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NBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Signal + Market

Richard Parry
16 minutes ago

The prediction market makes Victor Wembanyama the 27% favorite for 2026-27 NBA MVP. Below is the full market, de-vigged to true probabilities, with a Squawka Signal twist: every contender is tagged with where their team sits in our power rankings, because the MVP almost always goes to a star carrying a winning team.

NBA MVP Race

NBA MVP Odds

The live MVP market, de-vigged to true probabilities, with each contender tagged by their team’s Squawka Signal power ranking. The favorite, Victor Wembanyama, plays for a team the model ranks #1 — MVP voters reward winning, and our power rankings are one tap away. Updated November 12, 2026.

#PlayerTeam · Signal rankMVP

Victor Wembanyama

SpursSignal #1

27%

Luka Doncic

LakersSignal #7

25%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

ThunderSignal #5

Jayson Tatum

CelticsSignal #3

Nikola Jokić

—

Tyrese Maxey

76ersSignal #12

Jalen Brunson

KnicksSignal #2

Giannis Antetokounmpo

HeatSignal #18

Jaylen Brown

76ersSignal #12

Jalen Johnson

HawksSignal #13

Jaren Jackson Jr.

JazzSignal #30

VJ Edgecombe

76ersSignal #12

Odds are a de-vigged read of the live prediction market (Kalshi), not a Squawka projection — the MVP is a player award our team model doesn’t price. The Signal rank is each player’s team in our NBA Power Rankings. How the model works.

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