Our Rams vs Broncos prediction closes Sunday night with an offense that has rediscovered itself against one that cannot stay on the field. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, updates on this page through the week.
The Los Angeles Rams scored 28 against the Giants after managing seven in Melbourne, with Matthew Stafford throwing four touchdowns. The Denver Broncos are converting 26.1% of their third downs and have three touchdowns in two games.
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos
Los Angeles RamsSquawka43%Market56%▼ Overpriced
Denver BroncosSquawka57%Market44%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Rams vs Broncos: our editor’s props
Two editorial calls to sit alongside the live Signal numbers on this page.
AT Our props
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Rams vs Broncos: 2026 form so far
A Rams side that looks transformed since Melbourne against a Denver team still searching for drives. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has allowed.
Rams attack against the Broncos defense
| Per game | Rams offense | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 243.0 | 172.5 |
| Rushing yards | 142.5 | 157.5 |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Passer rating | 100.6 | 74.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 38.9% | 48.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 57.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 0.5 | 2.0 |
Broncos attack against the Rams defense
| Per game | Broncos offense | Rams allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 201.5 | 167.5 |
| Rushing yards | 82.5 | 113.0 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Passer rating | 83.9 | 75.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 26.1% | 38.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 42.9% | 40.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Read these as a 2-game sample rather than settled form. Rates this early move a long way on one result.
Denver’s 26.1% on third down is the number that shapes the night. The Rams, by contrast, have conceded only three touchdowns and 40% in the red zone.
Rams vs Broncos injury report and team news
Matthew Stafford threw four touchdowns for 327 yards against the Giants at a 131.3 rating, a fortnight after 155 yards and no scores in Melbourne.
Davante Adams caught eight passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns in the same game.
Bo Nix threw for 288 and a touchdown against Jacksonville, though Denver managed only 20 points.
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land.
Los Angeles RamsDenver BroncosWhere Rams vs Broncos is decided
Denver cannot sustain drives. Twenty-six per cent on third down across two games, three touchdowns in total, and a red-zone rate under 43%.
The Rams have the opposite problem solved. Stafford threw four touchdowns against the Giants and Los Angeles are running at 5.0 a carry, having been out-gained by 89 yards in Melbourne.
Nevertheless Denver defend the pass well, holding opponents to a 74.5 rating, and the altitude has historically been worth more than the numbers suggest.
Players to watch
- Matthew Stafford (LA, QB): Four touchdown passes and 327 yards against the Giants.
- Davante Adams (LA, WR): Eight catches for 195 yards and two scores in Week 2.
- Bo Nix (DEN, QB): 288 passing yards against Jacksonville at a 97.2 rating.
- Jaylen Waddle (DEN, WR): Eight catches for 138 yards in Week 2.
How to watch Rams vs Broncos
Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, September 27 at Empower Field at Mile High, which is 7:20 PM CT and 5:20 PM PT. NBC has the national broadcast, with Peacock streaming it.
| Detail | Rams vs Broncos |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET / 7:20 PM CT / 5:20 PM PT |
| Venue | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| TV | NBC/Peacock |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Peacock |
| Week | Week 3, 2026 NFL season |
Rams vs Broncos prediction and score projection
Our Rams vs Broncos prediction is a Los Angeles win, 26-17. The Rams have far more scoring in them and Denver have not put a sustained drive together in two weeks.
The live win probability and the model’s projected margin update on this page through the week.
Every Week 3 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Falcons @ Packers | Packers 23-10 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Browns | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bengals @ Steelers | Bengals 20-13 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Texans @ Colts | Colts 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chiefs @ Dolphins | Chiefs 31-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Chargers @ Bills | Bills 31-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Patriots @ Jaguars | Patriots 20-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Lions | Lions 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Seahawks @ Commanders | Seahawks 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Giants | Titans 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ 49ers | 49ers 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Vikings @ Buccaneers | Vikings 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Ravens @ Cowboys | Ravens 30-24 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Raiders @ Saints | Raiders 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Rams @ Broncos | Rams 26-17 | You are here |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Eagles @ Bears | Eagles 24-20 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL hub, and Signal rates every game on the NFL picks page.
Rams vs Broncos FAQ
Los Angeles, despite playing at altitude. Both are 1-1, but the Rams scored 28 last week and Denver convert 26% of their third downs.
8:20 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, at Empower Field at Mile High.
On the evidence of Week 2, yes. They scored seven points against San Francisco in Australia and 28 against the Giants a week later.
The Rams beat the Giants 28-6. Denver beat Jacksonville 20-13.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change