Carabao Cup Predictions & Betting Tips

Mohamed Salah has netted in five of Liverpool's previous six Premier League road games. The Egyptian forward has been in incredible form so far this season, with 11 goals and seven assists, including one of each against Man City at the weekend. Salah has seven goals in his last 10 games in all competitions.

Five of Newcastle's previous six Premier League home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them. Liverpool, whilst being in imperious form, haven't had too many heavy scorelines, with six of their 13 Premier League matches failing to beat the 2.5 goal line. Just one of Newcastle's home matches have seen more than 2.5 goals, whilst two of Liverpool's last six away games have been low scoring affairs.

Everton are winless in their last six meetings with Wolves, losing five of them. Whilst Wolves lost their last game, they had managed to string together two wins prior to their loss to Bournemouth and looked a different team to the one that had struggled in the early stages of the season. Everton, whilst only losing two of their last nine Premier League games, have only won two of those games.

Seven of the last nine games featuring Everton have had under 2.5 goals, with the home side struggling to score goals. They've scored just six times in that period, conceding eight, although four of those game against Man United at the weekend. Wolves have scored 11 times away from home this season, averaging just under two goals a game and have conceded just three goals in their last three games.

Matheus Nunes has taken up a more attacking role for Manchester City this season, and the bet that jumps off the page against Forest is for the Portuguese international to record Over 0.5 shots on target. Nunes has started nine matches for City this season and has recorded shots on target in four of those, twice managing numerous attempts, including four against Watford and two against Spurs in the EFL Cup. The 26-year-old has scored on three occasions this term, and there is no denying this is very much a priced-based play. BetMGM go a massive 23/10 that he lands one between the sticks at the Etihad, and with other firms such as Paddy Power and Betfair pricing this same bet at just 8/13, I make BetMGM’s offering a lovely proposition.

I’ve also had a few quid on Nottingham Forest’s Elliot Anderson to be carded. I’ve been impressed with the young Scot this season, but at 6/1 he looks a shade too big to pick up a booking. At Newcastle last season, Anderson averaged 0.30 cards per 90 minutes. Since his switch to Forest, that figure has risen to 0.38 cards per 90, with him collecting three yellows in the league before December. Bet365 are top priced on this selection at 6/1, which is reasonable for a player who has given away at least one foul in his last seven matches and is up against a Manchester City attack.

Chelsea impressed many last weekend with their win over Villa, and one of their stand-out performers this term has been Marc Cucurella. The lively left-back is often involved in battles around the pitch, and I’m taking the 13/10 with Paddy Power for the Spaniard to be fouled twice or more at Southampton. Looking back at his foul data from this season, away from Stamford Bridge, Cucurella has been fouled twice or more in five of his last six away matches. His fouls-won totals in that period read ‘3,2,2,3,0,2, with the only outlier in that period being when he was subbed after 44 minutes against Manchester United.

Nicolas Jackson has opened the scoring more times than any other player in the Premier League (4) this season, but I’m backing him to get his name on the scoresheet anytime as part of an 11/2 double. Jackson has eight league goals this term and looks comfortable in the new-look Enzo Maresca side. He also has the best goal conversion rate (25.8%) of any player with 25+ shots in the division this term, and after scoring in his last two, he can find more joy against Southampton. Another player who has enjoyed themselves in front of goal for Chelsea recently is Enzo Fernandez. Finally justifying his huge transfer fee, the World Cup winner has scored on his last two outings for his club side, and when it comes to hitting the target, he has done so in four of his last five starts across all competitions. Betfair have this double of Jackson to Score and Fernandez to register a shot on target priced at just 5/2, so take the stand-out offering of 6/1 with BetMGM.

Marcus Rashford has scored six career goals against Arsenal, only scoring more against Liverpool (7) and Leicester City (8). The arrival of Ruben Amorim seems to have whipped Rashford into life, with the forward scoring three in three games since the new manager arrived on the scene.

Five of the last six competitive meetings between these sides have produced at least four goals with this being one of the highest scoring fixtures in recent memory. Man United come into the game off the back of a 4-0 drubbing of Everton, whilst Arsenal were able to beat West Ham 5-2 at the weekend. Three of the last five Arsenal games have beaten the 2.5 goal line, which is the same for Man United.

Over the last six months, John McGinn has become somewhat of a cash cow for punters in the fouls-won market. 5/6 may not sound like the most eyewatering price for the Aston Villa man to be fouled at least twice against Brentford, but some strong figures are behind this punt. Against Chelsea on Sunday, McGinn was fouled no less than five times, and on his prior outing, he racked up four against Crystal Palace. This bet has landed in 13 of his last 14 Premier League starts for Unai Emery’s men, and with Villa desperate to snap their poor run of form, I think they’ll put in a good fight against Brentford, who have never won a league game at Villa Park.

At 11/2, I’ve also had a small punt on Youri Tielemans to win 2+ fouls and Yoanne Wisaa to be Carded. Paddy Power’s ‘Super Sub’ offer applies to both of these bets on Wednesday; meaning should our player be taken off, the bet will roll on to the oncoming player. Youri Tielemans loves to drive forward with the ball for Villa and is often fouled in his combative role. The Belgian has been fouled at least twice in 8 of his last 13 in the top-flight, and he looks like a nice proposition for a repeat here at 13/10 as a single. Yoane Wissa found the net in Brentford’s 4-1 win over Leicester City on Saturday, taking his tally of Premier League goals to eight this season. Villa have conceded at least two goals in all of their last four league matches and are without a clean sheet since the start of October. The hosts may be the favourites for this clash, but there is plenty of scope for Wissa and the Bees to get on the scoresheet. Brentford’s last 13 games have yielded 49 goals; another high-scoring affair could be on the cards here.

Fulham are currently on a nine-game unbeaten run against Brighton, who last beat the Cottagers back in January 2017 when they were in the Championship. Fulham have been trading wins and losses at home in recent weeks but have been a tricky side to beat, pulling off wins against Brentford and Newcastle. Brighton have lost two of their last four on the road, as they struggle to achieve consistency away from home.

Both teams have scored in every Fulham home match this season, with the Cottagers conceding 11 times in six games. Four of the last six away games for Brighton have seen both teams score, with only Newcastle and Everton failing to find the net against the Seagulls this season. Six of the last 10 meetings between these sides have seen both of these sides score, with this fixture averaging exactly 2.5 goals in that period.

I’m a big fan of Bournemouth under Andoni Iraola, and my main play on Thursday includes the Cherries to Win or Draw the game, along with over 1.5 goals being scored in the match. Bournemouth have had a tough run of home games in this first half of the campaign, with Chelsea, Southampton, Arsenal, Manchester City, and Brighton visiting the Vitality in the last five matches. Bournemouth have claimed 9 points from those five matches, including wins against Arsenal and Man City. The tight nature of the stadium on the south coast may go against Spurs, who have lost on the road against Newcastle, Palace and Brighton since the start of September. I envisage goals in this contest. Looking back at the goal totals for both teams over the last few months, they have both seen at least two goals scored in eight of their last nine league matches.

Bournemouth have conceded the most fouls in the league season. They take a front-foot approach and will press Spurs intensely. One player they will have to nullify is Dejan Kulusevsk. The Swedish international averages 1.58 fouls drawn per 90 minutes and has been fouled at least once in all of his last eight league starts. Antonie Semenyo should be fresh and raring to go after serving a one-match suspension for picking up five yellow cards. The 24-year-old ranks second in the entire division for shots taken this season, with a healthy average of 3.7 per game. He found the net against Manchester City and has four goals in total since the start of the campaign. .