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Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats and key players

By Harry Edwards

Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

Published: 9:55, 24 June 2024

Czech Republic have kept their Euro 2024 knockout stage hopes alive following a 1-1 draw with Georgia.

Since first taking part as Czech Republic in 1996, the nation have been ever-present at the European Championships, with mixed success. They finished as runners-up in their first tournament, and have reached the semi-finals and quarter-finals twice.

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However, sandwiched in between each of those knockout round appearances were group stage exits. Last time out it was a quarter-final run, and they have a tough group, but qualification as Group F runner-up or one of the best third-placed teams could be secured. But to go all the way seems a step too far, with Czech Republic given a 0.2% chance of lifting the trophy.

Latest Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024
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Czech Republic to win Euro 2024
Patrik Schick to win Golden Boot

Czech Republic route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • 1-2 vs Portugal (18 June 2024, 8pm, Red Bull Arena)
  • 1-1 vs Georgia (22 June 2024, 2pm, Volksparkstadion)
  • Turkey (26 June 2024, 8pm, Volksparkstadion)

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Czech Republic’s potential knockout stage opponents

A second-placed finish would see the Czech Republic take on the winner of Group D and World Cup runners-up France. The route to the final doesn’t get any easier after that, with the winner of Group E or the third-placed team in Group A/B/C/D.

If they are to be one of the best third-placed teams, the Czech Republic would face the winner of Group B or C — throwing in the likes of Spain or England. Then, depending on the route, Czech Republic could have a path of Germany, Portugal and finally France; or a path of Italy, Belgium and then Germany.

Czech Republic key players for this year’s European Championship

Czech Republic top Euros Golden Boot contender: Patrik Schick

  • Key stat: Patrik Schick has averaged 2.92 shots per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga this season.

Patrik Schick had restricted minutes for Bayer Leverkusen last season, having started the campaign out injured. But he popped up with some crucial goals. Most notably in the Europa League, Schick is the reason Leverkusen made it to the final, with a late equaliser in the first leg of their last 16 tie against Qarabag, before another late equaliser and even later winner in the return fixture.

In the Bundesliga, Schick also scored what turned out to be the winning goal against Freiburg in a 3-2 win and a hat-trick vs Bochum. In fact, the 28-year-old finished the season with 13 goals across all competitions, which is a great record given he played most of the campaign as a substitute. Schick missed all of qualifying for the Euro through injury but did score five goals in five games at Euro 2020 as Czech Republic made it to the quarter-finals.

Czech Republic primary playmaker: David Jurasek

  • Key stat: David Jurasek averaged more key passes per game (2.2) than any other Czech Republic player during qualifiyng.

Though he only notched one assist, David Jurasek created a good number of chances for the Czech Republic during qualifying. The Benfica man joined Hoffenheim on loan in January and enjoyed a decently productive end to the season, averaging 0.5 key passes per game and providing an assist in 13 appearances, but it was his time with Slavia Prague between 2022 and 2023 that most showcased his creative ability with 14 assists in 55 appearances for the club.

He’ll need to provide some accurate crosses to fire Schick to goals this summer.

Czech Republic card magnets & top tacklers: Tomas Soucek

  • Key stat: Tomas Soucek made 15 tackles in eight games in Euro 2024 qualifying.

The main man of the Czech Republic midfield, it feels as though their hopes depend on the performance of Tomas Soucek. Although he gets among the goals at crucial times, Soucek is also a rock defensively. During the Czech Republic’s qualifying campaign, Soucek made 15 tackles, more than any of his teammates. He also committed a team-high 14 fouls with one yellow card.

It was a similar story in the Premier League for West Ham this season. The Hammers midfielder made 53 tackles alongside 41 fouls committed and seven yellow cards. Per 90 minutes, that averages out to 1.66 tackles and 1.28 fouls, stopping play at crucial moments.

Czech Republic rising star: Matej Jurasek

There is a couple of younger players in the Czech Republic’s Euro 2024 squad, with the youngest being Matej Jurasek — who won’t turn 21 until after this summer’s tournament. He made his Czech Republic debut in the March international break, coming off the bench in the second half of their 2-1 win over Armenia, and can play across the front line. For Slavia Prague this season, Jurasek has five goals and three assist in 25 games in the league, but he’s also scored in the Europa League, netting against AC Milan.

Czech Republic set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: Tomas Soucek
  • Free kicks: Tomas Holes
  • Corners: David Jurasek

Czech Republic tactical analysis and formation

Czech Republic team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners: 5.1
  • Shots on target: 5.1
  • Shots on target conceded: 2.4
  • Offsides: 2.25

Although they have flirted with a back four at times, the Czech Republic mainly set up in a back three, and will do so at the Euros, especially with Turkey and Portugal two of their opponents. There will be questions about who makes it into the Czech Republic’s squad, especially with some big names frozen out at the moment. They head into the tournament with three inexperienced goalkeepers, of which Jindrich Stanek has the most caps and is the oldest, so might be first choice.

At the back, Tomas Holes and David Zima are the most certain centre-back starters, with Ladislav Krejci a potential to join them. In midfield will be Tomas Soucek then a second spot up for grabs. Either way, Soucek will be the bigger goal threat from the midfield. At wing-back, Coufal is in the squad and will start on the right, with David Jurasek on the left.

Then, up-front, Patrik Schick leads the line alongside Adam Hlozek with Antonin Barak behind, should the Czech Republic opt for a narrow front three.

Czech Republic’s final Euro 2024 squad

PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE CLUB
Jindrich Stanek Goalkeeper 27 Slavia Prague
Vitezslav Jaros Goalkeeper 22 Sturm Graz
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper 23 Bayer Leverkusen
Tomas Holes Defender 30 Slavia Prague
David Zima Defender 23 Slavia Prague
Ladislav Krejci Defender 24 Sparta Prague
David Doudera Defender 25 Slavia Prague
David Jurasek Defender 23 Hoffenheim
Robin Hranac Defender 24 Viktoria Plzen
Tomas Vlcek Defender 23 Slavia Prague
Tomas Soucek Midfielder 29 West Ham
Antonin Barak Midfielder 29 Fiorentina
Lukas Provod Midfielder 27 Slavia Prague
Ondrej Lingr Midfielder 25 Feyenoord
Matej Jurasek Midfielder 20 Slavia Prague
Pavel Sulc Midfielder 23 Viktoria Plzen
Patrik Schick Forward 28 Bayer Leverkusen
Adam Hlozek Forward 21 Bayer Leverkusen
Mojmir Chytil Forward 24 Slavia Prague
Tomas Chory Forward 29 Viktoria Plzen

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