The World Cup outright odds now cover just eight teams: the quarter-final line-up is complete, and the last eight begins in Boston tomorrow night.
Argentina supplied the drama of the final night of last-16 action, trailing Egypt at half-time before winning 3-2, while Switzerland outlasted Colombia in a shoot-out to claim the last quarter-final place — and were promptly cut from 80/1 to 33/1.
Below, we have ranked all eight quarter-finalists by their latest outright price — from the favourites to the longest of long shots — with a verdict on each.
World Cup 2026 outright odds: every team left
| Rank | Team | Odds (bet365) | Quarter-final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 15/8 | Morocco (9th July) |
| 2 | Spain | 7/2 | Belgium (10th July) |
| 3 | Argentina | 4/1 | Switzerland (12th July) |
| 4 | England | 5/1 | Norway (11th July) |
| 5 | Norway | 16/1 | England (11th July) |
| 6 | Belgium | 33/1 | Spain (10th July) |
| 7 | Morocco | 33/1 | France (9th July) |
| 8 | Switzerland | 33/1 | Argentina (12th July) |
Odds via bet365, correct at the time of writing on 8th July and subject to change.
All eight quarter-finalists ranked
1. France — 15/8
France are the favourites, and it is not hard to see why. Didier Deschamps’ side swatted Sweden aside 3-0 without leaving second gear, and navigated a war against Paraguay — thanks to Kylian Mbappe’s second-half penalty — to reach the quarter-finals, where Morocco await in a rematch of the 2022 semi-final. Short price, few arguments.
2. Spain — 7/2
Spain have been the tournament’s most complete side and the 3-0 win over Austria barely tested them. They were also able to overcome Portugal in the Round of 16, sending them into the quarter-finals to take on Belgium in Los Angeles on Friday.
3. Argentina — 4/1
The holders trailed Egypt at half-time and won 3-2 anyway — the second straight game Argentina have stared at trouble and simply refused to blink. Isn’t that what champions do? The market agrees, cutting them to 4/1, and Switzerland now await at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday night.
4. England — 5/1
England have answered some questions in the knockout stages so far. They’ve proven that they can overcome adversity. First, the Three Lions came from a goal down to beat DR Congo — showing they can recover from setbacks. England then beat Mexico 3-2 at the Estadio Azteca despite playing 40 minutes with 10 men. That result has seen England’s chances increase — and now Norway, with the tournament’s form striker, await in Miami on Saturday.
5. Norway — 16/1
A first World Cup knockout campaign since 1998 continues, and the place in the quarter-finals is thoroughly deserved. Norway have the tournament’s most-feared centre-forward and he helped them dispatch five-time world champions Brazil to reach a first-ever World Cup quarter-final. England in Miami is the reward, and on current form nobody will relish facing them.
6. Belgium — 33/1
Nobody has flirted with elimination more enthusiastically. Belgium needed extra time and a 3-2 thriller to shake off Senegal, but everything clicked in Seattle: a 4-1 statement win over the USA cut them from 50/1 to 33/1. Spain in the quarter-final is a far sterner test, but that was the display of a side rounding into form.
7. Morocco — 33/1
The 2022 semi-finalists did it again, holding their nerve to beat the Netherlands on penalties. Morocco were the first team to reach the quarter-finals, beating co-hosts Canada. Of all the prices in this list, 33/1 for a side who know exactly how to navigate knockout football looks the most generous. France on Thursday offers the rematch of the 2022 semi-final.
8. Switzerland — 33/1
The quiet men of the tournament keep advancing. Switzerland ground out a goalless 130 minutes against Colombia and won the shoot-out 4-3, and the market’s response was emphatic: cut from 80/1 to 33/1. Argentina at Arrowhead is the tallest order left in the draw, but they have made a career of outlasting sides above them in lists like this.
Who will win the 2026 World Cup?
France are worthy favourites: the deepest squad, the calmest knockout pedigree and the kindest quarter-final draw of the big four. Spain are the best team in the tournament on the evidence so far.
All in all, the value is thinning. The three 33/1 shots all face members of the big four, so if anything appeals it is Norway at 16/1 — one more big Erling Haaland performance from a semi-final. For the latest prices on every market, see our World Cup top goalscorer odds, and if you are watching the knockouts, our World Cup live streaming guide and the latest free bet offers have every game covered.
