New York rate 104.5 through the air and are 2-6. They finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, which is most of the explanation. Our Jets vs Chiefs prediction sends them to Arrowhead.
The Kansas City Chiefs run for 5.08 yards a carry, the best average in the league, and have conceded 12 touchdowns in seven games. The New York Jets have taken 64 penalties.
New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs
New York JetsWin prob16%
Kansas City ChiefsWin prob84%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Jets vs Chiefs: our editor’s props
Two editorial selections to sit with the live Signal read below.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Jets vs Chiefs: 2026 form so far
A team that moves the ball and does not finish, against one that does both. Every attacking figure in the table is shown against the defence it meets on Sunday.
Jets attack against the Chiefs defence
| Per game | Jets offence | Chiefs allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 214.9 | 222.9 |
| Rushing yards | 105.1 | 96.3 |
| Yards per carry | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Passer rating | 104.5 | 80.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.6% | 39.2% |
| Red-zone conversion | 42.3% | 38.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.9 | 1.3 |
Chiefs attack against the Jets defence
| Per game | Chiefs offence | Jets allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 249.0 | 194.0 |
| Rushing yards | 134.1 | 123.6 |
| Yards per carry | 5.1 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 99.7 | 101.6 |
| Touchdowns | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Third-down conversion | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| Red-zone conversion | 57.7% | 62.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.3 | 2.5 |
Kansas City have conceded nine sacks in seven games and hold opponents to 38.9% in the red zone, both among the best marks in football.
Jets vs Chiefs quarterback matchup
Patrick Mahomes has 12 touchdown passes to four interceptions at 99.7 and threw three last week. Geno Smith has 12 to three at 104.5.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | Geno Smith | 20/32, 290 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 99.7 rtg | 165/239, 1913 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT, 104.5 rtg (8 games) |
| Chiefs | Patrick Mahomes | 30/41, 321 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 120.1 rtg | 154/232, 1795 yds, 12 TD, 4 INT, 99.7 rtg (7 games) |
Jets vs Chiefs injury report and team news
New York finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL.
Kansas City run for 5.08 yards a carry, the highest average in the league.
New York have taken 64 penalties and conceded 23 sacks in eight games.
New York JetsKansas City ChiefsA 104.5 passer rating, and a 2-6 record
A 104.5 team passer rating and 1,719 passing yards, and the Jets have won twice. The red zone is where it goes: 42.3% converted is the worst rate in football.
Add 64 penalties and 23 sacks conceded and the shape of a 2-6 season is clear enough.
Kansas City punish exactly that profile. They run for 5.08 a carry, have conceded 12 touchdowns in seven games and hold opponents to 38.9% in the red zone.
Players to watch
- Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB): 1,795 passing yards and 12 touchdowns at 99.7.
- Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB): Fronts the best rushing average in the NFL at 5.08.
- Geno Smith (NYJ, QB): Twelve touchdown passes to three interceptions at 104.5.
- Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR): The first read in a passing game worth 1,719 yards.
How to watch Jets vs Chiefs
Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Jets vs Chiefs |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Jets vs Chiefs prediction and score projection
Our Jets vs Chiefs prediction is Kansas City by 30-13. New York move the ball well enough, but a side finishing 42.3% of its red-zone trips does not win at Arrowhead.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | You are here |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Jets vs Chiefs FAQ
6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Kansas City, at 5.08 yards a carry.
They finish 42.3% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the league, and have taken 64 penalties.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change