Los Angeles are 0-5 with the lowest passer rating in the NFL. Kansas City are 4-0 and rested. Our Chargers vs Chiefs prediction is the most one-sided matchup of the week.
The Kansas City Chiefs come off their bye having conceded seven touchdowns in four games, level with Jacksonville for the fewest among teams playing. The Los Angeles Chargers have scored 84 points and thrown seven interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles ChargersSquawka26%Market22%▲ Value
Kansas City ChiefsSquawka74%Market78%▼ Slight laySquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Chargers vs Chiefs: our editor’s props
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Chargers vs Chiefs: 2026 form so far
An unbeaten team off a bye against a winless one. The table measures each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.
Chargers attack against the Chiefs defense
| Per game | Chargers offense | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 164.6 | 225.0 |
| Rushing yards | 128.2 | 92.8 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Passer rating | 69.7 | 76.8 |
| Touchdowns | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 34.8% | 37.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 61.5% | 44.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.4 | 1.0 |
Chiefs attack against the Chargers defense
| Per game | Chiefs offense | Chargers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 249.8 | 193.0 |
| Rushing yards | 162.2 | 118.6 |
| Yards per carry | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 106.2 | 90.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.0% | 31.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.2% | 52.4% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 2.2 |
Figures are season to date, across 4 games.
Kansas City average 5.5 yards a carry, the highest figure in the league. Against a team that has lost five straight, that is how an afternoon gets away quickly.
Chargers vs Chiefs quarterback matchup
Kansas City rate 106.2 through the air to the Chargers’ 69.7, a 36.5-point gap and the widest between any two teams this week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | Justin Herbert | 20/34, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 76.3 rtg | 71/119, 816 yds, 4 TD, 6 INT, 70.6 rtg (4 games) |
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 20/24, 246 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 119.8 rtg | 82/128, 1037 yds, 9 TD, 2 INT, 106.2 rtg (4 games) |
Chargers vs Chiefs injury report and team news
Kansas City are coming off their bye and have played four games to the Chargers’ five.
Kenneth Walker III has 537 rushing yards, second in the NFL behind Bijan Robinson.
Los Angeles rate 69.7 through the air, the lowest figure in the league.
Los Angeles ChargersKansas City ChiefsNothing in the numbers says this is close
Sixty-nine point seven. That is the Chargers’ team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, from a side that has thrown seven interceptions and scored 84 points in five games.
Kansas City have conceded seven touchdowns in four games and allow a 76.8 opponent rating. Only Minnesota, Seattle and Green Bay are better, and two of those are idle.
The Chargers do run it adequately, 641 yards at 4.36 a carry, and Omarion Hampton has 271 of them. That is the only part of this that reads evenly.
Players to watch
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): 537 rushing yards, second in the NFL.
- Rashee Rice (KC, WR): A primary target in an offense rating 106.2 through the air.
- Omarion Hampton (LAC, RB): 271 rushing yards in the Chargers’ one functioning phase.
- Ladd McConkey (LAC, WR): A target in the league’s lowest-rated passing game.
How to watch Chargers vs Chiefs
Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is 3:25 PM CT and 1:25 PM PT. CBS has the regional broadcast.
| Detail | Chargers vs Chiefs |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV | CBS |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Paramount+ |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Chargers vs Chiefs prediction and score projection
Kansas City win 31-13. The Chiefs are rested, unbeaten and far better in every phase, and the Chargers have not scored more than 23 all season.
Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | You are here |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our weekly NFL picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. We price the player markets in NFL player props.
Chargers vs Chiefs FAQ
Kansas City, heavily. The Chiefs are 4-0 at +41; Los Angeles are 0-5 at -45.
4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
A 69.7 team passer rating, the lowest in the NFL, seven interceptions and 84 points in five games.
Yes. They were on bye in Week 5, so this is their fifth game.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change