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Sunderland vs Newcastle FA Cup predictions: Tips, odds and team news

Sunderland vs Newcastle predictions: tips, odds & team news

Sunderland host Newcastle United in a highly anticipated FA Cup Tyne-Weir Derby on Saturday at 12:30pm (UK time).

Sunderland vs Newcastle odds


*Odds correct as of 07:00 on January 4th

FA Cup third-round ties don’t get much bigger than this. It was like Christmas had come early when Newcastle were drawn out of the hat to face Sunderland at the Stadium of Light, ending an almost-eight-year wait for a Tyne-Weir Derby. The main reason for the wait is the fact that Sunderland dropped from the Premier League to League One, before finding their way back to the Championship, while Newcastle have stayed in the top flight and even tackled Europe the season.

So, Newcastle are an even bigger scalp now than they have been for a long time for Sunderland. The Magpies have been stuttering in the Premier League and may need the FA Cup to secure European football for next season, having been knocked out of the Champions League and EFL Cup. But they haven’t won the FA Cup since 1954/55 and were knocked out in the third round in each of the past three seasons, against lower-league opposition in the last two. Sunderland, meanwhile, have two FA Cup successes to their name, the last of which came in 1972/93, and made it to the fourth round last season after three straight first-round exits.

You would have to go back to March 2016 for the last time these two met, playing out a 1-1 draw at St.James’ Park thanks to goals from Jermain Defoe and Aleksandar Mitrovic. Sunderland are actually unbeaten in the previous nine meetings with Newcastle, winning six of the last seven games between the two sides, with the Toon Army’s last victory coming in August 2011.

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Sunderland vs Newcastle predictions

Sunderland vs Newcastle: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 8/13 with 10bet
Correct Score Sunderland 2-1 Newcastle 12/1 with Betfred
First Goalscorer Jack Clarke 8/1 with Betway

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Sunderland vs Newcastle predictions:

  • Newcastle have lost to lower-league opposition in the third round of the FA Cup in each of the past two seasons.
  • Jack Clarke has scored 12 goals across all competitions this season.
  • Sunderland are unbeaten in their last nine games against Newcastle.
  • Eddie Howe has lost seven of his last eight FA Cup ties as a manager.
  • Sunderland have won seven of their last eight vs Newcastle.

Sunderland vs Newcastle match tip

Double Chance: Sunderland/Draw @ 11/10 with Sky Bet

Newcastle are winless in their last nine games against Sunderland, but you can’t really regard that when predicting this match, as a lot has changed since then. However, you can look at Newcastle’s performances in the FA Cup in the past two seasons. In 2021/22, just after the takeover and Eddie Howe’s arrival, Newcastle were beaten in the FA Cup third round 1-0 by third-tier Cambridge United, a team they will have expected to beat even with a weakened XI. Then, a year later, Sheffield Wednesday knocked Newcastle out of the third round with a 2-1 victory, also plying their trade in League One.

Sunderland vs Newcastle team news

Sunderland team news

In  Out Doubtful
Jay Matete, Corry Evans, Bradley Dack

Jay Matete and Corry Evans remain out for the hosts, and they have been joined on the sidelines by Bradley Dack who has picked up another injury problem.

Newcastle team news

In  Out Doubtful
Sandro Tonali, Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Joe Willock, Elliot Anderson, Javier Manquillo, Matt Targett

The absences are still numerous for Newcastle, but some rotation is still expected with the likes of Matt Ritchie and Emil Krafth expected to be given starts.

Sunderland vs Newcastle head-to-head record

  • 20 March 2016 – Newcastle 1-1 Sunderland – Premier League
  • 25 October 2015 – Sunderland 3-0 Newcastle – Premier League
  • 5 April 2015 – Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle – Premier League
  • 21 December 2014 – Newcastle 0-1 Sunderland – Premier League
  • 1 February 2014 – Newcastle 0-3 Sunderland – Premier League

It’s been almost eight years since the last Tyne-Weir Derby, and Newcastle are winless against Sunderland in the past nine meetings. The most recent match was a draw, ending a run of six consecutive Sunderland victories, all coming in the Premier League. There hasn’t been a Tyne-Weir Derby in the FA Cup since 1956.

Sunderland vs Newcastle Squawka Says