Green Bay have thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL, and run for 485 at 2.85 a carry — fewer and slower than anyone. Our Packers vs Patriots prediction puts that imbalance at Gillette.
The New England Patriots are 5-3 at +22 and have 22 sacks. The Green Bay Packers are 5-3 and have taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland.
Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots
Green Bay PackersWin prob36%
New England PatriotsWin prob64%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Packers vs Patriots: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Packers vs Patriots: 2026 form so far
Two 5-3 teams, one of which does only one thing. The columns put each side’s output next to what the other has conceded so far.
Packers attack against the Patriots defence
| Per game | Packers offence | Patriots allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 271.0 | 217.2 |
| Rushing yards | 60.6 | 92.6 |
| Yards per carry | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 92.4 | 93.9 |
| Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.7% | 38.5% |
| Red-zone conversion | 51.7% | 54.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.8 | 2.8 |
Patriots attack against the Packers defence
| Per game | Patriots offence | Packers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.1 | 204.0 |
| Rushing yards | 123.1 | 110.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 100.2 | 78.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 40.0% | 42.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 54.5% | 66.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.0 | 2.8 |
Green Bay’s 485 rushing yards at 2.85 a carry are the lowest totals in the NFL on both counts.
Packers vs Patriots quarterback matchup
Jordan Love has 16 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 92.4. Drake Maye has 15 to eight at 100.4 and rated 141.5 last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | Jordan Love | 30/41, 288 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT, 106.6 rtg | 192/312, 2246 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT, 92.4 rtg (8 games) |
| Patriots | Drake Maye | 16/20, 199 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 141.5 rtg | 157/234, 1983 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 100.4 rtg (8 games) |
Packers vs Patriots injury report and team news
Green Bay have thrown for 2,168 yards, more than any team in the NFL.
Green Bay have run for 485 yards at 2.85 a carry, the lowest figures in the league.
Green Bay have taken 71 penalties, second only to Cleveland’s 72.
Green Bay PackersNew England PatriotsThe most one-dimensional team in the league
Two thousand one hundred and sixty-eight passing yards and 485 on the ground. No team in the NFL throws more or runs less, and the ratio is not close.
New England are built to punish that: 22 sacks and a 93.9 opponent rating.
What keeps Green Bay in it is their own pass defence at 78.2, among the four best marks in football, and a Patriots attack converting just 54.5% in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 2,246 passing yards and 16 touchdowns in eight games.
- Christian Watson (GB, WR): A primary target in an offence with no ground game.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 1,983 passing yards and 15 touchdowns at 100.4.
- Hunter Henry (NE, TE): A steady outlet in an attack with 22 touchdowns.
How to watch Packers vs Patriots
Kickoff is 9.25pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Gillette Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Packers vs Patriots |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9.25pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 4:25 PM ET |
| Venue | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Patriots prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Patriots prediction is New England by 24-20. Both are 5-3, but the Patriots are +22 to Green Bay’s +7 and have the pass rush to make a one-dimensional offence uncomfortable.
The live line and our projected margin both update through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | You are here |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Packers vs Patriots FAQ
9.25pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Gillette Stadium, which is 4:25 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Green Bay, with 2,168.
Four hundred and eighty-five yards at 2.85 a carry, the lowest figures in the league.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change