Our Dolphins vs Raiders prediction favors Miami. The Dolphins travel to Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, September 13 for the late window. FOX has the 4:25 PM ET kickoff, one of four games in that slot. Both sides begin the 2026 NFL season here. Squawka Signal’s current read, and where the value sits, appears in the block directly below. Similarly, Signal rates every Week 1 fixture.
Las Vegas scored 241 points in 2025, fewer than any other team in the league. Miami managed 347, which was hardly prolific either.
The Raiders also allowed 64 sacks, the most of any side playing this weekend. Consequently their line is the first thing to look at.
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders
Miami DolphinsSquawka57%Market36%▲ Strong value
Las Vegas RaidersSquawka43%Market64%▼ OverpricedSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly.
Dolphins vs Raiders: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
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Dolphins vs Raiders: 2025 season form
Miami finished 7-10 at minus 77. Las Vegas went 3-14 at minus 191, and their 241 points were the fewest in the league.
| 2025 regular season | Dolphins | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-10 | 3-14 |
| Points for | 347 | 241 |
| Points against | 424 | 432 |
| Point differential | -77 | -191 |
| Sacks recorded | 39 | 37 |
| Sacks allowed | 38 | 64 |
| Interceptions made | 9 | 8 |
| Third-down offense | 34.9% | 33.8% |
| Red-zone offense | 56.3% | 50.0% |
| Red zone allowed | 59.7% | 57.8% |
| Opponent passer rating | 105.3 | 96.4 |
Two rows decide the reading. Las Vegas allowed 64 sacks and gained 3.57 yards a carry, both the weaker figures in this fixture. Miami’s defense conceded a 105.3 passer rating, though, so this is not a mismatch of quality.
Dolphins vs Raiders injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, neither quarterback room is fully settled.
Miami has not confirmed a starter. Malik Willis, Kyle McCord and Brady Cook are the options after Tua Tagovailoa’s move to Atlanta. De’Von Achane leads the backfield regardless, meanwhile, following 1,350 rushing yards in 2025.
Las Vegas has Kirk Cousins, Aidan O’Connell and the rookie Fernando Mendoza on the roster. Brock Bowers is the primary target, moreover, with Ashton Jeanty and Tre Tucker alongside him.
Miami DolphinsLas Vegas RaidersThe matchup that decides it: Miami’s ground game against a Raiders line that collapsed
Miami gained 4.73 yards a carry in 2025, the best average of any team playing this weekend. De’Von Achane ran for 1,350 of those yards.
Las Vegas managed 3.57 a carry, the weakest figure here, and allowed 64 sacks. Consequently their offense rarely sustained anything.
The Raiders do have Maxx Crosby, though. Indeed, his 10 sacks against a Miami line that conceded 38 is the one matchup that favors the home side.
Players to watch
- De’Von Achane (MIA, RB): 1,350 rushing yards in 2025, notably at the slate’s best team average.
- Bradley Chubb (MIA, OLB): Eight sacks last season, notably against a line that allowed 64.
- Maxx Crosby (LV, DE): 10 sacks in 2025; indeed, he is the Raiders’ most disruptive player.
- Brock Bowers (LV, TE): 680 receiving yards in just 12 games; indeed, he is Las Vegas’s primary target.
- Ashton Jeanty (LV, RB): 975 rushing yards, notably behind the weaker run-blocking in this fixture.
How to watch Dolphins vs Raiders
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. FOX has the broadcast, meanwhile, with NFL+ carrying it on mobile. Because this is the late Sunday window, coverage is regional, so check your local listings.
| Detail | Dolphins vs Raiders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 2:25 PM MT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV |
| TV | FOX |
| Live stream | FOX / NFL+ |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Dolphins vs Raiders prediction and score projection
Our Dolphins vs Raiders prediction is a Miami win, though neither team was good last season. A 7-10 record against 3-14 is most of the argument.
Las Vegas scored 241 points across seventeen games. Moreover, they allowed 64 sacks and averaged 3.57 yards a carry, so the offense had no reliable route to points.
So we will take the Dolphins to win, 23-17. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Dolphins vs Raiders FAQ
Miami, on last season’s evidence. The Dolphins finished 7-10 to Las Vegas’s 3-14, and the Raiders scored 241 points, fewest in the league. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Miami finished 7-10 at minus 77, Las Vegas 3-14 at minus 191.
FOX has the broadcast and NFL+ carries it on mobile. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. Notably, coverage is regional in the late window.
Miami had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Malik Willis, Kyle McCord and Brady Cook are the options, Tua Tagovailoa having moved to Atlanta.
Dolphins 23-17. Las Vegas allowed 64 sacks and averaged 3.57 yards a carry last season, both the weaker figures in this fixture.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change