Usually such a powerhouse at major tournaments, Joachim Low’s men crashed out of Russia 2018 in the group stage — the first time they’ve ever done so at a World Cup — despite going in as holders and one of the favourites. Since then, they’ve continued to stumble, failing to win a single game during the inaugural Uefa Nations League and missing out on the finals twice in a row.
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That said, they did qualify for Euro 2020 in style, winning seven and of their eight games to finish top of Group C, two points clear of the Netherlands and eight points ahead of Northern Ireland in third. Low has been busy casting out some of the old guard, such as Thomas Muller and Mats Hummels, replacing them with a young cast of stars including Chelsea’s Kai Havertz and Bayer Leverkusen wonderkid Florian Wirtz.
Can Low’s revamped squad return Germany to former glories at his final major tournament before stepping down?
Germany Euro 2020 odds
Though they are one of the heavyweights at the finals, Germany have been drawn into the proverbial ‘group of death’ alongside holders Portugal and world champions France, while Hungary complete the four-team line-up.
Despite their underperformance in Russia three years ago, and in two Nations League campaigns thereafter, Low’s men come into Euro 2020 as 7/1 fourth favourites, behind only England, France and Belgium, and ahead of the likes of Spain, the Netherlands and Portugal.
Though they haven’t done so since 1996, Germany have won this tournament on a joint-record three occasions, while they most recently reached the final in 2008. In fact, Die Mannschaft haven’t failed to reach at least the last four at a Euros since 2008. Of course, their poor recent performances — underlined by a 6-0 Nations League thrashing to Spain — make it difficult to predict just how they’ll do this summer but, as the old adage goes: you can never write off the Germans.
Germany’s potential path to Euro 2020 final
Germany were dealt a difficult hand when placed into Group F, which was swiftly dubbed the ‘group of death’ with holders Portugal and world champions France also drawn into the group.
Germany kick off their Euro 2020 group stage against France in Munich, where they’ll remain for ties against Portugal and Hungary.
Germany Euro 2020 group stage fixtures
15 June 2021: France vs Germany (8pm, UK time)
19 June 2021: Portugal vs Germany (5pm, UK time)
23 June 2021: Germany vs Hungary (8pm, UK time)
If Germany win Group F
Germany are 6/4 favourites (alongside France) to win Group F according to 888sport. This would be their route through to the final if they did.
Last 16: The third-placed side Group A/B/C (likely contenders for which are Wales, Turkey, Switzerland, Russia, Denmark, Ukraine, Austria) in Budapest on June 28.
Quarter-finals: The winner of Last-16 match 5, which is played between the runner-up of Group D (England/Croatia expected) and the Group E runners-up (Sweden/Poland expected).
Semi-finals: The winner of the quarter-final will player either the winner of Group A (Italy favourites), winner of Group B (Belgium favourites), runners-up of Group C (Ukraine or Austria expected) or a third-placed side from Group A/D/E/F.
If Germany qualify from Group F
If Germany don’t win Group F, and merely qualify, t could become a lot more complicated.
Last 16: The winner of Group D, which could be any of England, Croatia, Scotland or Czech Republic in London on June 29.
Quarter Finals: The winner of Last-16 match 8, which is played between the winner of Group E (which includes Spain, Sweden, Poland, Slovakia) and the third place in A/B/C/D (likely contenders for which are Wales, Turkey, Switzerland, Russia, Denmark, Ukraine and Austria).
Semi-finals: The winner of that Quarter Final will play the winner of Quarter Final Match 3, which will likely be the winner of Group C (expected to be the Netherlands) or runners-up from Group A/B.
If Germany finish third in their group and do enough to rank among the top third-placed teams, they would play the winner of Group B and then join the path they’d take if they won Group B (talk about over-complicating things!).
Germany Golden Boot odds
Unlike England with Harry Kane or Belgium with Romelu Lukaku, Germany don’t have one man they can point to who will consistently find the net. However, in Serge Gnabry — who has been on fire for Bayern Munich over the past 18 months — they do have an incredibly versatile forward who can terrorise defences both through the middle and on the flanks. The former Arsenal man is the 25/1 favourite among German players to win the Golden Boot this summer according to 888sport, alongside Chelsea’s Timo Werner at the same price.