Washington convert 31.9% of their third downs and concede on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips. Both are among the three worst marks in the NFL. Our Rams vs Commanders prediction finds them hosting a team that scores.
The Los Angeles Rams have 25 touchdowns and 2,071 passing yards. The Washington Commanders are 2-4-1 and lost Terry McLaurin to injured reserve on 28 October.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders
Los Angeles RamsWin prob69%
Washington CommandersWin prob31%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: BoyleSports, bet365, Sky Bet.
Rams vs Commanders: our editor’s props
Two editor’s calls on this game, alongside the live Signal numbers.
AT 
Our props
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Rams vs Commanders: 2026 form so far
A side that finishes drives, away at one that cannot stop anybody finishing theirs. Read the table across rather than down: each figure sits beside what will try to stop it.
Rams attack against the Commanders defence
| Per game | Rams offence | Commanders allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 258.9 | 243.0 |
| Rushing yards | 125.5 | 99.1 |
| Yards per carry | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Passer rating | 93.0 | 100.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Third-down conversion | 42.7% | 42.7% |
| Red-zone conversion | 68.8% | 79.2% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 1.5 | 2.3 |
Commanders attack against the Rams defence
| Per game | Commanders offence | Rams allow |
|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 200.6 | 191.9 |
| Rushing yards | 126.6 | 109.2 |
| Yards per carry | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Passer rating | 93.8 | 79.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Third-down conversion | 31.9% | 32.4% |
| Red-zone conversion | 52.6% | 42.9% |
| Sacks conceded / recorded | 2.3 | 1.5 |
Los Angeles allow a 79.7 opponent passer rating and 42.9% in the red zone, both among the better marks in the league.
Rams vs Commanders quarterback matchup
Matthew Stafford has 15 touchdown passes to eight interceptions at 93.2. Jayden Daniels has six and no interceptions at 96.2 from five starts.
| Team | Quarterback | Last game | Season to date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | Matthew Stafford | 17/25, 157 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 81.6 rtg | 204/303, 2146 yds, 15 TD, 8 INT, 93.2 rtg (8 games) |
| Commanders | Jayden Daniels | 16/29, 217 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 90.7 rtg | 91/145, 976 yds, 6 TD, 0 INT, 96.2 rtg (5 games) |
Rams vs Commanders injury report and team news
Washington placed Terry McLaurin on injured reserve on 28 October.
Washington concede on 79.2% of opponent red-zone trips, the third-worst rate in the NFL.
Washington convert 31.9% of their own third downs, second-lowest in the league.
Los Angeles RamsWashington CommandersA red-zone defence that does not hold
Seventy-nine point two per cent of opponent red-zone trips finished against them. Only Seattle and Carolina are worse, and Washington pair it with the second-worst third-down offence in football.
Los Angeles have what it takes to punish that: 25 touchdowns, 2,071 passing yards and 1,004 more on the ground.
Jayden Daniels is why it stays close. Six touchdown passes and no interceptions in five starts is the most efficient thing Washington have, even without McLaurin.
Players to watch
- Matthew Stafford (LA, QB): 2,146 passing yards and 15 touchdowns in eight games.
- Kyren Williams (LA, RB): Fronts a ground game with 1,004 yards at 4.71 a carry.
- Jayden Daniels (WAS, QB): Six touchdown passes and no interceptions at 96.2.
- Deebo Samuel Sr. (WAS, WR): A senior target with McLaurin on injured reserve.
How to watch Rams vs Commanders
Kickoff is 6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Northwest Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET. Channel 5 and 5ACTION show selected games free-to-air each Sunday, and those are not affected by the blackout. Check their listings for this week’s picks. Sky Sports has the UK coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky takes one exclusive pick from each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Rams vs Commanders |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, November 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6.00pm GMT Sun 8 Nov / 1:00 PM ET |
| Venue | Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD |
| TV | Sky Sports |
| Live stream | NFL Game Pass (DAZN) |
| Week | Week 9, 2026 NFL season |
Rams vs Commanders prediction and score projection
Our Rams vs Commanders prediction is Los Angeles by 27-17. Daniels keeps this honest for a while, but a red-zone defence this soft against an attack with 25 touchdowns ends one way.
Our projected margin updates on this page as the week’s team news lands.
Every Week 9 game, previewed
| Kickoff (BST) | Game | Our prediction | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 2:15 AM | Jaguars @ Ravens | Jaguars 27-20 | Read |
| Sun 3:30 PM | Bengals @ Falcons | Bengals 27-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Browns @ Saints | Saints 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Cowboys @ Colts | Cowboys 26-20 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos 26-16 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Lions @ Dolphins | Lions 30-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Rams @ Commanders | Rams 27-17 | You are here |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Giants @ Eagles | Giants 20-17 | Read |
| Sun 7:00 PM | Jets @ Chiefs | Chiefs 30-13 | Read |
| Sun 10:05 PM | Texans @ Chargers | Texans 23-17 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Cardinals @ Seahawks | Seahawks 30-16 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Packers @ Patriots | Patriots 24-20 | Read |
| Sun 10:25 PM | Raiders @ 49ers | 49ers 30-17 | Read |
| Mon 2:20 AM | Buccaneers @ Bears | Bears 27-20 | Read |
| Tue 2:15 AM | Bills @ Vikings | Bills 27-24 | Read |
Every fixture in the round is covered across our NFL UK hub, and the 32 club pages sit on the NFL teams hub.
Rams vs Commanders FAQ
6pm GMT on Sunday 8 November at Northwest Stadium, which is 1:00 PM ET.
Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game of the season, live or on demand. Sky holds one exclusive pick in each of the two Sunday afternoon windows, and those two reach Game Pass 24 hours after the final whistle. Channel 5 and 5ACTION carry the week’s free-to-air games, and those are not blacked out.
No. Washington placed him on injured reserve on 28 October.
Opponents finish 79.2% of their trips, the third-worst rate in the NFL.
18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change