Miami allow a 119.5 opponent passer rating and let opponents convert 50.6% of third downs. Both are among the two worst marks in the NFL. Our Lions vs Dolphins prediction sends Jared Goff at them.
The Detroit Lions rate 110.0 through the air and have 24 sacks. The Miami Dolphins are 1-6 and have recorded nine sacks of their own.
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Detroit LionsWin prob77%
Miami DolphinsWin prob23%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Lions vs Dolphins: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Lions vs Dolphins: 2026 form so far
A 5-2 team against a defence that cannot get off the field. The table compares what each team produces with what the other has given up.
Lions attack against the Dolphins defence
| Per game | Lions offence | Dolphins allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 264.0 | 221.0 |
| Rushing yards | 131.4 | 113.1 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Passer rating | 110.0 | 119.5 |
| Touchdowns | 3.4 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 39.0% | 50.6% |
| Red-zone conversion | 66.7% | 64.3% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Dolphins attack against the Lions defence
| Per game | Dolphins offence | Lions allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 166.7 | 276.6 |
| Rushing yards | 123.3 | 96.6 |
| Yards per carry | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Passer rating | 79.7 | 101.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| Third-down conversion | 42.7% | 45.8% |
| Red-zone conversion | 55.6% | 74.1% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 3.0 | 3.4 |
Detroit have 24 sacks, third-most in the league. Miami have nine, which is joint-fewest.
Lions vs Dolphins quarterback matchup
Jared Goff has 15 touchdown passes to one interception at 110.0. Malik Willis has six to five at 79.7.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | Jared Goff | 18/25, 176 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 88.1 rtg | 168/248, 1964 yds, 15 TD, 1 INT, 110.0 rtg (7 games) |
| Dolphins | Malik Willis | 21/32, 211 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 92.1 rtg | 108/183, 1268 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT, 79.7 rtg (7 games) |
Lions vs Dolphins injury report and team news
Miami allow a 119.5 opponent passer rating, the worst figure in the NFL.
Miami let opponents convert 50.6% on third down, second only to Dallas.
Detroit have 24 sacks, third-most in the league; Miami have nine, joint-fewest.
Detroit LionsMiami DolphinsA defence at the bottom of the league in three places
A 119.5 opponent rating, 50.6% allowed on third down and nine sacks. Miami are worst, second-worst and joint-fewest on those three.
Detroit are equipped to use every bit of it: a 110.0 team rating, 24 touchdowns and Goff on 15 scores to a single interception.
The Lions’ own defence is why this is not a formality. Twenty-four touchdowns conceded and 74.1% allowed in the red zone are poor numbers attached to a good team.
Players to watch
- Jared Goff (DET, QB): 1,964 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and one interception.
- Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB): Fronts a ground game with 920 yards at 4.55 a carry.
- Malik Willis (MIA, QB): Six touchdown passes at a 79.7 rating.
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB): Fronts the one Miami phase that works, at 4.45 a carry.
How to watch Lions vs Dolphins
Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Hard Rock Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Lions vs Dolphins |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Lions vs Dolphins prediction and score projection
Our Lions vs Dolphins prediction is Detroit by 30-17. Miami cannot pressure a quarterback or get off the field, and Goff has thrown one interception all season.
The live spread and our projected margin both update through the week.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | You are here |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Lions vs Dolphins FAQ
6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Hard Rock Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
Miami, at 119.5.
One, in seven games, against 15 touchdown passes.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change