Premier League top four odds 2024-25: Who will qualify for the Champions League?
We’re in a new era of the Premier League, with more than just the usual clubs being seriously in with a chance of qualifying for the Champions League.
Over the years, fans have grown so used to the Champions League spots consisting of four of Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham — the so-called ‘Big Six’. But last season, only three of those made it, with Aston Villa breaking the hegemony just a year after Newcastle United achieved the same feat.
Recent years have also seen the likes of West Ham and Brighton mount challenges on the European spots, while Chelsea, Man United and Tottenham have all suffered some disappointing campaigns.
Champions League qualification will be the dream of many for the 2024-25 season, so who are the favourites to achieve it?
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Here are the latest Premier League top-four odds for the 2024-25 season:
| TEAM | OPTA PROBABILITY | TOP FOUR ODDS |
| Man City | 99.90% | 1/10 |
| Arsenal | 98.58% | 1/20 |
| Liverpool | 96.76% | 1/4 |
| Chelsea | 53.10% | 6/4 |
| Newcastle | 14.14% | 8/5 |
| Man United | 2.18% | 7/2 |
| Tottenham | 16.88% | 7/2 |
| Aston Villa | 14.78% | 7/2 |
| Brighton | 1.99% | 7/1 |
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (10:00, 16/09/2024). GambleAware.
Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool
These three were the dominant forces in the Premier League last season and it’s almost inconceivable now that they won’t at least make the top four.
Chelsea
Chelsea spent big to back new manager Enzo Maresca, bringing in the likes of Pedro Neto, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Jadon Sancho — the latter on loan with an option to buy. However, it still feels like there is a complete lack of strategy at Stamford Bridge and there’s probably an equal chance of them flopping again as there is getting things right. After seven games the Blues have taken 14 points, and were on a run of three consecutive victories before that came to an end.
Aston Villa
Villa secured Champions League qualification for the first time since 1982-83 last season and have an exciting journey ahead of them. Unai Emery has worked wonders at the Midlands club so far, also reaching the Uefa Conference League semi-finals. But all eyes will be on Villa to see what they do with Champions League football this season. The Villans are right up there in the early stages, with 14 points from their opening seven games.
Tottenham
Tottenham had Champions League qualification within their grasp so many times last season but seemed determined to throw it away in favour of Thursday nights in the Europa League. That, of course, represents a step forward in Ange Postecoglou’s first season in charge. But after spending big on Dominic Solanke to, hopefully and at long last, replace Harry Kane, supporters will expect much bigger things from their team. They’ve got 10 points from their opening seven games, including a 3-0 success at Man Utd last time out.
Man United
To be frank, Man Utd were terrible last season, slumping to eighth in the table. Injuries didn’t help, of course, and they were able to salvage the campaign with a shock FA Cup final win over Manchester City, thus qualifying for the Europa League.
However, their wretched Premier League performance won’t wash again with supporters. Despite signing a new contract, Erik ten Hag still looks like he’s going game-by-game. The Red Devils have won two of their opening seven games, suffering a humbling loss to Spurs at home before playing out a goalless draw at Aston Villa last time out.
Newcastle
Newcastle were hit by injuries arguably more than any other team in the major European leagues last season and it showed, with seventh ultimately a pretty respectable return. However, Man United’s FA Cup win meant they missed out on Europe, meaning those St. James’ Park nights against the likes of Dortmund, AC Milan and PSG are a thing of the past for now. They’ve taken 12 points from their opening seven matches.
