Outright Odds

Championship 2023/24 promotion odds, predictions and tips

By Dean Smith

Published: 13:30, 14 February 2024

As we turn into the final quarter of the 2023/24 Championship season, the race for promotion is getting tight.

Burnley, Sheffield United and Luton Town were the lucky ones to earn themselves a place in the top flight last season and have been replaced by Leicester City, Leeds United and Southampton in 2023/24, who all have experience in gaining promotion to the Premier League.

For those not in the know, perhaps new to football, the promotion system in England allows three teams from the Championship to be promoted to the Premier League at the end of each season. This is at the detriment of the bottom three teams in the top flight, moving down to Championship level.

The top two teams in the Championship qualify for promotion automatically, making those spots some of the most lucrative in all of football. The third team worthy of promotion is then decided by a play-off, with the teams finishing third to sixth entering a tournament. Across two two-legged semi-finals and a final at Wembley — dubbed the richest game in football — the winner is then promoted to the Premier League.

So who are the favourites to reach the top flight this time around?

Championship promotion odds
Squawka

*Odds correct as of 13:00 on February 14

Leicester

Labelled early favourites for promotion, it looks as though only a monumental collapse will prevent former Premier League winners Leicester return to the top flight. They sit top of the table, 12 points clear of second-placed Leeds and 14 ahead of third-placed Southampton.

They’re heavy favourites to win the Championship, let alone secure promotion, winning 25 of their 32 games so far. They have the best attack and defence in the division and it’s only a matter of time before their place back in the Premier League is secured.


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Leeds 

Leeds’ three-year spell in the top flight came to an end last May, with the gamble of appointing Sam Allardyce for the remaining four matches of the season not paying off. The Whites spent 10 seasons in the Championship beforehand, trying and failing to gain promotion, before Marcelo Bielsa finally ended all those years of hurt in 2020.

This time they’re under the tutelage of Daniel Farke, who had the perfect CV for the Championship, having led Norwich to promotion in both 2019 and 2012. It was a rough start to life at Elland Road for Farke but once things got settled, Leeds have been formidable. They hold onto the second automatic promotion spot, two points clear of third-placed Southampton, albeit having played a game more.

Southampton

Completing the trio of relegated sides in the top three of the Championship, Southampton are playing in the second tier for the first time in 11 years. Saints hoped that a change in manager would help them return the Premier League at the first time of asking, with Russell Martin the man trusted.

And he’s doing a good job so far. There have been low points, including a heavy 5-0 defeat to Sunderland earlier in the campaign, but Southampton’s destiny is in their own hands. They’re two points behind second-placed Leeds with a game in hand, knowing if they win all of their remaining matches they’ll be in the Premier League next season. Of course, that is a big ask with 13 games still to play, but it’s a good position to be in.

Ipswich

No one had these among the favourites for promotion in the build-up to the season. Let’s not forget, Ipswich were only promoted from League One in the summer. But the Tractor Boys are well and truly in the race for automatic promotion. They are six points behind Leeds but have two games in hand — though goal difference is against them at the minute.

Ipswich were in a better position not too long ago, but they have suffered a serious drop in form. The Tractor Boys have won just one of their last nine league games, only beating Sunderland. But six of those games have been draws, and there is still room for Ipswich to build up a good run. You almost want them to keep it up, to complete what would be a fantastic double promotion.

West Brom

After the top four, there’s a gap to the rest of the play-off chasers, but West Brom find themselves slightly more comfortable. The Baggies are four points clear of seventh-placed Hull, while eight behind fourth-placed Ipswich. Automatic promotion looks to be out of the question already, so now it will be about consolidating their spot in the play-offs.

Norwich City

Completing the play-off places are Norwich, but they are only ahead of Hull on goals scored — and they’ve played a game more. Among the top scorers in the Championship this season, Norwich are being hampered by their defence, conceding 49 goals so far — the joint-worst in the top half of the table. The Canaries also have the joint-most defeats in the top half of the Championship, losing 12 times.

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