Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction sends a defense with no sacks at all to the team that has recorded more than anyone. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Miami Dolphins have not sacked a quarterback in three games and have scored three touchdowns. The Minnesota Vikings have 14 sacks, the most in the league, and have conceded a 67.7 passer rating. U.S. Bank Stadium is the wrong destination for an 0-3 team.
Dolphins vs Vikings: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT 
Our props
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Dolphins vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
A winless offense against the league’s most disruptive defense. The table puts each attack against what the opposite side has actually allowed.
Dolphins attack against the Vikings defense
| Per game | Dolphins offense | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 192.3 | 234.0 |
| Rushing yards | 98.3 | 85.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 74.1 | 67.7 |
| Touchdowns | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 41.5% | 22.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 28.6% | 11.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 4.7 |
Vikings attack against the Dolphins defense
| Per game | Vikings offense | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 137.0 | 231.0 |
| Rushing yards | 101.3 | 104.3 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 82.1 | 118.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 30.2% | 48.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 80.0% | 78.6% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Read these as a 3-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Minnesota hold opponents to 11.1% in the red zone and a 22.7% third-down rate. Miami have no sacks and three touchdowns, so the margin is the only real question.
Dolphins vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Neither quarterback is the reason his team sits where it does, though only one of them has a defense keeping him there.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 20/36, 210 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 61.1 rtg | 49/86, 627 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 74.1 rtg (3 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 15/29, 168 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 66.5 rtg | 18/34, 186 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 54.3 rtg (2 games) |
Dolphins vs Vikings injury report and team news
Miami have recorded no sacks in three games, the only team in the league yet to bring a quarterback down.
Kyler Murray threw for 168 yards with a touchdown and an interception at Tampa Bay, a 66.5 rating, in his second appearance since joining Minnesota.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Where Dolphins vs Vikings is decided
Minnesota have 14 sacks in three games, two more than any other team, and they have held opponents to a 67.7 passer rating and 11.1% in the red zone. Both of those are the best marks in the league, and they have conceded three touchdowns in total.
Miami arrive with the mirror image. Zero sacks, three touchdowns scored, and 36 points across three defeats. Malik Willis has thrown one touchdown pass to two interceptions at a 74.1 rating, and the Dolphins convert 28.6% of red-zone trips.
The Vikings are not an offensive juggernaut. Four hundred and eleven passing yards is a modest total and Kyler Murray sits at a 54.3 rating for the season. They do not need more than that against this opponent.
Players to watch
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): 210 yards and an interception against Kansas City, plus 56 rushing yards.
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): Three carries for 17 yards in Week 3, a much reduced workload.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): 168 yards and a touchdown at Tampa Bay in his second Minnesota appearance.
- Jordan Addison (MIN, WR): Five catches for 90 yards and a touchdown in Week 3.
How to watch Dolphins vs Vikings
Kickoff is 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 4 at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 3:05 PM CT and 1:05 PM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:05 PM ET / 3:05 PM CT / 1:05 PM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Fubo |
| Week | Week 4, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Vikings prediction is a Minnesota win, 24-13. The Vikings defense is the best unit on this week’s card and Miami have scored three touchdowns in three games.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 4 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Steelers @ Browns | Browns 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Colts @ Commanders | Commanders 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cardinals @ Giants | Cardinals 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Cowboys @ Texans | Cowboys 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Packers @ Buccaneers | Packers 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jaguars @ Bengals | Jaguars 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Rams @ Eagles | Rams 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Bills | Bills 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Bears | Bears 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Ravens | Ravens 27-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Dolphins @ Vikings | Vikings 24-13 | You are here |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Broncos @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chiefs @ Raiders | Chiefs 27-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Seahawks | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Lions @ Panthers | Lions 31-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Saints | Saints 26-23 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Dolphins vs Vikings FAQ
Minnesota, comfortably, at home. The Vikings are 3-0; Miami are 0-3 with the worst point differential in the league.
4:05 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, at U.S. Bank Stadium.
No sacks in three games, against Las Vegas, San Francisco and Kansas City. They are the only team in the league yet to record one.
Miami lost 24-10 at home to Kansas City. Minnesota won 23-16 at Tampa Bay.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change