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Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the favourites to go down?

By Dean Smith

Premier League 2023/24 relegation odds: Who are the early favourites to go down?

Published: 7:15, 5 December 2023

We’re rapidly approaching the halfway point of the 2023/24 Premier League season and the relegation battle is, once again, incredibly close. 

Premier League Relegation Odds

*Odds correct as of 07:30 on December 05

Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24?


As is often the case, at the start of the season the newly-promoted sides are among the favourites to go straight back down. Some do unfortunately suffer an immediate return to the Championship but others shock us and maybe even become mainstays. At the moment, Luton are looking likely to return to the Championship come May. The Hatters have taken just 9 points from their opening 14 games on their return to the top flight, their most recent victory coming 2-1 at home to Crystal Palace before falling 3-1 away to Brentford last time out.

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Sheffield United

Another newly-promoted side, Sheffield United have history of providing a shock. When they were promoted for the 2019/20 season, Sheffield United finished ninth, before suffering in the second campaign. Any hopes of a repeat of the first season may already be over with the Blades the only just picking up their first win of the Premier League campaign. After 14 games played it’s just five points with 10 defeats, including that 8-0 thrashing at the hands of Newcastle. Grabbing the win against Wolves in the 10th minute of second-half stoppage time before earning a point away at Brighton has given them hope, but they have since suffered damaging 3-1 and 5-0 defeats to relegation rivals Bournemouth and Burnley, respectively. The Blades remain rock bottom.


Vincent Kompany received a lot of praise for his work in getting Burnley back up into the Premier League in his first season of management in English football. The Clarets played good football and were free-scoring in the Championship, as well as having a tight defence. But they’re struggling in the top flight. Burnley are currently sitting 19th with seven points from their opening 14 matches, ending a seven-match losing streak across all competitions with a 5-0 thrashing of Sheffield United on Saturday.



For the second season in a row, Everton survived by the skin of their teeth and in 2022/23 they were so close to saying goodbye to the Premier League, needing a 1-0 win over Bournemouth on the final day. It was looking for all the world like Everton would nestle safely into mid-table this season, with Sean Dyche’s men picking up form and sitting 14th with 14 points, despite losing their opening three games of the season. However, a 10-point deduction has plunged them back into the bottom three, though most Toffees fans are still rather bullish about their chances of survival, especially after a 1-0 win away at Nottingham Forest moved them back to within two points of safety. Without that deduction, Everton would be 12th on 17 points.


Considering they finished 15th last season, it may have surprised some to see Bournemouth as one of the most-favoured clubs to go down in the Premier League. But going into the November international break it was becoming clear just why. The Cherries had just two wins to their name — beating Burnley 2-1 at the end of October and Newcastle last time out. Things are looking much brighter after taking seven points from their last three games, beating Newcastle and Sheffield United before a 2-2 draw with Aston Villa.

Nottingham Forest

Finishing one point below Bournemouth in the 2022/23 table was Nottingham Forest, who many also had going down for quite a lot of the season. Steve Cooper saw his job at risk at multiple points in the campaign but the club stuck with him and it paid off, with safety secured thanks to a 1-0 win over Arsenal at the City Ground. Forest’s decent start to the season has come crashing to a halt with just one win in their last 10 and three straight defeats. Cooper’s side are 15th on 13 points but could quickly see themselves dragged into trouble if the likes of Everton and Bournemouth keep up their current form.