Premier League 2024-25 relegation odds: Who will drop to the Championship?
We’re now embarking on an uninterrupted run of the 2024-25 Premier League, and the relegation battle is getting interesting.
Last season, all three promoted sides were relegated as Luton Town, Burnley and Sheffield United had a brief stay in the top flight. As a trio they were poor, with even 18th-placed Luton finish six points behind Nottingham Forest, who had four points deducted.
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This time around, we have Leicester City and Southampton making immediate returns to the Premier League alongside Ipswich Town who, after back-to-back promotions, are playing in the top flight for the first time since 2001-02. They were the pre-season favourites to go down and remain the top/bottom three for odds right now. But they have been joined by a few familiar faces.
Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2024-25?
Southampton
Last season’s play-off winners kick off the top three favourites to go down. And it hasn’t been a good start to life back in the Premier League. Goals have been Southampton’s main problem, scoring just ten in their 13 matches so far. That’s converted to just one win and two draws.
Southampton’s sole victory came in their 10th game, a narrow 1-0 win over Everton. But they followed that up with their ninth and 10th defeats of the campaign, which came in different circumstances. Their first was slightly controversial, seeing an early equaliser disallowed for a soft foul after a VAR review. Then they scored twice and led before falling to a 3-2 defeat to Liverpool. They remain bottom, now four points from safety.
Leicester City
Despite winning the Championship title, Leicester started the season as an odds-on favourite to go down. That is largely thanks to losing manager Enzo Maresca and key midfielder Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to Chelsea.
The Foxes have been an interesting team this season, taking 10 points from 13 games despite going through low periods. Leicester have managed two wins so far, but have lost four of their five since. And a 2-1 defeat to Chelsea after the international break proved to be the final straw, with Steve Cooper sacked, and since replaced by Ruud van Nistelrooy.
Ipswich Town
Playing in the Premier League for the first time since 2002 and off the back of a double promotion, it’s little surprise to see Ipswich Town among the big favourites for the drop. And it’s been a tough start to life back in the Premier League for Ipswich.
The Tractor Boys opened with successful defeats against Liverpool and Manchester City, as hard as it comes. They followed that up with four-straight draws but wins were hard to come by. Ipswich were the last Premier League side to get a victory this season, securing theirs with a big result against Tottenham Hotspur going into the international break. They returned with a draw against Manchester United, spoiling Ruben Amorim’s debut in the dugout, but since, they have fallen to a 1-0 loss at Nottingham Forest.
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Wolves
Many expected Wolverhampton Wanderers to do well this season. There were positive signs under Gary O’Neil last season, after the Englishman joined on the eve of the campaign’s start. Injuries eventually proved costly, and Wolves didn’t finish as high as they could have.
But this season they have seriously struggled. Wolves took just three points from their opening 10 games, losing seven and drawing three. That included a run of five straight defeats but Wolves have had arguably the toughest fixture list so far. After consecutive victories, including a narrow win over relegation rivals Southampton and a dominant 4-1 victory against Fulham at Craven Cottage, they faced a reality check with a 2-4 loss to Bournemouth at home.
Everton
Without their eight-point deduction, Everton would have finished 12th last season, behind Brighton but ahead of Bournemouth on goal difference with all three on 48 points. Moreover, the Toffees kept the second-most clean sheets in the league and conceded just 51 goals — only the top three boasted a better record. Even with their deduction, there was still a 14-point gap between Everton and the relegation zone last season.
Hopes were high that Everton would avoid the fight against relegation this season, but it was a terrible start. The Toffees lost their opening four games, conceding 13 goals, including two lost 2-0 leads. The ship has been steadied slightly, but Everton have still only taken 11 points from 13 games.
Crystal Palace
This was supposed to be Crystal Palace’s season. The Eagles had finished the 2023-24 campaign strongly under Oliver Glasner, and many expected it to continue. But Crystal Palace have struggled at the start of the campaign.
The departures of Michael Olise and Joachim Andersen have been big. Olise’s absence in the attacking areas is particularly obvious, with the Eagles scoring just 11 goals in the league this season. They’ve taken just nine points from 13 games this season and sit just outside the relegation zone.
