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Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the favourites to go down?

By Dean Smith

Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the early favourites to go down?

Published: 15:00, 8 April 2024

The 2023/24 Premier League season is rolling along and there’s been another twist in the relegation battle.

Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24?

Premier League Relegation Odds

*Odds correct as of 15:00 on April 08. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Sheffield United

As is often the case, at the start of the season, the newly-promoted sides are among the favourites to go straight back down. And now it feels like it’s only a matter of time before Sheffield United prove the pre-season odds right. The Blades sit rock bottom of the Premier League after 30 games, winning just three matches all season. They are now nine points from safety and time is running out. Alongside a host of defeats, Sheffield United also suffered two damning draws recently, leading by two goals against Bournemouth and Fulham before having to settle for just two points, but did earn a credible point against Chelsea last time out.


Vincent Kompany received a lot praise for getting Burnley back into the Premier League in his first English football management season. The Clarets played good football, were free-scoring in the Championship, and had a tight defence. But they’re struggling in the top flight. Burnley are second from bottom with 19 points from their opening 32 matches. They ended a 10-game winless run recently with a 2-1 win over Brentford at home, which came as part of a four-match unbeaten run. However, that was brought to an end as they lost 1-0 to Everton.


Another newly promoted side, Luton, hadn’t been in the top flight since before the Premier League was created, and hopes weren’t high for them to stay more than one season. The Hatters are in the bottom three, but now they are only behind 17th-placed Nottingham Forest on goal different. After a 10-game winless run, Luton finally got three points with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth. It was a bit of revenge after Bournemouth had come from 3-0 down to beat Luton 4-3 last month.


Nottingham Forest

Many had Nottingham Forest going down last season, and Steve Cooper saw his job at risk at multiple points in the campaign. They both survived that time, but 2023/24 is different. Cooper lost his job, being replaced by Nuno Espirito Santo, and the Portuguese tactician pulled off a 3-1 win at Newcastle, ending a seven-game winless run (six losses and one draw).

It’s been an up-and-down season since and, at the moment, Forest sit outside the relegation zone on goal difference. That comes despite a four-point deduction from the Premier League, which had initially dropped them into the bottom three. They’re were unbeaten in three before a loss at Tottenham last time out.


For the second season in a row, Everton survived by the skin of their teeth, and in 2022/23, they were so close to saying goodbye to the Premier League, needing a 1-0 win over Bournemouth on the final day. It was looking for all the world like Everton would nestle safely into mid-table this season, but, a 10-point deduction threw them in the relegation mix, swapping places regularly with Luton. The Toffees first reacted well to the news of their points deduction, winning four consecutive victories, but they recently went on a 14-game winless run.

That came to an end at the weekend, though, with Everton beating Burnley — the team they had beat before the winless run. It leaves them four points clear of the relegation zone, but the Toffees were given another points deduction (two) leaving them just two points above the danger zone.


A surprise name near the bottom of the table and among the relegation odds is Brentford. Thomas Frank’s side have been very good since being promoted to the Premier League, finishing 13th in their maiden campaign before climbing to ninth last season. But now they are 15th, four points clear of the relegation zone. The fall has come from a frankly terrible run since before the November international break. In 21 games during that time, Brentford have lost 14 times, winning three win four draws. Since their most recent win, a 2-0 victory over Wolves, Brentford are now winless in nine, with five defeats.