Outright Odds

La Liga winner odds 23/24: Outright betting odds for Spanish top-flight title

By Dean Smith

La Liga winner odds 23/24: Outright betting odds for Spanish top-flight title

Published: 20:00, 5 May 2024

We’re into the final third of the 2023/24 La Liga season, and a once-close title race has been settled. 

Real Madrid are La Liga champions

Despite finishing 10 points off the pace last season, Real Madrid was an early favourite to win La Liga, and that’s looking to be spot on. Los Blancos are currently at the top of the table after 32 games with 25 wins, six draws, and just one defeat to Atletico Madrid. Since that defeat in September, Real Madrid have gone unbeaten in 28 games, including 15 wins from their past 17 games, enough to secure a record-extending 36th league title.

It’s a testament to Carlo Ancelotti and his players, with Real Madrid struggling for injuries this season.

Thibaut Courtois, arguably the best goalkeeper in the world, has not featured this season, having torn his ACL in the summer. Kepa Arrizabalaga and Andriy Lunin share responsibility for goalkeeping. Eder Militao is another one who has suffered a long-term knee injury, playing just 52 minutes this season, while David Alaba’s ACL injury was a bit more recent.


Of course, the season’s surprise package is Girona, who currently sit second in the table with 74 points from their opening 34 games. At one point, they were neck-and-neck with Real Madrid, even leading the table sometimes. They’ve secured a place in next season’s Champions League, capping off a wonderful campaign. Let’s not forget Girona was only promoted at the start of last season.


Defending champions Barcelona haven’t put up a title challenge this season. Barcelona’s main problem was too many draws; they are currently on seven for the season.

The Blaugrana have also lost five of their 33 games so far, beaten twice by Girona, Real Madrid twice and Villarreal, the latter proving to be a significant defeat. Two goals down, Barcelona eventually fought back to lead Villarreal 3-2 going into the final 10 minutes. But three late goals for Villarreal turned the result round, leading to a 5-3 victory and a tough defeat for Barcelona. After the game, Xavi revealed that he would be leaving Barcelona at the end of the season, stating the club’s need for a dynamic change, but he’s since reneged and will remain in charge.

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Who will finish in the top four in La Liga?

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid are the only club outside Barcelona and Real Madrid to win La Liga in the past 19 years, claiming the crown in 2013/14 and 2020/21. Last season, they were just one point behind second-placed Real Madrid, but now the battle is about finishing in the top four.

Diego Simeone’s side currently hold the final Champions League spot in the table, four points ahead of fifth-placed Athletic Bilbao. It’s been a strange season for Atletico Madrid, who have avoided defeat against Real Madrid home and away—winning one and drawing one—while also suffering damaging defeats to teams around them. Since December, Atletico Madrid has fallen to Barcelona (twice), Athletic Bilbao and Girona. They have also been beaten by Sevilla and Cadiz, both of whom struggled this season.

Athletic Bilbao

As mentioned, Athletic Bilbao are fifth, six points behind Atletico Madrid. But it’s been a frustrating season. The Basque club have drawn ten games this season, with 17 wins, and been inconsistent when it matters.

La Liga 2023/24 relegation battle


Cadiz have been in La Liga for four years, but they’re now fighting to stay in the top flight. Cadiz occupy the final relegation spot with just four wins, 14 draws all season, and six points from safety.  They recently tasted victory in the league for the first time since September and have actually won two of their past five. But time is running out.


With four wins this season, Granada are on the brink. With five games left to play, Granada are 10 points from safety, meaning we could be just a few weeks away from relegation.