Outright Odds

Premier League title odds 2022/23: Arsenal will head into 2023 top, but can they hold out?

By Dean Smith

Premier League title odds 2022:23- Arsenal will head into 2023 top, but can they hold out?

Published: 19:00, 6 November 2022 | Updated: 19:40, 13 November 2022

Manchester City claimed the 2021/22 Premier League title on the final day, finishing one point ahead of Liverpool. What do bookmakers make of each contender’s chances so far this season?

Find the latest Premier League winner odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet
Manchester City 75.62% 4/9
Arsenal 20.99% 2/1
Newcastle 0.38% 33/1
Liverpool 2.22% 40/1
Tottenham 0.53% 66/1
Man Utd 0.16% 66/1 
Chelsea 0.09% 250/1
Probability % provided by StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (18:30, 30/11/2022). BeGambleAware.

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Who are the favourites to win the Premier League?

The last five Premier League titles have been shared between two clubs. The bulk of those (four) has been claimed by Manchester City who are seeking to become only the second team in the Premier League era to three-peat. Manchester United, under legendary boss Sir Alex Ferguson managed this feat, which has eluded Pep Guardiola’s men, on two separate occasions. City were pushed to the limit last season and needed to register their third-highest points total to fend off Liverpool who are set to once again be their biggest threat.

Jurgen Klopp’s side came agonisingly close to recording an unprecedented quadruple. The Reds have finished third or higher in each of the last four seasons, averaging 89.25 points per campaign, among this run was a championship which ended the club’s 30-year wait to be English football’s number one team. That honour is something Chelsea want to claim again, under new ownership the Blues are seeking to end a six-year Premier League drought, they ended up best of the rest last time out but the gap to second-placed Liverpool was a huge 18 points.

Rounding off the Champions League places was a reinvigorated Tottenham who last stood top of the pile in 1961. The Lilywhites possess two exemplary forwards in the guise of Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min, who last season became the first Asian footballer to finish as the league’s top scorer. A brace on the final day against Norwich saw Son move onto 22 strikes level with Mohamed Salah.

It’s been a while since a Manchester United player claimed the ‘Golden Boot’, though Cristiano Ronaldo put in a shift. The five-time Ballon d’Or winner is still expected to be part of Erik ten Hag’s plans, despite the slow start. Arsenal, meanwhile, were on the cusp of bringing Champions League football back to the Emirates but they fell short of the finish line. This season though, it’s a different story…

How have the teams started?

Man City

Pep Guardiola’s men came up short in their concluding game before the World Cup after a late Ivan Toney winner secured Brentford a rare three points at the Etihad. That relative giantkilling allowed Arsenal to capitalise on their game in hand against Wolves and carve out a five-point buffer heading into the autumnal hiatus. Even now, some still doubt whether Arsenal can challenge City, but a former Premier League-winning coach certainly thinks Guardiola has competition.

Arsene Wenger told beIN Sports: “Yeah, personally I would put them just behind City. [Arsenal are] the second-best team to have a good chance to win the Premier League because Man City at some stage will focus highly on the Champions League.

“I think [Arsenal are City’s best challengers]. And after we don’t know about Liverpool but they are already 11 points behind and 10 points behind Man City is a mountain to climb.

“And Chelsea as well do not look consistent at the moment. They have not found the confidence to contend to win the league.”

Arsenal

Arsenal have been emphatic this season and currently sits top of the Premier League table, a scenario almost completely at odds with their inauspicious start last campaign, in which they lost their opening three games. Indeed, the Gunners look like genuine title-challengers, bouncing back from a defeat to Man Utd in September by beating Brentford, Tottenham, Liverpool, Leeds, Nottingham Forest, Chelsea and Wolves.

New recruits Oleksandr Zinchenko, Gabriel Jesus and Fabio Vieira have all hit the ground running, collectively underlining the careful and meticulous work Mikel Arteta has been doing behind the scenes, and in front of the cameras. But Micah Richards is worried that the Gunners could still be derailed by key injuries.

“Arsenal have been brilliant. This season they have been different. They’re different,” he said.

“Over the course of the season, if they get a few injuries, probably not [able to win the league]. The difference with Manchester City and Arsenal is City can lose a few players and play the exact same way, they can afford to rotate.

“If Arsenal lose Gabriel Jesus or Oleksandr Zinchenko to a certain degree or Thomas Partey in central midfield, all of a sudden they become a different team. But as they are now, they’re on a good run.”

Liverpool

Things could have been a lot worse for Liverpool up against newly-promoted Fulham on the opening weekend of the season, but the Reds twice fought from a goal down to earn a point at Craven Cottage. They then had to battle back from a goal — and a man — down against Crystal Palace after Wilfried Zaha broke the deadlock at Anfield before Darwin Nunez inexplicably head-butted Joachim Andersen. A Luis Diaz screamer restored parity to claim what could prove a vital point.

Klopp’s side then bounced back from defeat to Man Utd with a thunderous 9-0 demolition of Bournemouth at Anfield. There was another massive win against Newcastle shortly after, but they failed to trouble Everton in the first Merseyside Derby of the campaign, drawing 0-0 at Goodison Park before playing out an entertaining 3-3 draw at home against Brighton.

October represented a challenging month and worries around Liverpool grew as they lost 3-2 to Arsenal, but Klopp’s side bounced back with a massive 1-0 win over Man City thanks to Mohamed Salah’s second-half strike. They followed that up with a 1-0 win over West Ham before falling to back-to-back losses at Nottingham Forest (1-0) and Leeds United (1-2). After beating Spurs (2-1) the Reds took down Southampton to conclude their pre-World Cup schedule.

Boxing Day will see Liverpool clash with Aston Villa. However, the big month for Klopp’s crew is April, with Man City, Arsenal, Leeds away, West Ham away and Spurs all on the schedule, before a fairly straightforward run-in in May against Brentford, Leicester, Villa and Southampton away.

Spurs

The north Londoners are expected to be in the mix, owing to Conte’s reputation as a serial title winner and some good recruitment in the summer. They kicked things off with a 4-1 win over Southampton, after which they snagged a point in a London derby against Chelsea, before battling for a pair of wins against Wolves (1-0 at home) and Nottingham Forest (0-2, away). A draw with West Ham and a win over Fulham followed for Spurs, who also recently thumped Leicester and remain unbeaten in the league. October was a huge month for Spurs, and they have faltered, beaten by Arsenal, Man Utd and Newcastle, the latter two were abject displays. After losing to Liverpool, Conte was able to sign off with a much-needed win over Leeds.

Boxing Day is a potentially slippy tie against Brentford, before Conte sees out the year against Aston Villa. January will see them not venture past the M25 as they take on Crystal Palace, Arsenal at home and Fulham, with three tasty all-London affairs to start the New Year.

May appears relatively drama-free as they take on Palace, Villa, Brentford and Leeds, but before they even get to the league’s concluding month, they must face Newcastle away, Manchester United and Liverpool away in quick succession to round off April.

Premier League outright odds: Other markets

You can bet on many more outright markets than just the Premier League winner. As well as backing a team to lift the famous trophy, many bookmakers offer markets such as To Finish Top Four, To Be Relegated, To Finish In The Top Half, Without the Big Six and even more player specific markets such as the Top Scorer and the PFA Player of the Year winner.

READ MORE:

Premier League predictions & tips
Football Accumulator tips
Latest live streaming fixtures

Premier League 2022/23 table

Premier League
# Team P W D L F A GD Pts Last 5
1
Arsenal FC
14 12 1 1 33 11 22 37
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
2
Manchester City
14 10 2 2 40 14 26 32
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
3
Newcastle United
15 8 6 1 29 11 18 30
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
4
Tottenham Hotspur
15 9 2 4 31 21 10 29
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
5
Manchester United
14 8 2 4 20 20 0 26
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
6
Liverpool FC
14 6 4 4 28 17 11 22
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
7
Brighton & Hove Albion
14 6 3 5 23 19 4 21
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
8
Chelsea FC
14 6 3 5 17 17 0 21
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
9
Fulham FC
15 5 4 6 24 26 -2 19
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
10
Brentford FC
15 4 7 4 23 25 -2 19
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
11
Crystal Palace
14 5 4 5 15 18 -3 19
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
12
Aston Villa
15 5 3 7 16 22 -6 18
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
13
Leicester City
15 5 2 8 25 25 0 17
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
14
AFC Bournemouth
15 4 4 7 18 32 -14 16
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
15
Leeds United
14 4 3 7 22 26 -4 15
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
16
West Ham United
15 4 2 9 12 17 -5 14
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
17
Everton FC
15 3 5 7 11 17 -6 14
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
18
Nottingham Forest
15 3 4 8 11 30 -19 13
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
19
Southampton FC
15 3 3 9 13 27 -14 12
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
15 2 4 9 8 24 -16 10
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L