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    Denver Broncos

    Denver Broncos Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC WestElo 1675.5 · #2 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Broncos game this season, plus AFC West standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Broncos 2026 outlook

    87.1%Make playoffs
    69.2%Win AFC West
    21.8%No.1 seed
    20.8%Win AFC
    12.6%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Broncos Super Bowl odds12.6%5.1%6.7%+6.0Value
    Broncos AFC Championship odds20.8%9.1%9.2%+11.7Strong value
    Broncos AFC West odds69.2%Model read
    Next game · Week 1KCat Kansas City ChiefsMon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka63% (-170)
    Market44% (+127)
    Gap+19.7 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedDEN -3.6
    MarketDEN +2.5
    Total43.0

    Signal read

    Strong value
    Spread 
    Broncos
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC West standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC WestPlayoffs
    DENDenver Broncos–69.2%87.1%
    LACLos Angeles Chargers–19.5%49.6%
    KCKansas City Chiefs–11.0%35.6%
    LVLas Vegas Raiders–0.3%1.6%
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    Denver Broncos schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1@KCKansas City ChiefsMon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET63%win prob-3.6proj line+2.5market lineRead preview
    WK 2vsJACJacksonville JaguarsSun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ET60%win prob-2.7proj line-144market price
    WK 3vsLALos Angeles RamsSun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ET58%win prob-2.0proj line–market
    WK 4@SFSan Francisco 49ersSun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET54%win prob-1.0proj line–market
    WK 5@LACLos Angeles ChargersSun Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET56%win prob-1.5proj line–market
    WK 6vsSEASeattle SeahawksThu Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET52%win prob-0.6proj line–market
    WK 7@ARIArizona CardinalsSun Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET75%win prob-7.1proj line–market
    WK 8vsKCKansas City ChiefsSun Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET72%win prob-6.2proj line+2.5market line
    WK 9@CARCarolina PanthersSun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET70%win prob-5.5proj line–market
    WK 10Bye week
    WK 11vsLVLas Vegas RaidersSun Nov 22, 4:25 PM ET85%win prob-11.3proj line–market
    WK 12@PITPittsburgh SteelersFri Nov 27, 3:00 PM ET57%win prob-1.9proj line–market
    WK 13vsMIAMiami DolphinsSun Dec 6, 4:05 PM ET75%win prob-7.3proj line–market
    WK 14@NYJNew York JetsSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET78%win prob-8.2proj line–market
    WK 15@LVLas Vegas RaidersSun Dec 20, 4:25 PM ET79%win prob-8.7proj line–market
    WK 16vsBUFBuffalo BillsFri Dec 25, 4:30 PM ET58%win prob-2.0proj line–market
    WK 17@NENew England Patriots FlexSun Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET51%win prob-0.4proj line–market
    WK 18vsLACLos Angeles Chargers FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET65%win prob-4.1proj line–market

    Broncos injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Broncos coverage

    Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & OddsMatch preview · Today

    Denver Broncos roster

    77 players · tap to open

    Offense 39

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    4Sam EhlingerQB6Texas
    10Bo NixQB3Oregon
    8Jarrett StidhamQB7Auburn
    28Tyler BadieRB3Missouri
    20Jonah ColemanRBWashington
    27J.K. DobbinsRB7Ohio State
    12RJ HarveyRB2UCF
    25Cody SchraderRB3Missouri
    46Adam PrenticeFB6South Carolina
    83Michael BandyWR3San Diego
    13Pat BryantWR2Illinois
    11Troy FranklinWR3Oregon
    5Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR7Texas
    19Marvin Mims Jr.WR4Oklahoma
    81Kolbe KatsisWRNorthern Arizona
    87Dane KeyWRNebraska
    14Courtland SuttonWR9SMU
    17Jaylen WaddleWR6Alabama
    45Nate AdkinsTE4South Carolina
    89Dallen BentleyTEUtah
    1Evan EngramTE10Ole Miss
    85Lucas KrullTE4Pittsburgh
    84Caleb LohnerTE1Utah
    82Adam TrautmanTE7Dayton
    67Michael DeiterC7Wisconsin
    54Alex ForsythC4Oregon
    68Gavin OrtegaCWeber State
    60Luke WattenbergC5Washington
    66Nick GargiuloG2South Carolina
    74Ben PowersG8Oklahoma
    76Calvin ThrockmortonOG6Oregon
    73Frank CrumOT3Wyoming
    71Tyler MillerOTIowa State
    72Garett BollesT10Utah
    69Mike McGlincheyT9Notre Dame
    63Alex PalczewskiT4Illinois
    79Matt PeartT7UConn
    78Kage CaseyOLBoise State
    77Quinn MeinerzOL6Wisconsin-Whitewater

    Defense 35

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    53David AgohaDE1
    91Matt HenningsenDE4Wisconsin
    95Sai'vion JonesDE2LSU
    93D.J. JonesDT10Ole Miss
    98Tyler OnyedimDTTexas A&M
    97Malcolm RoachDT7Texas
    99Zach AllenDL8Boston College
    94Jordan JacksonDL3Air Force
    96Eyioma UwazurikeDL4Iowa State
    56Levelle BaileyLB2Fresno State
    50Red MurdockLBBuffalo
    47Karene ReidLB2Utah
    49Alex SingletonLB8Montana State
    40Justin StrnadLB7Wake Forest
    55Jordan TurnerLB2Michigan State
    15Nik BonittoOLB5Oklahoma
    0Jonathon CooperOLB6Ohio State
    52Jonah EllissOLB3Utah
    51Que RobinsonOLB2Alabama
    92Dondrea TillmanOLB3Indiana (PA)
    59Johnny WalkerOLB2Missouri
    31Kris Abrams-DraineCB3Missouri
    33Brent AustinCBCalifornia
    23Jahdae BarronCB2Texas
    2Pat Surtain IICB6Alabama
    37Sean Fresch Jr.CBRice
    29Ja'Quan McMillianCB4East Carolina
    21Riley MossCB4Iowa
    6Tycen AndersonSAF5Toledo
    9Talanoa HufangaSAF6USC
    22Brandon JonesSAF7Texas
    30Taylor RappSAF8Washington
    39Miles ScottSAFIllinois
    34JL SkinnerSAF4Boise State
    26Devon KeyDB3Western Kentucky

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    3Wil LutzK11Georgia State
    16Jeremy CrawshawP2Florida
    48Mitchell FraboniLS5Arizona State