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Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the favourites to go down?

By Dean Smith

Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the early favourites to go down?

Published: 14:35, 27 February 2024

The 2023/24 Premier League season is rolling along and there’s been another twice in the relegation battle.

Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24?

Premier League Relegation Odds

*Odds correct as of 14:30 on February 27

Sheffield United

As is often the case, at the start of the season, the newly-promoted sides are among the favourites to go straight back down. And now, Sheffield United doesn’t look like proving their pre-season odds wrong. The Blades sick rock bottom of the Premier League after 26 games, winning just three so far. They’ve amassed 13 points, with eight coming since Chris Wilder returned to replace Paul Heckingbottom. Wilder won his second game in charge against Brentford but has since overseen seven defeats and two draws, producing a 3-1 win at Luton. They could not build on that, losing 5-0 at home to Brighton, and 1-0 to Wolves.


Vincent Kompany received much praise for getting Burnley back into the Premier League in his first English football management season. The Clarets played good football, were free-scoring in the Championship, and had a tight defence. But they’re struggling in the top flight. Burnley are currently 19th with just 13 points from their opening 26 matches. They’re winless in their last eight since a 2-0 win over Fulham before Christmas, losing to Liverpool (twice), Aston Villa, Manchester City, Arsenal and Crystal Palace, alongside draws with Luton and Fulham — the latter seeing them come from 2-0 down.


Another newly promoted side, Luton, hadn’t been in the top flight since before the Premier League was created, and hopes weren’t high for them to stay more than one season. Although they are still in the relegation zone, there is reason for Luton to be positive, as they recently went on a run of three wins in six. However, since that last victory against Brighton, Luton are now winless in three. It started with a draw against Newcastle, before Luton suffered defeats against Manchester United, Sheffield United and Liverpool. And the misery has been added to, with Luton now four points from safety after Everton had their points deduction reduced.


Nottingham Forest

Many had Nottingham Forest go down last season, and Steve Cooper saw his job at risk at multiple points in the campaign. They both survived that time, but 2023/24 is different. Cooper lost his job, being replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo, and the Portuguese tactician pulled off a 3-1 win at Newcastle, ending a seven-game winless run (six losses and one draw). He built on that with a massive 2-1 victory over Manchester United at the City Ground, lifting Forest four points from the drop zone. However, they’ve been thrown straight back into it, with three losses from four to Brentford, Arsenal and Newcastle. The run was halted with a much-needed win over West Ham, but Forest returned to losing ways in a defeat to Aston Villa at the weekend. They remain four points above the bottom three, but have dropped to 17th.


For the second season in a row, Everton survived by the skin of their teeth, and in 2022/23, they were so close to saying goodbye to the Premier League, needing a 1-0 win over Bournemouth on the final day. It was looking for all the world like Everton would nestle safely into mid-table this season, with Sean Dyche’s men picking up winning enough points to sit 13th in the Premier League after 26 games. However, a 10-point deduction through them in the relegation mix, swapping places regularly with Luton. The Toffees first reacted well to the news of their points deduction, winning four consecutive victories, but they are now winless in nine (four losses and five draws). The most recent result was an agonising draw against Brighton in which they looked on course for all three points before a late equaliser.

However, they have had a minor boost with their 10-point deduction reduced to six. It moved the Toffees up to 15th, now five points above the relegation zone, and shortening their odds of staying up. Of course, there is the threat of another points deduction looming, but for now the Toffees can be a tad more comfortable.


A surprise name near the bottom of the table and among the relegation odds is Brentford. Thomas Frank’s side have been very good since being promoted to the Premier League, finishing 13th in their maiden campaign before climbing to ninth last season. But now they are 15th, three points clear of the relegation zone, albeit with a game in hand on most of the teams around them. The fall resulted from a five-game losing streak since they beat Luton at the start of December. Brentford lost to Brighton, Sheffield United, Aston Villa, Wolves and Crystal Palace in that run, a 3-1 defeat despite taking a very early lead. The 3-2 win over Forest stopped the rot, but Brentford lost back-to-back against Tottenham and Manchester City, having taken the lead in both games. There was another win, this time against Wolves, followed by three more defeats, as Brentford lost to Liverpool, Man City (again) and West Ham.