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Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts Odds & Predictions

AFCAFC SouthPower rank #23 of 32
2-42026 record

Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Colts game this season, plus AFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

Squawka SignalSignal vs market

Colts 2026 outlook

2.6%Make playoffs
1.5%Win AFC South
0.0%No.1 seed
0.0%Win AFC
0.0%Win Super Bowl
MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
Colts Super Bowl oddsFull odds0.0%0.5%0.3%-0.5Fair
Colts AFC Championship oddsFull odds0.0%0.5%1.0%-0.9Fair
Colts AFC South odds1.5%Signal read
Next game · Week 7MINat Minnesota VikingsRead the previewSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET

Moneyline

Squawka18% (+456)
Market28% (+257)
Gap-10.9 pts

Against the spread

ProjectedIND +10.1
MarketIND +6.5
Total41.5

Signal read

Strong lay
Spread 
Vikings

Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

AFC South standings and division odds

Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

TeamRecordWin AFC SouthPlayoffs
JACJacksonville Jaguars4-289.1%93.9%
HOUHouston Texans2-49.4%24.7%
INDIndianapolis Colts2-41.5%2.6%
TENTennessee Titans1-50.0%0.0%
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Indianapolis Colts schedule, results and lines

Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

WK 1vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.6proj lineL 23–41FinalRead preview
WK 2@KCKansas City ChiefsSun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ET22%win prob+8.3proj lineL 30–33FinalRead preview
WK 3vsHOUHouston TexansSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET39%win prob+3.0proj lineW 19–17FinalRead preview
WK 4@WASWashington Commanders Neutral siteSun Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET54%win prob-1.0proj lineW 30–13FinalRead preview
WK 5@PITPittsburgh SteelersSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET27%win prob+6.4proj lineL 22–34FinalRead preview
WK 6vsTENTennessee TitansSun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET75%win prob-7.1proj lineL 20–26FinalRead preview
WK 7@MINMinnesota VikingsSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET18%win prob+10.1proj line+6.5market lineRead preview
WK 8@JACJacksonville JaguarsSun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET21%win prob+8.8proj line+317market price
WK 9vsDALDallas CowboysSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.2proj line–market
WK 10vsMIAMiami DolphinsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET66%win prob-4.2proj line–market
WK 11@HOUHouston TexansThu Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET30%win prob+5.7proj line–market
WK 12vsNYGNew York GiantsSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET52%win prob-0.5proj line–market
WK 13Bye week
WK 14@PHIPhiladelphia EaglesSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET33%win prob+4.6proj line–market
WK 15@TENTennessee TitansSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET66%win prob-4.4proj line–market
WK 16vsCINCincinnati Bengals FlexSun Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET36%win prob+3.7proj line–market
WK 17@CLECleveland BrownsSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET50%win prob-0.1proj line–market
WK 18vsJACJacksonville Jaguars FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET28%win prob+6.2proj line+317market price

Colts injury report

No weekly designations filed yet for Week 7.

Out long-term

PlayerPosStatus
Cameron MitchellCBIR
Arden KeyDEIR
Micheal ClemonsDEIR
Carson TowtTEIR
Alec PierceWRIR
D.J. MontgomeryWRIR

Indianapolis Colts roster

76 players · tap to open

Offense 36

#PlayerPosExpCollege
17Daniel JonesQB8Duke
15Riley LeonardQB2Notre Dame
5Anthony Richardson Sr.QB4Florida
36Davon BoothRBMississippi State
21DJ GiddensRB2Kansas State
20Seth McGowanRBKentucky
28Jonathan TaylorRB7Wisconsin
10Keenan AllenWR13California
80Deion BurksWROklahoma
2Josh DownsWR4North Carolina
16Ashton DulinWR8Malone (OH)
6Anthony GouldWR3Oregon State
11Mecole Hardman Jr.WR8Georgia
2D.J. MontgomeryWR5Austin Peay
14Alec PierceWR5Cincinnati
13Laquon TreadwellWR10Ole Miss
9Quez WatkinsWR5Southern Miss
12Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR7Indiana
81Mo Alie-CoxTE9VCU
49Pharaoh BrownTE9Oregon
86Will MalloryTE4Miami (FL)
85Drew OgletreeTE5Youngstown State
45Carson TowtTENotre Dame
84Tyler WarrenTE2Penn State
60Tanor BortoliniC3Wisconsin
63Sedrick Van Pran-GrangerC3Georgia
62Jalen FarmerGKentucky
71Matt GoncalvesG3Pittsburgh
56Quenton NelsonG9Notre Dame
68Dalton TuckerG3Marshall
65Reid HolskeyOT1Miami (OH)
76Nolan RucciOTPenn State
78Roy MbaetekaT1
79Bernhard RaimannT5Central Michigan
67Luke TenutaT4Virginia Tech
75Jalen TravisT2Iowa State

Defense 36

#PlayerPosExpCollege
72Micheal ClemonsDE5Texas A&M
55Caden CurryDEOhio State
52George Gumbs Jr.DEFlorida
98Arden KeyDE9LSU
97Laiatu LatuDE3UCLA
96Carl LawsonDE9Auburn
54Mitchell MeltonDEVirginia
91Jaylahn TuimoloauDE2Ohio State
95Adetomiwa AdebaworeDT4Northwestern
92Cam BallDTArkansas
99DeForest BucknerDT11Oregon
93Tim SmithDT1Alabama
90Grover StewartDT10Albany State
94Jerry TilleryDT8Notre Dame
58Austin AjiakeLB2UNLV
53CJ AllenLBGeorgia
50Bryce BoettcherLBOregon
57Jaylon CarliesLB3Missouri
44Tahj ChambersLBOle Miss
51Akeem Davis-GaitherLB7Appalachian State
59Germaine PrattLB7North Carolina State
47West WeeksLBLSU
Johnathan EdwardsCB2Tulane
1Sauce GardnerCB5Cincinnati
34Kapena GushikenCBOle Miss
33Kenneth HarrisCBOklahoma State
43Cameron MitchellCB4Northwestern
29Cam Taylor-BrittCB5Nebraska
27Justin WalleyCB2Minnesota
7Charvarius WardCB9Middle Tennessee
0Cam BynumSAF6California
25AJ HaulcySAFLSU
38Jonathan OwensSAF8Missouri Western
32Daniel ScottSAF4California
41Trey WashingtonSAF1Ole Miss
30Hunter WohlerSAF2Wisconsin

Special teams 4

#PlayerPosExpCollege
3Spencer ShraderK3Notre Dame
4Thomas MorsteadP17SMU
8Rigoberto SanchezP10Hawai'i
46Luke RhodesLS10William & Mary

Indianapolis Colts FAQ

What are the Colts’ Super Bowl odds?

Squawka Signal gives the Colts a 0.0% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI. The market prices them at 0.5%, so the model reads them as fair. See the full Super Bowl odds.

Can the Colts win the AFC South?

The model makes them 1.5% to win the AFC South. The Jacksonville Jaguars are favoured at 89.1%.

Will the Colts make the playoffs?

Signal has them at 2.6% to reach the postseason, and 0.0% to take the No.1 seed in the AFC.

Who do the Colts play next?

Week 7, away at Minnesota Vikings on Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET. Signal makes the Colts 18% with a projected line of IND +10.1. Read our full preview.

Who is the Colts’ starting quarterback?

Daniel Jones. That is the projected starter our model rates the Colts on, taken from last season’s attempts plus any offseason moves — not an official depth chart.

What record are the Colts projected to finish with?

Adding up the model’s win probability for all 17 games gives an expected 7-10 (7.0 wins).

When is the Colts’ bye week?

Week 13 of the 2026 season.

What is the Colts’ power ranking?

Signal ranks them #23 of 32. The rating behind it is built from results and margin of victory, adjusted for opponent quality and for who is playing quarterback.

Where do the Colts play?

Indianapolis Colts play their home games at Lucas Oil Stadium.