Browns vs Saints Prediction & Tips: Week 9

Cleveland have conceded 33 sacks and taken 72 penalties. Both are the worst figures in the NFL and neither is close. Our Browns vs Saints prediction asks how they are 5-3.

The New Orleans Saints convert 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second only to San Francisco, and are 2-5. The Cleveland Browns have scored 139 points in eight games.

Squawka Signal · Model read

Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints

Week 9 · Sun Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the New Orleans Saints favourites by about 3 points, a 59% win probability.

Cleveland BrownsWin prob41%

New Orleans SaintsWin prob59%

Projected lineNew Orleans Saints -3

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Week 9 · Editorial pick

Browns vs Saints: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

AT

Our props

TotalOver 43.5 pointsNew Orleans convert 77.3% in the red zone and concede 47.8% on third down. Cleveland have given up 33 sacks, which tends to produce short fields.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

Player propTyler Shough 1+ passing touchdownShough has 13 touchdown passes in seven games and New Orleans finish 77.3% of red-zone trips. Cleveland allow 48.0%.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org

Browns vs Saints: 2026 form so far

A 5-3 team outscored by 34, away at a 2-5 team outscored by 32. The columns put each side’s output next to what the other has conceded so far.

Browns attack against the Saints defence

Saints attack against the Browns defence

Thirty-three sacks conceded is ten more than any other team has given up. Cleveland have still won five games.

Browns vs Saints quarterback matchup

Deshaun Watson has seven touchdown passes to three interceptions at 91.2. Tyler Shough has 13 to six at 90.9.

Browns vs Saints injury report and team news

Cleveland have conceded 33 sacks, ten more than any other team in the NFL.

Cleveland have taken 72 penalties, also the most in the league.

New Orleans convert 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second only to San Francisco.

Injury report · Week 9Official game-status report — updates through the week

Cleveland Browns

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Damarri MathisCBIR

Alex WrightDEIR

Kalia DavisDTIR

Teven JenkinsGIR

Raheim SandersRBIR

Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLBPUP

New Orleans Saints

No game-status designations filed yet.

Out long-term

Rejzohn WrightCBIR

Bryan BreseeDTIR

Dillon RadunzOLIR

Travis Etienne Jr.RBIR

Ty ChandlerRBIR

Kelvin Banks Jr.TIR

Moliki MatavaoTEIR

Jordyn TysonWRIR

Nick SaldiveriOLPUP

Mason TiptonWRPUP

Thirty-three sacks, 72 penalties, and a winning record

Both figures are the worst in football by a distance, and Cleveland have scored 139 points — only the Chargers, Miami and Philadelphia have fewer.

The defence is the reason for the 5-3: 21 sacks of their own and 48.0% allowed in the red zone.

New Orleans are the opposite shape. They finish 77.3% of their red-zone trips, second-best in the league, and concede 47.8% on third down, which is third-worst.

Players to watch

• Deshaun Watson (CLE, QB): 1,806 passing yards and seven touchdowns at 91.2.
• Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Fronts a ground game averaging 3.93 a carry.
• Tyler Shough (NO, QB): 1,721 passing yards and 13 touchdowns at 90.9.
• Alvin Kamara (NO, RB): Leads an attack converting 77.3% in the red zone.

How to watch Browns vs Saints

Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at the Caesars Superdome, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.

Browns vs Saints prediction and score projection

Our Browns vs Saints prediction is New Orleans by 20-17. Cleveland have the better defence, but 33 sacks conceded and 72 penalties is a profile that loses games on the road.

The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.

Every Week 9 game, previewed

Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.

Browns vs Saints FAQ

18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change