Outright Odds

Serie A winner odds 2023-24: Outright betting odds for Italian top-flight title

By Dean Smith

Published: 9:00, 4 December 2023

Napoli won their first Serie A title in over 30 years at a canter last season, but they face stiff competition for the Scudetto in 2023/24.

Serie A 2023-24 | Title odds

Team Opta Probability Bet365 Odds
Inter 85.07% 1/2
Juventus  12.12% 3/1
Milan  1.97% 8/1
Napoli  0.82% 14/1
Roma 0% 80/1
Atalanta 0% 100/1
Fiorentina  0.01% 200/1
Lazio 0% 250/1

Serie A 2023-24 | Favourites

Inter Milan are the early favourites to regain the Scudetto three years after their most recent triumph. The Nerazzurri lost some key players during the summer window including Andre Onana, Milan Skriniar and Edin Dzeko, but they have started the campaign on fire. After 14 games, Inter are top of the table, winning 11 matches, only dropping points to Sassuolo, Bologna and title rivals Juventus.

One of those ten victories came against bitter rivals AC Milan in the Derby della Madonnina, winning 5-1, which was the only separator between the two. However, things have seemed to have fallen apart in recent weeks, with a 2-2 draw with Napoli sandwiched between defeats to Juventus and Udinese to leave them six points behind their city rivals.

Both Milan sides are looking to wrestle the title back from Napoli, who finished a whopping 16 points clear of second-placed Lazio last term. The Partenopei had a new face in the dugout this season following Luciano Spalletti’s departure, but Rudi Garcia’s start was cut short and he’s since been replaced by the returning Walter Mazzarri. Although they sit fifth, Napoli have lost to Fiorentina, Lazio, Empoli and Inter as well as drawing with Genoa, Bologna and Milan. They have also had controversy with their social media manager posting memes about Victor Osimhen, including one with racist connotations, that had his agent threatening legal action.

Meanwhile, domestic honours are all Juventus have to play for this season, so they will be dangerous. The Bianconeri endured a tumultuous 2022/23 with points deductions imposed and a seventh-placed finish, while they miss out on European football due to a one-year ban for violating UEFA’s financial regulations. The Old Lady had an unbeaten start to 2023/24, winning three and drawing one of their opening four matches, but fell to a damaging 4-2 loss away at Sassuolo. They have beaten Lecce, Torino, Milan, Hellas Verona, Cagliari and Monza since, with a draw also coming against Atalanta and Inter. Wojciech Szczesny recently ended a run of six games in a row with a clean sheet.

Serie A 2023-24 | Outsiders

One thing we have learned in recent years is that nothing is guaranteed in Serie A. After all, in the last four seasons, we have seen four different title winners.

That will encourage the likes of last season’s runners-up Lazio, who finished above both Milan clubs and would love to go the extra step this time around. However, with just 20 points from their opening 14 games, they will need to turn things around quickly.

Can their city rivals Roma close the gap? Jose Mourinho’s side finished sixth last term and missed out on a Champions League place after losing to Sevilla in the Europa League final. The Giallorossi will subsequently be desperate for a genuine crack at the Scudetto, but have seven wins, three draws and four defeats so far.

It is also worth keeping an eye on Atalanta, who always seem to be in and around the top four nowadays, along with the likes of Fiorentina. The two sides sit eighth and sixth, respectively, in the early table.

As we said, nothing is guaranteed.

Serie A 2023-24 | Latest fixtures 

All kick-off times are BST.

Friday, 8 December

  • Juventus vs Napoli – 7:45pm

Saturday, 9 December

  • Verona vs Lazio – 2pm
  • Atalanta vs Milan – 5pm
  • Inter vs Udinese – 7:45pm

Sunday, 10 December

  • Frosinone vs Torino – 11:30am
  • Monza vs Genoa – 2pm
  • Salernitana vs Bologna – 5pm
  • Roma vs Fiorentina – 7:45pm

Monday, 11 December

  • Empoli vs Lecce – 5:30pm
  • Cagliari vs Sassuolo – 7:45pm