Premier League Predictions & Betting Tips | 2022/2023

The Squawka team uses data insights on form, historical head-to-head records and team news to generate predictions and betting tips for the 2022/23 Premier League season. We aim to produce predictions at least 24 hours before each Premier League game

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On this page
Who will win the Premier League title?
Who will finish in the Premier League top four?
Who will be relegated from the Premier League?
Premier League 2022/23 key dates

The 2022/23 Premier League campaign is moving towards its business end and Manchester City are still targeting a third-successive title, having pipped Liverpool to last season’s championship by a single point.

Pep Guardiola’s side are looking to become just the sixth side to win three consecutive titles in English top flight history, and only the second club after Manchester United (1999-2001 and 2007-09) to achieve the feat in the Premier League.

City already came close to achieving that feat three seasons ago, winning the title in 2017/18 and 2018/19, but they are chasing Arsenal right now and it’s a race they appear to be losing. Can the Gunners hold on and relive the heady days of the noughties?

Who will win the Premier League title?

Find the latest Premier League winner odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet
Arsenal 55.47% 8/13
Manchester City 44.49% 11/8
Manchester Utd 0.04% 200/1
Probability % provided by StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:00, 20/03/2023). BeGambleAware.
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Last season’s Premier League title race was a thrilling one with Liverpool taking Man City all the way to the final day before finally succumbing. In the end, just one point separated the two sides at the top of the table, and Man City didn’t make it easy for themselves or their fans, going 2-0 down at home to Aston Villa before coming back to win 3-2.

Many expected that to be the title battle again this season but it’s Arsenal who find themselves top of the table with 12 games left to play. The Gunners have won 20 of their 26 matches in the Premier League so far this season, drawing three and losing three. A 3-1 defeat to Man City in February threatened to derail Arsenal’s title charge, coming as part of a three-match winless run, but the Gunners have bounced back.

Five wins in a row, including two dramatic come-from-behind victories over Aston Villa and Bournemouth, have truly shown Arsenal’s resolve and they sit eight points clear of Man City. Guardiola’s side have won two of their past three games since beating Arsenal, but could be left cursing a draw with Nottingham Forest which took the control back out of their hands.

Who will finish in the Premier League top four?

Find the latest Premier League top four odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet
Man Utd 91.73% 1/5
Newcastle 40.23% 1/1
Liverpool 29.57% 2/1
Tottenham  24.47% 2/1
Brighton 13.49% 9/2
Probability % provided by StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:00, 20/03/2023). BeGambleAware.

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Chelsea and Tottenham completed the top four last season, but the former are currently 11 points adrift of that final Champions League place — and sitting 10th — after a run of three wins from their past 17 matches. The Blues spent big in the summer and winter but are preparing for a season without Champions League football.

Tottenham are still in a decent position despite having a topsy-turvy season, losing the second-most games in the top half of the table (nine). Antonio Conte’s men are currently fourth, two points clear of fifth-placed Newcastle and six clear of Liverpool in seven — though both clubs have played a game less. Tottenham also missed the chance to move up to third, squandered a 3-1 lead against Southampton to draw 3-3, conceding an injury-time penalty.

For Newcastle, a top four finished looked almost a certainty at the start of the year but the Magpies have fallen slightly. They went winless in five Premier League matches across a spell between January and early March, drawing three and losing two, though those defeats came against Liverpool and Manchester City. They have since bounced back with wins over Wolves and Nottingham Forest to close the gap on Spurs.

At the start of February, Liverpool were ninth, just one point above Chelsea and appearing to be joining the Blues out of Europe. But Jurgen Klopp’s side have turned things around incredibly. Four wins from their past six games have lifted Liverpool up to sixth and many have them among the favourites to qualify for the top four. Their most recent victory was a statement one too, annihilating Manchester United 7-0 at Anfield, though they did coming crash back to earth with a defeat to Bournemouth last time out.

Although a humiliating defeat for Erik ten Hag’s men, one week after they won the EFL Cup, Man Utd are still third. However, the Red Devils are now just three points ahead of fifth-placed Newcastle having dropped further points to Southampton recently.

Also keep an eye out for Brighton, who have continued to flourish in the post-Potter era, as well as Fulham and Brentford.

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Who will be relegated from the Premier League?

Find the latest Premier League relegation odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet
Southampton 78.08% 2/5
Bournemouth 55.98% 4/7
Nottingham Forest  49.83% 10/11
Everton 42.09% 7/4
Leeds 21.37% 3/1
Wolves 19.83% 7/2
Leicester 11.02% 4/1
West Ham 15.70% 9/2
Crystal Palace 6.10% 5/1
Probability % provided by Opta StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:00, 20/03/2023). BeGambleAware.

If you thought the top four battle was filled with teams, wait until you see what’s going on at the bottom. Just four points separate basement club Southampton and Crystal Palace up in 12th and it appears that no team really wants to pull away, with some clubs even at crisis point, with The Eagles recently sacking Patrick Vieira after a winless run in 2023. That dismissal policy has worked somewhat for other clubs, though.

After calling time on Nathan Jones’ brief and unsuccessful spell in charge at St Mary’s, Southampton have won two of their past six games, including triumphs over Chelsea and Leicester, though they remain rooted to the foot of the table. Bournemouth and West Ham complete the relegation zone, just one point ahead of Southampton.

Leicester are next up after their draw with Brentford lifted themselves one point clear of West Ham and Bournemouth, while Nottingham Forest, Leeds and Everton are all tied on 26 — the latter pair picking up points this weekend (three in Leeds’ case).

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Premier League 2022/23 key dates

Event Date
Premier League Fixtures Released 16/06/2022
First Game 05/08/2022
Winter Break (For World Cup 2022) 13/11/2022
League Resumes 26/12/2022
Final Day  28/05/2023
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Premier League 2022/23 table

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Our Premier League Experts

The Squawka brand is well-respected among football fans across the world and with good reason! Our team of writers include some of the most knowledgeable and passionate Premier League experts and between them they bring you their weekly tips and previews with well-researched and hand-picked stats.

Not only are these experts experienced and knowledgeable, but they also have access to some of the best data and stats available, meaning they can combine their own knowledge with pure numbers to bring your their best bets on a game-by-game basis.

When do Squawka release their Premier League predictions?

We aim to post our Premier League predictions and tips around 48 hours before kick-off, allowing punters time to weigh up their options. Time periods can change depending on fixture congestion.

For particularly eye-catching fixtures, there may be an array of different betting guides and pointers around the site, so keep your eyes peeled for a special Squawka slant on your betting content ahead of the biggest games on the calendar.

What betting markets are popular for the Premier League?

Operating as one of the most popular bets in football, if there’s a wager you’re looking to use your Premier League betting tips on, then full-time results and correct scores fit the bill.

With each game, the odds will differ, based on form and quality. For instance, if Newcastle, the team with the best defence, were to face off with Wolves, who have the worst attack, you can expect the Magpies to hold firm.

More popular in recent years have been both teams to score bets. Even if your team loses, you’ll still emerge with cash in hand should they, alongside the victors, make it onto the score-sheet.

This also counts for extra-time and any penalty permutations. The Premier League was a strong league for BTTS bets in the 2021/2022 season, with Leicester City leading the way in games that saw both teams find the net. 68% of the Foxes’ games saw BTTS come in.

Obviously with this being Squawka, we love a stats bet too! These have become more and more prevalent in the last handful of seasons with corners, cards, shots, passes, tackles, offsides and more all available markets on certain Premier League fixtures.

Best bookmakers for betting on the Premier League

Operating as the most unpredictable and thrilling league in the world, the Premier League offers all the excitement and drama – hence the popularity from bookies small and large.

Some of the best in the business, however, are listed below for you to peruse and check out their own Premier League tips:

Which other competitions do you provide tips for?

We offer tips and predictions on every other major league in the world, covering games just as we would do with the Premier League contests to ensure that you get the most comprehensive online betting experience possible.

Here are some of the other competitions we offer tips for:

Premier League offers & free bets

The bookies always have a host of free bets and offers available around all the big games of the season, to entice new customers, and keep existing customers in the loop.

Last season’s title winners Manchester City proved that they are certainly a team deserving of the big-game offers and betting tips. Alongside them, however, are Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, who are looking to usurp them.

And then there are those now outside the title-contending pack that are providing just as much entertainment and thrill, including Newcastle, Man Utd, Spurs and Liverpool.

So, make sure to check out our Premier League free bets and betting offers ahead of all the big games of this 2022/23 campaign.

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