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Squawka / Outright markets / World Cup 2026 Top Goalscorer Odds: Latest standings and favourites ahead of the final

World Cup 2026 Top Goalscorer Odds: Latest standings and favourites ahead of the final

The battle for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot is down to a historic, final-weekend shootout. With Argentina’s late semi-final victory keeping Lionel Messi on the ultimate stage, the legendary forward leads a spectacular race for the tournament’s top scorer award.

Messi currently shares the goalscoring peak with French superstar Kylian Mbappe on eight goals each. However, the Argentine wizard holds a crucial tiebreaker advantage by virtue of having more assists.

Adding to the drama, an extraordinary head-to-head collision is set for Saturday’s third-place play-off. England’s chasing duo of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham (both on six goals) will share the pitch with Mbappe, knowing a multi-goal performance could catapult them straight to the crown before Messi even takes the field on Sunday.

Check out the latest World Cup 2026 top goalscorer odds and the updated standings.

Latest World Cup 2026 Golden Boot odds

World Cup 2026 Top Scorer Standings

Here’s how the current table looks in the race for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot.

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Who are the favourites for the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot?

Lionel Messi (Argentina)

The crowning moment of Lionel Messi’s international career came in Qatar as he lifted the World Cup. In his final global tournament, the legendary playmaker is making headlines across North America.

Messi wasted no time in making an impact, producing a stunning hat-trick in Argentina’s opening match. He was expected to push Miroslav Klose’s all-time World Cup record. Nobody expected him to equal it after one game.

Even fewer predicted he would hold the record outright after game two. Messi now has 20 career World Cup goals. Eight have come at this tournament, putting him in prime position to claim his first Golden Boot in Sunday’s final.

Kylian Mbappe (France)

Going into the 2022 World Cup Final, Kylian Mbappe and Lionel Messi were level on five goals each. But Mbappe’s hat-trick famously secured him the Golden Boot, despite France losing on penalties to Argentina.

The Real Madrid forward has carried that explosive form into the 2026 tournament. He began his campaign with a stunning brace in a 3-1 win over Senegal. He added another two against Iraq, drawing level with Miroslav Klose on the all-time list.

While Mbappe drew a blank against Norway, he scored in knockout wins over Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco to surpass Klose. Although France’s 2-0 semi-final defeat ended his dream of Sunday’s final, his Golden Boot charge is far from over. Currently sitting on eight goals, Mbappe has Saturday’s third-place play-off to pull clear of his rivals.

Harry Kane (England)

The 2018 World Cup Golden Boot winner was England’s Harry Kane. Despite now being 32, the goals have shown no sign of drying up for the Bayern Munich striker.

Kane came into the 2026 tournament having scored 61 goals in 51 club appearances. He started with a brace against Croatia, taking his World Cup tally to 10. No Englishman has scored more World Cup goals than Kane.

He broke Gary Lineker’s record against Panama, before netting two against DR Congo. Kane then levelled another Lineker record in the last-16 against Mexico. He now has one final chance to catch Messi and Mbappe on Saturday.

Jude Bellingham (England)

For Jude Bellingham, the script has been completely rewritten. The 23-year-old Real Madrid midfielder arrived at the tournament as England’s creative heartbeat, but he has evolved into their ultimate goalscoring weapon.

After finding the net against Croatia and Panama, Bellingham truly caught fire in the knockout rounds. He scored consecutive braces against Mexico in the round of 16 and Norway in the quarter-finals.

Bellingham became the first player to score multiple goals in consecutive World Cup knockout matches since Diego Maradona in 1986. Sitting on six goals, he remains locked in a tie with teammate Harry Kane ahead of Saturday’s bronze-medal clash.

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World Cup Golden Boot tips

Harry Kane has every chance of ending the tournament as the top scorer once again, repeating his achievement from the 2018 edition.

The England captain is enjoying another sensational campaign in Germany, finishing the 2025-26 Bundesliga season with a remarkable 36 goals in just 31 appearances for Bayern Munich. Kane also arrived in excellent form after ending the domestic season with a hat-trick against Cologne and has now scored 98 Bundesliga goals in only 94 games since joining Bayern in 2023.

England’s attack still revolves around Kane and their struggles without him earlier this year only highlighted how important he remains to Thomas Tuchel’s side.

Few forwards in world football can match Kane’s consistency in front of goal right now and, given many expect England to go deep into the competition, the Bayern man looks a strong contender to lead the scoring charts for a second time.

2026 World Cup Golden Boot FAQs

How is the World Cup Golden Boot decided?

The player who finishes the tournament with the most goals wins the Golden Boot. If two or more players tie, the player with the most assists wins the award. If a tie remains, minutes played decides the winner, with the player who played the fewest minutes taking the award.

However, most Golden Boot World Cup outright markets are actually ‘Top Scorer’ markets – which is slightly different as explained below.

What’s the difference between the Golden Boot and Top Scorer?

The difference between the Golden Boot and the Top Scorer market is that there are no tie-breaks and the market considers players to be joint-winners of the Top Scorer market. If players tie, dead heat rules will apply.

This usually means that you divide the total stake by the number of players involved in the dead heat and then multiply it by the odds at which you placed your bet. However, please check with your chosen bookmaker for their Dead Heat rules before you place your bet.

How many goals does it take to win the Golden Boot?

This varies from tournament to tournament and given that teams at the 2026 World Cup tournament will need to play more games than ever before in order to lift the trophy, it’s hard to even give an estimated answer.

The number of goals scored by the top goalscorer so far in World Cup history ranges from 13 by Just Fontaine in 1958, to just four in 1962, a number which six different players achieved in that tournament.

Who won the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot?

Kylian Mbappe was the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot winner after he scored a hat-trick in the final against Argentina to take his total to eight goals in the competition.

Who has the most goals in World Cup history?

Lionel Messi currently holds the record for World Cup goals, having scored 18 times in 28 games since his debut in 2006.

Who has scored the most goals in a single World Cup?

Just Fontaine scored the most goals in a single World Cup in 1958 when he scored an incredible 13 goals in just six games. The next closest is Sandor Kocsis, who scored 11 for Hungary four years earlier in 1954.

Since the turn of the millennium, Ronaldo in 2002 and Kylian Mbappe in 2022 managed the most in one tournament with a total of eight.

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