Outright Odds

La Liga winner odds 24-25: Outright betting odds for Spanish top-flight title

By Dean Smith

La Liga winner odds 24/25: Outright betting odds for Spanish top-flight title

Published: 7:30, 4 November 2024

We’re now 12 games into the 2024-25 La Liga season, and there’s a team pulling away at the top.

Real Madrid are the defending champions, finishing 10 points clear of second-placed Barcelona last season. It was a reverse of the year before, when Barcelona won the league by 10 points over Real Madrid.

Los Blancos didn’t rest of their laurels in the summer, with Kylian Mbappe added to their star-studded squad. So, the question is, can they retain their title?

LA LIGA OUTRIGHT TITLE ODDS 2024/25
Squawka

*Odds correct as of 07:00 on 4th November. 18+ only. GambleAware.

Who will win the 2024/25 La Liga title?

Barcelona

Last season was a strange one for Barcelona, particularly off the pitch. Early in 2024, Xavi announced his intention to leave Barcelona in the summer, only to pledge his future to the club. But the club then sacked Xavi in the summer, with Hansi Flick coming in to replace him.

Dani Olmo was the one big arrival to the cash-strapped club, who will have to battle their off-field issues to mount a title challenge. And it’s fair to say it’s going very well so far. The Blaugrana have won 11 of their opening 12 games, only dropping points in a defeat to Osasuna. Since then it’s four on the bounce, including the 4-0 thrashing of Real Madrid in El Clasico. Flick’s side currently sit nine points clear at the top of the table.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won the title five times in the past 13 seasons. But they haven’t successfully defended their crown during that time. The last time Real Madrid won back-to-back titles came in 2007/08, when they were eight points clear of Villarreal. A year earlier, they won the title on head-to-head against Barcelona.

They looked to remedy that by bolstering their attack in the summer, finally signing Kylian Mbappe and also adding Endrick to the squad. But it’s not working so far. Los Blancos are second with 24 points from their opening 11 games, drawing three alongside the defeat to Barcelona. Real Madrid will carry a game in hand on their rivals though, with their game against Valencia postponed due to the floods.

Atletico Madrid

The third of the big three, Atletico Madrid’s title odds are never really as short as Real Madrid and Barcelona’s. But they do have considerably shorter odds than the other 17 teams, and do get grouped into the title conversation at the early stages. Hardly surprising considering their two titles in the last 11 years are the only ones not won by Real or Barcelona over the past two decades.

Last season, Diego Simeone’s side finished fourth, behind surprise package Girona, and 19 points off top spot. They spent big money in the summer on Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth, Robin Le Normand and Conor Gallagher. Atletico have only lost once in the league this season, beating 1-0 by Real Betis recently. They bounced back to beat Las Palmas last time out, but remain 10 points behind Barcelona. Their five draws are really hampering Atletico right now.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in bonuses when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in bonuses

 

New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of £10+ at 1/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 Acca, 1 x £10 Horse Racing, 1 x £10 Football, 1 x £10 Bet Builder. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply.


Who will finish in the top four in La Liga?

LA LIGA TOP FOUR ODDS 2024/25
Squawka

*Odds correct as of 07:15 on 4th November. 18+ only. GambleAware.

Villarreal

Completing the early top four are Villarreal, and they’re in a good position to stay in the fight for the long run. Villarreal are the third-top scorers in La Liga this season, with only Barcelona and Real Madrid netting more than their 20. But they do also have a leaky defence, letting in 19 goals so far. It’s left them with a record of six wins, three draws and two defeats from 11 games. Villarreal sit level on points with fifth-placed Osasuna but do have a game in hand.

Athletic Bilbao

Two points back from Villarreal, and one place, are Athletic Bilbao. The Basque club finished fifth last season, hindered by too many draws — 11 in total. They’ve drawn four times so far this season to go alongside their five wins, including each of their past two. In fact, Athletic Bilbao have only won one of their past five games, with three draws and one defeat.

Real Sociedad

Across the Basque region was another team to suffer from drawing too many games, with Real Sociedad experiencing 12 last season. It left them sixth in La Liga, just about squeezing a Europa League spot. It’s been a bit of a rocky start to the new campaign for Real Sociedad, who sit 10th in the table after 12 games. They’ve lost more matches than any other club in the top half of the table so far this season, with five defeats. But the majority of those came at the start of the season, and Real Sociedad are starting to find some form.

Real Betis

Real Betis are another Spanish side in European football this season after finishing seventh in 2023-24. But they weren’t the most exiting team to watch, scoring just 48 goals and conceding 45 times in La Liga, with 15 draws in total. It’s a similar story so far this season. Real Betis’ 12 league games so far have seen just 22 goals scored, though they have won five and drawn four of those. It leaves them seventh, just two points outside the top four.

Girona

Last season’s surprise package were, of course, Girona. They led the title race at times and looked to be pushing Real Madrid close before the season eventually got to them. But they managed to hold onto third, securing Champions League football.

It was always going to be tough for Girona to replicate their 2023-24 campaign, particularly with their outgoings and extra responsibilities. And they sit 11th so far with five defeats from their opening 12 games, winning just two of their last eight.

La Liga 2024-25 relegation battle

Real Valladolid

As expected, the newly-promoted sides are among the favourites to be relegated from La Liga. Real Valladolid were the first team to gain promotion for the current season, but they eventually finished second. Their return to the top flight hasn’t been good though. Real Valladolid have taken just eight points from their opening 12 games, conceding more goals (24) than any other team in La Liga.

Espanyol

The second newly-promoted side, Espanyol sealed their return to the top flight via the play-offs, beating Osasuna. But they’ve lost eight of their opening 17 games this season. No team have lost more, with Espanyol falling in each of their past three matches. Last time out it was a defeat to rivals Barcelona, leaving Espanyol just outside the relegation zone.

Leganes

Completing the trio of promoted sides, Leganes are 15th but they sit just two points clear of the relegation zone. They’ve taken 11 points from their opening 12 games, but have won just two games. Leganes have also drawn five and lost five, with just one win in their past six matches.

LA LIGA TOP RELEGATION ODDS 2024/25
Squawka

*Odds correct as of 07:30 on 4th November. 18+ only. GambleAware.

Las Palmas

Las Palmas were in La Liga last season and finished just five points clear of the relegation zone. They lost 18 of their 38 games with 10 wins and had a goal difference of -14. Hopes were not high after they went winless in their first nine to start this campaign, but back-to-back victories over Valencia and Girona have seen them move up to 18th, just a point from safety.

Valencia

Not a name often associated with the relegation battle, Los Che have taken just seven points from 11 games so far and sit bottom. Among the poor recent results include 3-0 defeats away at Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad. Valencia threw away a 1-0 lead in the 90th minute to draw 1-1 away at Getafe last time out, with their next game against Real Madrid postponed.

Getafe

Getafe finished 12th last season but were still only 10 points clear of the relegation zone. And they’re fancied to be in the fight against the drop this time around. Getafe went winless in their first seven before finally beating Alaves 2-0, which has been followed up with 1-1 draws against Osasuna, Villarreal and Valencia.

Read more: