Denver convert 29.7% of their third downs, the worst rate in the NFL, and they are 6-2. Our Broncos vs Panthers prediction explains how a team wins like that.
The Carolina Panthers concede on 80.0% of opponent red-zone trips, second only to Seattle, and have given up 23 sacks. The Denver Broncos have 23 sacks of their own.
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Denver BroncosWin prob78%
Carolina PanthersWin prob22%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Broncos vs Panthers: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Broncos vs Panthers: 2026 form so far
A 6-2 record built on one side of the ball only, away at a team that cannot defend its own end zone. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Broncos attack against the Panthers defence
| Per game | Broncos offence | Panthers allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 180.4 | 208.9 |
| Rushing yards | 92.6 | 140.7 |
| Yards per carry | 3.8 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 83.6 | 87.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 29.7% | 45.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 65.2% | 80.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Panthers attack against the Broncos defence
| Per game | Panthers offence | Broncos allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 261.7 | 227.4 |
| Rushing yards | 102.0 | 127.9 |
| Yards per carry | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 89.2 | 80.4 |
| Touchdowns | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.2% | 42.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 64.0% | 48.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.3 | 2.9 |
Denver are +7 on the season despite that record. The defence has done all of it: 23 sacks and an 80.4 opponent rating.
Broncos vs Panthers quarterback matchup
Bo Nix has nine touchdown passes to three interceptions at 83.6. Bryce Young has 13 to five at 89.1 but rated 68.0 last week.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | Bo Nix | 20/32, 222 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 103.9 rtg | 149/250, 1493 yds, 9 TD, 3 INT, 83.6 rtg (8 games) |
| Panthers | Bryce Young | 23/41, 209 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 68.0 rtg | 158/269, 1921 yds, 13 TD, 5 INT, 89.1 rtg (7 games) |
Broncos vs Panthers injury report and team news
Denver convert 29.7% of their third downs, the worst rate in the NFL.
Carolina concede on 80.0% of opponent red-zone trips, second only to Seattle.
Denver have 23 sacks and allow an 80.4 opponent passer rating.
Denver BroncosCarolina PanthersSix and two, and plus seven
Denver have won six of eight and been outscored by almost nothing: +7 on the season. A 29.7% third-down rate is the worst in football and they win anyway.
The defence is the whole story — 23 sacks, an 80.4 opponent rating and 48.0% allowed in the red zone.
Carolina are the right opponent for a side that struggles to sustain drives. They concede 80.0% in the red zone, so Denver do not need many trips to make one count.
Players to watch
- Bo Nix (DEN, QB): 1,493 passing yards and nine touchdowns at 83.6.
- Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR): The senior target in an attack converting 65.2% in the red zone.
- Bryce Young (CAR, QB): 1,921 passing yards and 13 touchdowns at 89.1.
- Tetairoa McMillan (CAR, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,832 yards.
How to watch Broncos vs Panthers
Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Bank of America Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Broncos vs Panthers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Broncos vs Panthers prediction and score projection
Our Broncos vs Panthers prediction is Denver by 26-16. The Broncos do not move the ball well, but Carolina concede on four of every five red-zone trips and that covers a great deal.
The win probability for this game moves as the designations land.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | You are here |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Broncos vs Panthers FAQ
6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Bank of America Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Denver, converting 29.7% — despite a 6-2 record.
Opponents finish 80.0% of their trips, second only to Seattle.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change