Seattle have conceded a 76.0 opponent passer rating, the second-best mark in the NFL. Denver sit third on 79.4. Our Seahawks vs Broncos prediction opens Week 6 with two of the league’s better secondaries.
The Seattle Seahawks are 3-2 with a +29 point differential. The Denver Broncos are also 3-2, but they have been outscored by 14. The gap sits at the other end: Seattle have scored 134 points to Denver’s 97.
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Seattle SeahawksSquawka44%Market58%▼ Overpriced
Denver BroncosSquawka56%Market42%▲ Strong valueSquawka Signal is our model’s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 21+. Play responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX.
Seahawks vs Broncos: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Seahawks vs Broncos: 2026 form so far
Matching records, opposite problems. The table sets each attack against what the other defense has actually allowed rather than against each other.
Seahawks attack against the Broncos defense
| Per game | Seahawks offense | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 222.0 | 202.2 |
| Rushing yards | 106.0 | 145.2 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.7 |
| Passer rating | 102.7 | 79.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 29.8% | 45.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.9% | 53.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.2 | 2.6 |
Broncos attack against the Seahawks defense
| Per game | Broncos offense | Seahawks allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 182.8 | 150.8 |
| Rushing yards | 86.2 | 100.4 |
| Yards per carry | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Passer rating | 80.8 | 76.0 |
| Touchdowns | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 33.8% | 29.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.2% | 75.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 2.8 |
Figures are season to date, across 5 games.
Seattle’s 29.8% third-down conversion is the second-worst in the NFL, and Denver are not far clear on 33.8%. Two good secondaries and two stalling offenses is how a Thursday game gets ugly.
Seahawks vs Broncos quarterback matchup
Seattle rate 102.7 through the air to Denver’s 80.8. Those are team figures, which include every attempt rather than just the starter’s.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | Sam Darnold | 31/45, 379 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT, 105.7 rtg | 45/69, 560 yds, 6 TD, 3 INT, 101.1 rtg (3 games) |
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 17/34, 186 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 73.9 rtg | 81/135, 819 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 80.4 rtg (4 games) |
Seahawks vs Broncos injury report and team news
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 583 receiving yards, the most of any player in the league.
Denver have taken 36 penalties for 227 yards, among the lowest yardage totals in the NFL.
Friday’s designations will settle both backfields.
Seattle SeahawksDenver BroncosWhere Seahawks vs Broncos is decided
Two secondaries this good usually produce a low score, and the third-down numbers agree. Seattle convert 29.8%, Denver 33.8%, and neither has found a way to stay on the field against ordinary opposition.
The difference is what happens when they do. Seattle have scored 134 points to Denver’s 97, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s 583 receiving yards lead the NFL outright.
Denver’s run defense is the soft spot: 726 rushing yards conceded at 4.71 a carry. Seattle average 3.81 on the ground, so this is less a mismatch than an invitation.
Players to watch
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): 583 receiving yards, the most of any player in the NFL.
- Emanuel Wilson (SEA, RB): 251 rushing yards against a front conceding 4.71 a carry.
- Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR): The senior target in a Denver passing game rating 80.8.
- RJ Harvey (DEN, RB): Shares a backfield in an offense that has scored 97 points.
How to watch Seahawks vs Broncos
Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, October 15 at Empower Field at Mile High, which is 7:15 PM CT and 6:15 PM MT. Prime Video has the exclusive national broadcast.
| Detail | Seahawks vs Broncos |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, October 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 PM ET / 7:15 PM CT / 5:15 PM PT |
| Venue | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| TV | Prime Video |
| Live stream | NFL+ / Prime Video |
| Week | Week 6, 2026 NFL season |
Seahawks vs Broncos prediction and score projection
Seattle win 24-20. The records match but the points do not, and Smith-Njigba is the best player on the field by a clear margin.
Signal’s live read on the spread and total for this game updates through the week.
Every Week 6 game, previewed
| Kickoff (ET) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 8:15 PM | Seahawks @ Broncos | Seahawks 24-20 | You are here |
| Sun 9:30 AM | Texans @ Jaguars | Jaguars 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Ravens @ Browns | Ravens 27-16 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Panthers @ Eagles | Panthers 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Bears @ Falcons | Bears 23-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Saints @ Giants | Giants 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Jets @ Patriots | Patriots 24-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Steelers @ Buccaneers | Steelers 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 1:00 PM | Titans @ Colts | Colts 23-13 | Read |
| Sun 4:05 PM | Cardinals @ Rams | Rams 30-20 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Bills @ Raiders | Bills 30-27 | Read |
| Sun 4:25 PM | Chargers @ Chiefs | Chiefs 31-13 | Read |
| Sun 8:20 PM | Cowboys @ Packers | Packers 27-24 | Read |
| Mon 8:15 PM | Commanders @ 49ers | 49ers 31-17 | Read |
For the rest of the week, see our weekly NFL picks and the NFL homepage. The outright markets are priced in who wins the NFC. We price the player markets in player prop betting.
Seahawks vs Broncos FAQ
Seattle, narrowly. Both are 3-2, but the Seahawks are +29 on differential against Denver’s -14.
8:15 PM ET on Thursday, October 15, at Empower Field at Mile High.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, with 583 for Seattle.
Third down. Seattle convert 29.8% and Denver 33.8%, two of the four worst rates in the league.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change