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Squawka / NFL News / Cowboys vs Colts Prediction & Tips: Week 9

Cowboys vs Colts Prediction & Tips: Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts prediction, picks and odds for Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season

Dallas have scored 25 touchdowns and conceded 25. They allow 51.4% on third down and have given up 1,222 rushing yards, both the worst figures in the NFL. Our Cowboys vs Colts prediction expects points.

The Indianapolis Colts rate 68.9 through the air, joint-lowest in the league, and Daniel Jones has five touchdown passes to nine interceptions. The Dallas Cowboys are 3-5.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the Dallas Cowboys favourites by about 1 point, a 55% win probability.

DALDallas CowboysWin prob55%
INDIndianapolis ColtsWin prob45%
Projected lineDallas Cowboys -1

Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.

Week 9 · Editorial pick

Cowboys vs Colts: our editor’s props

Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.

Cowboys AT Colts

Our props

Player propJonathan Taylor 85+ rushing yardsDallas have conceded 1,222 rushing yards, more than any team in the NFL, at 5.03 a carry. Running it is the one thing Indianapolis do well.
★★★★☆4/5 confidence
TotalOver 47.5 pointsDallas allow 51.4% on third down and have conceded 25 touchdowns. Indianapolis have given up 24 of their own.
★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Cowboys vs Colts: 2026 form so far

A 3-5 team that cannot defend, visiting a 2-6 team that cannot throw. The table pairs every attacking number with the defensive number opposite it.

Cowboys attack against the Colts defence

Per gameCowboys offenceColts allow
Passing yards247.9211.8
Rushing yards94.1131.8
Yards per carry3.84.9
Passer rating93.2102.6
Touchdowns3.13.0
Third-down conversion47.5%32.6%
Red-zone conversion71.9%61.9%
Sacks conceded / recorded1.42.0

Colts attack against the Cowboys defence

Per gameColts offenceCowboys allow
Passing yards174.6232.6
Rushing yards116.5152.8
Yards per carry4.15.0
Passer rating68.9102.8
Touchdowns1.93.1
Third-down conversion38.5%51.4%
Red-zone conversion59.1%68.8%
Sacks conceded / recorded2.91.9

Indianapolis have conceded 23 sacks and 24 touchdowns. Dallas have given up 1,222 rushing yards, more than anyone.

Cowboys vs Colts quarterback matchup

Dak Prescott has 14 touchdown passes to five interceptions at 93.2. Daniel Jones has five to nine at 68.7, and Indianapolis rate 68.9 as a team.

TeamQuarterbackLast gameSeason to date
CowboysDak Prescott19/29, 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg197/302, 2046 yds, 14 TD, 5 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games)
ColtsDaniel Jones19/28, 144 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 62.2 rtg162/268, 1542 yds, 5 TD, 9 INT, 68.7 rtg (8 games)
Last game is Week 8. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.

Cowboys vs Colts injury report and team news

Dallas allow opponents to convert 51.4% on third down, the worst rate in the NFL.

Dallas have conceded 1,222 rushing yards, the most in the league, at 5.03 a carry.

Indianapolis rate 68.9 through the air, joint-lowest in the NFL with the Chargers.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week
DALDallas Cowboys
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Devin MooreCBIR
Jonathan BullardDTIR
Kelvin GilliamDTIR
Matt HennessyOLIR
Marist LiufauOLBIR
Malik DavisRBIR
Jalen ThompsonSAFIR
Princeton FantTEIR
INDIndianapolis Colts
No game-status designations filed yet.
Out long-term
Cam Taylor-BrittCBIR
Cameron MitchellCBIR
Arden KeyDEIR
Micheal ClemonsDEIR
Carson TowtTEIR
Alec PierceWRIR
D.J. MontgomeryWRIR

The most rushing yards conceded in football, against a team that can run

One thousand two hundred and twenty-two rushing yards given up, more than any team in the league, at 5.03 a carry — an average only Las Vegas beat. Dallas also allow 51.4% on third down, which nobody matches.

Indianapolis are set up to use it. Nine hundred and thirty-two rushing yards at 4.12 a carry is the one phase that works for them.

Through the air they are the problem: nine interceptions to five touchdowns from Daniel Jones, and a 68.9 team rating that only the Chargers match.

Players to watch

  • Dak Prescott (DAL, QB): 2,046 passing yards and 14 touchdowns at 93.2.
  • CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR): The first read in an offence converting 71.9% in the red zone.
  • Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB): 932 rushing yards at 4.12 a carry.
  • Tyler Warren (IND, TE): A central target in a passing game rating 68.9.

How to watch Cowboys vs Colts

Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

DetailCowboys vs Colts
DateSunday, November 8, 2026
Kickoff6.00pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 1:00 PM ET
VenueLucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
TVSky Sports
Live streamNFL Game Pass (DAZN)
WeekWeek 9, 2026 NFL season

Cowboys vs Colts prediction and score projection

Our Cowboys vs Colts prediction is Dallas by 26-20. The Cowboys concede far too much to be comfortable, but Indianapolis have thrown nine interceptions and cannot keep pace through the air.

The live line and our projected margin both update through the week.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Kickoff (BST)GameOur predictionPreview
Fri 2:15 AMJaguars @ RavensJaguars 27-20Read
Sun 3:30 PMBengals @ FalconsBengals 27-17Read
Sun 7:00 PMBrowns @ SaintsSaints 20-17Read
Sun 7:00 PMCowboys @ ColtsCowboys 26-20You are here
Sun 7:00 PMBroncos @ PanthersBroncos 26-16Read
Sun 7:00 PMLions @ DolphinsLions 30-17Read
Sun 7:00 PMRams @ CommandersRams 27-17Read
Sun 7:00 PMGiants @ EaglesGiants 20-17Read
Sun 7:00 PMJets @ ChiefsChiefs 30-13Read
Sun 10:05 PMTexans @ ChargersTexans 23-17Read
Sun 10:25 PMCardinals @ SeahawksSeahawks 30-16Read
Sun 10:25 PMPackers @ PatriotsPatriots 24-20Read
Sun 10:25 PMRaiders @ 49ers49ers 30-17Read
Mon 2:20 AMBuccaneers @ BearsBears 27-20Read
Tue 2:15 AMBills @ VikingsBills 27-24Read

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Cowboys vs Colts FAQ

What time is Cowboys vs Colts in the UK?

6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Lucas Oil Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.

How can I watch Cowboys vs Colts in the UK?

Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.

Which team concedes the most rushing yards?

Dallas, with 1,222 at 5.03 a carry.

How poor has Daniel Jones been?

Five touchdown passes to nine interceptions, at a 68.7 rating.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change