Outright Odds

League One 2022/23 outright odds: who are the favourites for promotion to England’s second tier?

By Dean Smith

Published: 20:55, 26 July 2022 | Updated: 15:05, 2 August 2022

Championship status means you are only ever one season away from the Premier League, so League One clubs will be fighting tooth and nail in 2022/23 to seal top spot in the third tier and have a shot at ultimate glory.

Here are the latest odds for promotion to the Championship in the 2022/23 season.

Odds* to win the League One in 2022/23

Team Sky Bet Paddy Power
Sheffield Wednesday 7/2 9/2
Ipswich 5/1 5/1
Derby 7/1 13/2
Peterborough 7/1 17/2
MK Dons 10/1 11/1
Barnsley 11/1 13/1
*You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (20:45, 26/07/2022). BeGambleAware.

What are the opening day fixtures and how do the sides match up?

Accrington Stanley vs Charlton Athletic

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Accrington Stanley win Draw Chartlon win
8/5 (38.5% implied chance) 9/4 (30.8% implied chance) 8/5 (38.5% implied chance)

Bristol Rovers vs Forest Green Rovers

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Bristol Rovers win Draw Forest Green Rovers win
5/4 (44.4% implied chance) 9/4 (30.8% implied chance) 2/1 (33.3% implied chance)

Cambridge United vs MK Dons

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Cambridge United win Draw MK Dons win
11/4 (26.7% implied chance) 23/10 (30.3% implied chance) 19/20 (51.3% implied chance)

Cheltenham Town vs Peterborough United

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Cheltenham Town win Draw Peterborough United win
19/10 (34.5% implied chance) 12/5 (29.4% implied chance) 5/4 (44.4% implied chance)

Derby County vs Oxford United

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Derby County win Draw Oxford United win
23/20 (46.5% implied chance) 12/5 (29.4% implied chance) 21/10 (32.3% implied chance)

Ipswich Town vs Bolton Wanderers

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Ipswich Town win Draw Bolton Wanderers win
19/20 (51.3% implied chance) 23/10 (30.3% implied chance) 11/4 (26.7% implied chance)

Lincoln City vs Exeter City

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Lincoln City win Draw Exeter City win
23/20 (46.5% implied chance) 23/10 (30.3% implied chance) 11/5 (31.3% implied chance)

Morecambe vs Shrewsbury Town

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Morecambe win Draw Shrewsbury Town win
9/5 (35.7% implied chance) 9/4 (30.8% implied chance) 7/5 (41.7% implied chance)

Plymouth Argyle vs Barnsley

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Plymouth Argyle win Draw Barnsley win
21/20 (48.8% implied chance) 23/10 (30.3% implied chance) 12/5 (29.4% implied chance)

Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Port Vale win Draw Fleetwood Town win
21/20 (48.8% implied chance) 23/10 (30.3% implied chance) 5/2 (28.6% implied chance)

Sheffield Wednesday vs Portsmouth

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Sheffield Wednesday win Draw Portsmouth win
7/10 (58.8% implied chance) 13/5 (27.8% implied chance) 18/5 (21.7% implied chance)

Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion

Date: 30/07/22

Time: 3pm BST

Wycombe Wanderers win Draw Burton Albion win
3/4 (57.1% implied chance) 13/5 (27.8% implied chance) 10/3 (23.1% implied chance)

Who are favourites to win the League One?

Sheffield Wednesday

It was a season of success at Hillsborough last season as Darren Moore guided the Owls to fourth in the League One table, but the South Yorkshire side just came unstuck against Sunderland in the play-offs, losing 2-1 on aggregate in the semi-final after Patrick Roberts netted a last-gasp finish in the second leg. The club are now backed to win the division outright after a slew of signings that include Ben Heneghan, Akin Famewo, Will Vaulks, Michael Ihiekwe, Michael Smith and David Stockdale.

Ipswich Town

Now headed up by former Manchester United first-team coach Kieran McKenna, bookies are backing the former Tottenham Hotspur youth prospect to guide the Tractor Boys back up to the Championship, a division that has eluded the East Anglian club since 2019. An 11th-placed finish last term ended a disappointing campaign following McKenna’s mid-season appointment for the ousted Paul Cook. He now enters his first full season at Portman Road.

Derby County

Derby’s financial woes have been well-documented, which culminated in a 21-point deduction last season. The drop inevitably followed and miracle-worker Wayne Rooney ultimately left the club as a result. Without a permanent successor, currently being take care of by interim boss Liam Rosenior, the Rams still enter the 2022/23 season as one of the favourites. The likes of Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, James Chester, Conor Hourihane and David McGoldrick have all pitched up at Pride Park to offer some hope in these uncertain times.


Peterborough, likewise, suffered the ignominy of relegation from the Championship last season, finishing 22nd in the table, but bookmakers have given the Posh a strong chance of bouncing back in division-winning style. Club legend Grant McCann has stuck around for the journey and he certainly knows what it takes to make it out of this division, famously winning the 2020/21 title as manager of Hull City.

MK Dons

Close but no cigar in the end for MK Dons, who reached the play-offs under Liam Manning, but came up short to Wycombe Wanderers in the semi-finals. The Stadium MK club have made TWELVE new signings, including Nathan Holland, who was highly regarded at West Ham, and will be hoping to seal promotion outright this season rather than chancing their luck in the lottery of the play-offs.


Barnsley complete the trio of clubs relegated from the Championship in 2021/22. The Tykes reached the play-offs the season prior, but following the departure of Valerien Ismael to West Brom, the entire project fell apart. Part owned by ‘Moneyball’ icon Billy Beane, Barnsley will be hoping his sporting successes can rub off on the club next term as they seek to haul themselves up at the first time of asking.


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