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Spain vs Italy: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Spain and Italy meet in Enschede for a place in the Nations League final on Thursday (7.45pm, UK time). 

Spain vs Italy: Betting tips

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

Spain vs Italy: Predictions

Spain vs Italy: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 1/1 with Midnite
Correct score Spain 1-1 Italy 5/1 with Midnite
First Goalscorer Alvaro Morata 23/5 with Midnite

It was a topsy-turvy qualifying campaign for Spain as they booked their spot in a second consecutive finals. The 2021 runners-up struggled to build up momentum, with a couple of early draws followed by a narrow win in Switzerland – who then condemned La Roja to a first home defeat since 2018.

However, they showed character and resilience to secure a huge win away to Portugal, Álvaro Morata netting the winner in the dying minutes to seal a semi-final berth.

Paired with EURO 2020 final opponents England and Germany in a tough group, Italy gained some pride back following their shock loss to North Macedonia in the World Cup play-offs. A 5-2 defeat in Germany on Matchday four was a setback, but the Azzurri came good with successive wins in September, Giacomo Raspadori scoring in both. The winner will face Croatia in the final, while the loser takes on Netherlands for third place.

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Spain vs Italy match stats

Gavi, who made his Spain debut in the semi-finals of the last Nations League in October 2021, became the country’s youngest-ever scorer in this season’s competition against the Czech Republic aged 17 years 304 days, beating Ansu Fati’s record from September 2020 by a week.

In the decisive qualifying game against Hungary, Salernitana right-back Pasquale Mazzocchi became the 51st player to make his Italy debut under Roberto Mancini. Only Arrigo Sacchi (55) has had more debutants as Azzurri coach.

Spain are unbeaten in each of their last four matches against Italy, alternating between a win and a draw. The previous encounter saw them run out 2-1 winners, ending the Azzuri‘s world-record 37-game unbeaten run thanks to two goals from Ferran Torres.

Spain vs Italy: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Spain 1-1 Italy

Spain vs Italy head-to-head

06 Oct 2021 – Italy 1-2 Spain – UEFA Nations League

06 Jul 2021 – Italy 1-1 Spain – UEFA European Championship

02 Sep 2017 – Spain 3-0 Italy – FIFA World Cup qualification

06 Oct 2016 – Italy 1-1 Spain – FIFA World Cup qualification

27 Jun 2016 – Italy 2-0 Spain – UEFA European Championship


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