Outright Odds

Premier League 2022/23 relegation odds: Only four points separates 12th from 20th

By Dean Smith

Premier League 2022/23 relegation odds: Bournemouth favourites for drop after Chelsea defeat

Published: 7:00, 20 March 2023

Can you remember a relegation battle this close? As we hit the final months of the 2022/23 Premier League season, nine clubs are separated by just four points. Anyone could go down.

Find the latest Premier League relegation odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet
Southampton 78.08% 2/5
Bournemouth 55.98% 4/7
Nottingham Forest  49.83% 10/11
Everton 42.09% 7/4
Leeds 21.37% 3/1
Wolves 19.83% 7/2
Leicester 11.02% 4/1
West Ham 15.70% 9/2
Crystal Palace 6.10% 5/1
Probability % provided by Opta StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:00, 20/03/2023). BeGambleAware.

Who will be relegated from the Premier League in 2022/23?


Southampton can look breathtaking on their day, with slick passing and execution that belies their position in the table. However, at other times, a lack of cutting edge in the final third and a soft underbelly at the back exposes their flaws.

And it’s one of the reasons why they are on their third manager of the season, with Ruben Selles replacing Nathan Jones who initially replaced Ralph Hasenhuttl. With 10 games left to play, Southampton are bottom of the table and have won two of their six league games since Selles took charge, beating Chelsea and Leicester.

There have been defeats to Leeds and Brentford, but also draws against Manchester United and Tottenham. In the latter, Saints showed real fight to come from 3-1 down to secure a 3-3 draw late on, and they are just two points from safety. However, almost all of their relegation rivals do have at least one game in hand.

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Bournemouth made the big call to sack Scott Parker just four games into the new season, with the Cherries beating Aston Villa before losing to Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool. A 9-0 thrashing against Liverpool seemed to be the result that did it, but more due to Parker’s reaction post-match, appearing to call out the board.

After an initial bounce under Gary O’Neil, Bournemouth slumped almost as soon as he was made permanent manager, losing 11 of their next 15 Premier League games. There have been three defeats in the past four in the league but they have surrounded a 1-0 win over Liverpool at the Vitality, in which Bournemouth were excellent.

They couldn’t build off that win, losing 3-0 to Aston Villa, and sit 19th. Goal difference is working against them too, with the Cherries on -29, the worst in the league right now. It’s points or bust for Bournemouth.

Nottingham Forest

Having been away from the Premier League for so long, Forest fans will just be happy to see their side rubbing shoulders with the perennial big boys once again. But, if Steve Cooper’s career has taught us anything, he will not be a man who simply wants to make up the numbers in the top division.

A progressive coach who produced miracles in taking Forest from the bottom of the Championship to the Premier League, Cooper will have wanted to cause a splash this season. Forest have had some big results so far but after 27 games played Forest are 16th, only four points above the drop zone. They are also now winless in six games in the Premier League, with four defeats and two draws – one was against Man City, though.


Everton pulled off a great escape last season and fans will have been hoping Frank Lampard could lead them away from the relegation battle in 2022/23. However, following a defeat to West Ham last month, Lampard was relieved of his duties, and in his place Sean Dyche has made a return to the dugout. Far from a glamorous appointment, fans will be hoping the former Burnley manager can bring an element of calm and stability to a club in choppy waters.

Early signs of that happening came with a 1-0 win over league leaders Arsenal in Dyche’s first game, but he was reminded of the gravity of the task at hand in a 2-0 defeat to Liverpool at Anfield. Further defeats to Aston Villa and Arsenal left them scrambling in the relegation zone but Everton have climbed up to 15th with a win and two draws in their past three, recently scoring late to secure a 2-2 result against Chelsea.


Things were going so well at Leeds in the early months of Jesse Marsch’s tenure, but the American soon found out that life in the Premier League can be tough — and he has since succumb to the unforgiving Premier League chopping block, suffering the sack last month. Javi Gracia has since come in to try and save the day.

The former Watford manager secured an opening win against Southampton, and beat Wolves at the weekend after two winless matches, to sit two points above the drop zone.


Speaking of Wolves, Julen Lopetegui’s side are one point above Leeds and only three clear of the relegation zone – but they have played more than a number of the teams below them. After an initially positive start to Lopetegui’s tenure, Wolves have been struggling with just one win from their past six.


Leicester have looked down and out, safe, and once again in danger this season, and right now they’re the most likely to drop into the relegation zone. After a run of four straight defeats, Leicester held Brentford to a 1-1 draw over Brentford, moving them one point clear of the relegation zone. However, the team directly below them have a game in hand.

West Ham

The team directly below Leicester are West Ham, who look in serious trouble. It wasn’t too long ago that the Hammers beat Everton in what was being dubbed as a ‘loser gets sacked’ match between David Moyes and Frank Lampard. West Ham won and Lampard did indeed get sacked, but Moyes has still overseen just three wins in his last 15 games.

There have been positive results with draws against Newcastle and Chelsea, as well as a 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest, but a 4-0 capitulation at Brighton has undone all of their good work. They do have as many as two games in hand on the teams above them though.

Crystal Palace

Finally, Crystal Palace. Up in 12th, Palace look safe on the face of things but as we said, there are just four points between them and last-placed Southampton. And, crucially, Crystal Palace are in terrible form.

The Eagles are now winless in 12 Premier League games, yet to taste victory in 2023, securing their most recent victory on New Year’s Eve. It’s a run of results which saw Patrick Vieira sacked on Friday, with Paddy McCarthy temporarily replacing him.