Cincinnati rate 111.6 through the air and convert 52.9% of their third downs. Both are the best figures in the NFL. Our Bengals vs Falcons prediction is the afternoon kick-off from Madrid.
The Atlanta Falcons are 3-5 and Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 rating. The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-2 at +48.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons
Cincinnati BengalsWin prob70%
Atlanta FalconsWin prob30%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Bengals vs Falcons: our editor’s props
Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Bengals vs Falcons: 2026 form so far
The league’s best passing attack, at the Bernabéu, against a side coming off four interceptions. Each attack in the table is measured against what it is about to face, not against the league.
Bengals attack against the Falcons defence
| Per game | Bengals offence | Falcons allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 288.4 | 223.4 |
| Rushing yards | 80.3 | 118.2 |
| Yards per carry | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Passer rating | 111.6 | 91.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 52.9% | 41.1% |
| Red-zone conversion | 67.9% | 63.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 2.2 |
Falcons attack against the Bengals defence
| Per game | Falcons offence | Bengals allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 188.4 | 237.7 |
| Rushing yards | 134.8 | 122.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Passer rating | 76.6 | 90.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Third-down conversion | 33.3% | 47.3% |
| Red-zone conversion | 63.6% | 41.7% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.9 | 3.3 |
Cincinnati have 23 sacks and hold opponents to 41.7% in the red zone. Atlanta rate 76.6 through the air.
Bengals vs Falcons quarterback matchup
Joe Burrow has 20 touchdown passes to six interceptions at 111.6 and threw for 462 yards last week. Michael Penix Jr. has nine to five at 90.9.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals | Joe Burrow | 38/48, 462 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT, 115.5 rtg | 195/267, 2115 yds, 20 TD, 6 INT, 111.6 rtg (7 games) |
| Falcons | Michael Penix Jr. | 8/24, 125 yds, 0 TD, 4 INT, 12.0 rtg | 104/168, 1282 yds, 9 TD, 5 INT, 90.9 rtg (6 games) |
Bengals vs Falcons injury report and team news
The game is at the Bernabéu in Madrid, with Atlanta the designated home team.
Cincinnati convert 52.9% of their third downs, the best rate in the NFL.
Michael Penix Jr. threw four interceptions last week at a 12.0 passer rating.
Cincinnati BengalsAtlanta FalconsThe best passing offence in football lands in Spain
A 111.6 team passer rating and 52.9% on third down. Cincinnati lead the league in both, and Burrow has 2,019 yards and 20 touchdowns to show for it.
Atlanta’s answer is on the floor: 1,078 rushing yards at 4.61 a carry, against a Bengals front giving up 4.84, which is where this defence is softest.
What they cannot survive is a repeat of last week. Four interceptions at a 12.0 rating is about as badly as an afternoon can go.
Players to watch
- Joe Burrow (CIN, QB): 2,115 passing yards and 20 touchdowns at 111.6.
- Ja’Marr Chase (CIN, WR): The first read in the league’s best third-down offence.
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): Fronts a ground game with 1,078 yards at 4.61 a carry.
- Drake London (ATL, WR): A primary target in an attack rating 76.6 through the air.
How to watch Bengals vs Falcons
Kickoff is 2.30pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, which is 9:30 AM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Bengals vs Falcons |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 2.30pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 9:30 AM ET |
| Venue | Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Bengals vs Falcons prediction and score projection
Our Bengals vs Falcons prediction is Cincinnati by 27-17. Atlanta can run it, and in a neutral stadium the crowd will not decide anything, but the Bengals lead the league in passer rating and on third down.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Bengals vs Falcons FAQ
2.30pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, which is 9:30 AM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
The Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid. Atlanta are the designated home team, so this is not at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Cincinnati, converting 52.9%.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change