Buffalo have scored 27 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL. Minnesota have conceded nine, fewer than any team in the NFL. Our Bills vs Vikings prediction closes Week 9 with the best matchup of the week.
Both teams are 6-1. The Buffalo Bills are +52 and the Minnesota Vikings +47, and the gap between them is almost entirely which end of the field they work at.
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo BillsWin prob55%
Minnesota VikingsWin prob45%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Bills vs Vikings: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Bills vs Vikings: 2026 form so far
The best attack in the league against the best defence in it, at 6-1 apiece. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defence has allowed.
Bills attack against the Vikings defence
| Per game | Bills offence | Vikings allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 244.7 | 154.9 |
| Rushing yards | 148.4 | 116.7 |
| Yards per carry | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Passer rating | 101.1 | 64.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.2% | 29.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 70.0% | 25.0% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 3.6 |
Vikings attack against the Bills defence
| Per game | Vikings offence | Bills allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 165.6 | 254.7 |
| Rushing yards | 113.9 | 97.4 |
| Yards per carry | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 90.6 | 96.3 |
| Touchdowns | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Third-down conversion | 36.0% | 41.9% |
| Red-zone conversion | 56.2% | 65.5% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 2.1 |
Minnesota allow a 64.9 opponent passer rating and 25.0% in the red zone. Both are the best marks in the NFL and neither is close.
Bills vs Vikings quarterback matchup
Josh Allen has 11 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 101.1. Kyler Murray has five to three at 86.6 from six starts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Josh Allen | 21/34, 289 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 96.3 rtg | 135/205, 1793 yds, 11 TD, 5 INT, 101.1 rtg (7 games) |
| Vikings | Kyler Murray | 17/29, 210 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 89.7 rtg | 100/154, 1022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 86.6 rtg (6 games) |
Bills vs Vikings injury report and team news
Buffalo have scored 27 touchdowns, more than any team in the NFL.
Minnesota have conceded nine touchdowns, fewer than any team in the NFL.
Minnesota have 25 sacks, second only to Pittsburgh, and have taken 39 penalties — the fewest in the league.
Buffalo BillsMinnesota VikingsThe best attack in football against the best defence
Twenty-seven touchdowns for Buffalo, nine conceded by Minnesota. Each is the league-leading figure and they meet in the early hours of Tuesday.
Minnesota’s wider numbers are startling: a 64.9 opponent rating and 25.0% allowed in the red zone, both the best in the NFL by a margin.
What works for Buffalo is that the Vikings cannot score. Twelve touchdowns and 1,159 passing yards are both second-lowest in the league.
Players to watch
- Josh Allen (BUF, QB): 1,793 passing yards and 11 touchdowns at 101.1.
- James Cook III (BUF, RB): Fronts a ground game with 1,039 yards at 4.79 a carry.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): Five touchdown passes at an 86.6 rating.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): The first read in a passing game that throws sparingly.
How to watch Bills vs Vikings
Kickoff is 1.15am GMT in the early hours of Tuesday 10 November at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Monday. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Bills vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Monday, November 9, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1.15am GMT Tue 10 Nov / 8:15 PM ET |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Bills vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Bills vs Vikings prediction is Buffalo by 27-24. Minnesota’s defence will make this uncomfortable, but 12 touchdowns in seven games is not enough to beat the highest-scoring side in the league.
Signal’s live probability for this game updates through to kickoff.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | You are here |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Bills vs Vikings FAQ
1.15am GMT in the early hours of Tuesday 10 November at U.S. Bank Stadium, which is 8:15 PM ET on the Monday.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Buffalo, with 27.
Minnesota, with nine in seven games.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change