Football News

Euro 2020 Golden Boot; The Latest Odds, Stats and Predictions

By Tom Dutton

Published: 11:00, 23 June 2021

The Euro 2020 group stage is nearly over, and some of the continent’s in-form strikers have taken their club form into the tournament.

Cristiano Ronaldo, Romelu Lukaku and Ciro Immobile were among the top scorers in Serie A, and all three have made blistering starts to the groups.

Harry Kane, who was favourite to win the Golden Boot with some bookies before the tournament kicked off, wrapped up the top scorer award for the Premier League, with Bruno Fernandes finishing in third. However, both players are yet to hit the target.

But, who will take the Golden Boot for the Euros come next month? Find the latest Euro 2020 top scorer odds below. 

Player Sky Bet odds
Romelu Lukaku 9/4
Cristiano Ronaldo  11/4
Ciro Immobile 10/1
Memphis Depay 12/1
Patrik Schick 12/1
Georginio Wijnaldum 16/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (11:00, 23/06/2021).BeGambleAware.

Euro 96-2016; Golden Boot winners

Euro 1996: Alan Shearer (5 goals)
Euro 2000: Patrick Kluivert, Savo Milosevic (5 goals)
Euro 2004: Milan Baros (5 goals)
Euro 2008: David Villa (4 goals)
Euro 2012: Fernando Torres (3 goals)
Euro 2016: Antoine Griezmann (6 goals)

Euro 2020 Golden Boot pre-tournament prediction

Squawka Prediction: Romelu Lukaku

Lukaku found his golden touch in front of goal for Inter last season and we expect that to continue at Euro 2020. With service from the likes of Yannick Carrasco and Dries Mertens, a lot of chances will be falling his way. It’s hard to see Divock Origi or Christian Benteke competing for a place in the Red Devils line-up so, crucially, he will likely play every minute of every game.

Lukaku was joint-second with Antoine Griezmann, Kylian Mbappe, Cristiano Ronaldo and Denis Cheryshev (four goals) behind England’s Kane (six) in the race for the 2018 World Cup Golden Boot.

READ MORE: Click here for our full Euro 2020 predictions

Does the Golden Boot winner always reach the final?

Naturally, the further a team progresses in the tournament, the greater the chance their goalscorers have of clinching the Golden Boot. That puts Lukaku right among the favourites, with Belgium expected to make a deep run at a tournament, which is scheduled to conclude in London.

The European Championships were expanded to accommodate 24 teams in 2016 and Uefa are sticking with that format this time around. That means there will again be a knockout fixture before the quarter-finals, and the finalists will have to play seven matches in total. That is one more than in 2012, when a remarkably low tally of three goals was enough to clinch the Golden Boot for Fernando Torres.

Yes, the last three Golden Boot winners made it all the way to the final, but every side will play at least three matches in the group stages. Savo Milosevic, who shared the Golden Boot with Patrick Kluivert in 2000, only reached the quarter-finals with Yugoslavia that year, scoring four of his five goals before the knockout stages began.

Top scorers in qualifying

Kane topped the scoring charts in qualifying with 12 goals from his 22 shots, boasting an impressive 55% goal conversion rate. Cristiano Ronaldo (11 goals), Teemu Pukki (10), Artem Dzyuba (nine), Raheem Sterling, Georginio Wijnaldum and Serge Gnabry (all eight) were also among those to qualify for the finals with an impressive scoring rate.

While Lukaku, who is our tip for the Golden Boot, scored just seven goals, he did not feature as regularly as those above him in the scoring charts and averaged an impressive 1.56 goals per 90 in qualifying. Although Kylian Mbappe has shorter odds to score the most goals at Euro 2020, Olivier Giroud was France’s leading scorer (six) as they booked their place at the summer tournament. In the same way, Wijnaldum outscored Dutch favourite Memphis Depay (six).

Who will go furthest?

England were in uncharted territory heading into the tournament as joint-favourites to win the trophy. Gareth Southgate led the Three Lions to the World Cup semi-final three summers ago, and some of his raw youngsters from that run have since flourished with another two years of development now behind them. But, initial excitement has just tempered slightly following a less-than-convincing qualification from the groups.

Meanwhile, world champions France are perhaps being underestimated. Didier Deschamps still has bucket loads of talent at his disposal, but the fact they will not have home advantage at any point this summer could count against them.

The Netherlands are also fancied to put together a decent charge for silverware, with a crop of impressive stars behind their resurgence under Ronald Koeman and, more recently, Frank de Boer. The protracted wait for Euro 2020 could have, in fact, worked in their favour, with an extra 12 months to continue building their momentum. And they’ve started with three wins on the bounce, ending Group C perfect.

Elsewhere, Belgium coach Roberto Martinez arguably has the best squad depth and their ‘Golden Generation’ will be expected to challenge for the Euro 2020 crown after their run to the World Cup semi-final in 2018. Italy are also in impressive form under Roberto Mancini and have made a flawless start to Euro 2020.

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. UK only. Terms and Conditions Apply. BeGambleAware.


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