhio State
    52George Gumbs Jr.DEFlorida
    98Arden KeyDE9LSU
    97Laiatu LatuDE3UCLA
    54Mitchell MeltonDEVirginia
    91JT TuimoloauDE2Ohio State
    95Adetomiwa AdebaworeDT4Northwestern
    92Cameron BallDTArkansas
    99DeForest BucknerDT11Oregon
    93Tim SmithDT1Alabama
    90Grover StewartDT10Albany State
    94Jerry TilleryDT8Notre Dame
    58Austin AjiakeLB2UNLV
    53CJ AllenLBGeorgia
    50Bryce BoettcherLBOregon
    57Jaylon CarliesLB3Missouri
    44Tahj ChambersLBOle Miss
    51Akeem Davis-GaitherLB7Appalachian State
    47West WeeksLBLSU
    35Johnathan EdwardsCB2Tulane
    1Sauce GardnerCB5Cincinnati
    34Kapena GushikenCBOle Miss
    29Kenneth HarrisCBOklahoma State
    40Jaylon JonesCB4Texas A&M
    39Rob Carter Jr.CB1Robert Morris
    43Cameron MitchellCB4Northwestern
    26Cam Taylor-BrittCB5Nebraska
    27Justin WalleyCB2Minnesota
    7Charvarius WardCB9Middle Tennessee
    0Cam BynumSAF6California
    25AJ HaulcySAFLSU
    38Jonathan OwensSAF8Missouri Western
    32Daniel ScottSAF4California
    41Trey WashingtonSAF1Ole Miss
    30Hunter WohlerSAF2Wisconsin

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    3Spencer ShraderK3Notre Dame
    8Rigoberto SanchezP10Hawai'i
    46Luke RhodesLS10William & Mary