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    Houston Texans

    Houston Texans Odds & Predictions

    AFCAFC SouthElo 1633.2 · #6 of 32
    0-02026 record

    Squawka Signal’s projected line and win probability for every Texans game this season, plus AFC South standings and Super Bowl odds.

    Squawka SignalModel vs market

    Texans 2026 outlook

    78.8%Make playoffs
    51.2%Win AFC South
    13.6%No.1 seed
    12.8%Win AFC
    6.9%Win Super Bowl
    MarketSquawkaKalshiPolymarketGapRead
    Texans Super Bowl odds6.9%4.2%4.0%+2.6Fair
    Texans AFC Championship odds12.8%10.1%10.8%+1.9Fair
    Texans AFC South odds51.2%Model read
    Next game · Week 1BUFvs Buffalo BillsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

    Moneyline

    Squawka56% (-127)
    Market50% (-100)
    Gap+6.0 pts

    Against the spread

    ProjectedHOU -1.5
    Total44.0

    Signal read

    Value
    KalshiPolymarketProphetX

    Squawka Signal is a 538-lineage Elo model with a 10,000-run Monte Carlo season simulation. Market prices are de-vigged to fair probability. Model numbers are a view, not a guarantee. 21+. Play responsibly.

    AFC South standings and division odds

    Records begin after Week 1. Division and playoff odds are the model’s, from a 10,000-run season simulation.

    TeamRecordWin AFC SouthPlayoffs
    HOUHouston Texans–51.2%78.8%
    JACJacksonville Jaguars–41.8%74.2%
    INDIndianapolis Colts–6.8%24.1%
    TENTennessee Titans–0.2%0.8%
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    Houston Texans schedule, results and lines

    Every game with the model’s win probability and projected line, against the market spread where it’s priced.

    WK 1vsBUFBuffalo BillsSun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET56%win prob-1.5proj line-100market priceRead preview
    WK 2vsCINCincinnati BengalsSun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET71%win prob-5.8proj line-127market price
    WK 3@INDIndianapolis ColtsSun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET64%win prob-3.7proj line–market
    WK 4vsDALDallas CowboysSun Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET74%win prob-6.8proj line–market
    WK 5@TENTennessee TitansSun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET77%win prob-7.8proj line–market
    WK 6@JACJacksonville Jaguars Neutral siteSun Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET53%win prob-0.8proj line–market
    WK 7vsNYGNew York GiantsSun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET77%win prob-8.0proj line–market
    WK 8Bye week
    WK 9@LACLos Angeles ChargersSun Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET54%win prob-0.9proj line–market
    WK 10@CLECleveland BrownsSun Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET69%win prob-5.3proj line–market
    WK 11vsINDIndianapolis ColtsThu Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET73%win prob-6.4proj line–market
    WK 12vsBALBaltimore RavensSun Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET63%win prob-3.5proj line–market
    WK 13@PITPittsburgh SteelersSun Dec 6, 8:20 PM ET55%win prob-1.3proj line–market
    WK 14@WASWashington CommandersSun Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET66%win prob-4.2proj line–market
    WK 15vsJACJacksonville JaguarsSun Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET58%win prob-2.1proj line–market
    WK 16@PHIPhiladelphia EaglesThu Dec 24, 8:15 PM ET51%win prob-0.3proj line–market
    WK 17@GBGreen Bay PackersMon Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET54%win prob-1.1proj line–market
    WK 18vsTENTennessee Titans FlexSun Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET83%win prob-10.5proj line–market

    Texans injury report

    No designations filed yet for Week 1.

    Latest Texans coverage

    Bills vs Texans Prediction: Picks, Odds & Week 1 PreviewMatch preview · Today

    Houston Texans roster

    81 players · tap to open

    Offense 40

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    18Graham MertzQB2Florida
    10Davis MillsQB6Stanford
    7C.J. StroudQB4Ohio State
    44British BrooksRB3North Carolina
    25Jawhar JordanRB1Louisville
    4Woody MarksRB2USC
    32David MontgomeryRB8Iowa State
    26Noah WhittingtonRBOregon
    82Lewis BondWRBoston College
    14Kayshon BoutteWR4LSU
    12Nico CollinsWR6Michigan
    1Tank DellWR4Houston
    81Jayden HigginsWR2Iowa State
    19Xavier HutchinsonWR4Iowa State
    85Josh KellyWR1Texas Tech
    13Jaylin NoelWR2Iowa State
    89Daniel SobkowiczWRIllinois State
    25Mitch TinsleyWR3Penn State
    17Jared WayneWR1Pittsburgh
    9Brevin JordanTE6Miami (FL)
    83Marlin KleinTEMichigan
    88Zaire Mitchell-PadenTE2Florida Atlantic
    87Foster MoreauTE8LSU
    86Dalton SchultzTE9Stanford
    8Cade StoverTE3Ohio State
    60Jake AndrewsC4Troy
    62Ka'ena De CambraCArizona
    69Ed IngramG5LSU
    64Febechi NwaiwuGOklahoma
    66Keylan RutledgeGGeorgia Tech
    75Wyatt TellerG9Virginia Tech
    77Trent BrownOT12Florida
    79Aireontae ErseryOT2Minnesota
    76Sam HagenOTSouth Dakota State
    70James Neal IIIOTIowa State
    57Blake FisherT3Notre Dame
    67Max PircherT1Hildesheim
    71Braden SmithT9Auburn
    78Nate ThomasT3Louisiana
    63Evan BrownOL8SMU

    Defense 38

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    90Jadeveon ClowneyDE13South Carolina
    95Ali GayeDE3LSU
    96Logan HallDE5Houston
    54Sabastian HarshDENC State
    92Dylan HortonDE4TCU
    55Danielle HunterDE12LSU
    51Will Anderson Jr.DE4Alabama
    94Dominique RobinsonDE5Miami (OH)
    73Dominic BaileyDTTennessee
    97Mario Edwards Jr.DT11Florida State
    93Kayden McDonaldDTOhio State
    98Sheldon RankinsDT11Louisville
    53Junior TafunaDT1Utah
    72Tommy TogiaiDT5Ohio State
    0Azeez Al-ShaairLB8Florida Atlantic
    59Aiden FisherLBIndiana
    35Jake HansenLB5Illinois
    56Jamal HillLB3Oregon
    33Jake HummelLB5Iowa State
    52K.C. OssaiLB1Louisiana
    45E.J. SpeedLB8Tarleton State
    39Henry To'oTo'oLB4Alabama
    30Wade WoodazLBClemson
    53Chris BraswellOLB3Alabama
    34Bryce HallCB6Virginia
    28Alijah HuzzieCB1North Carolina
    24Derek Stingley Jr.CB5LSU
    3Kamari LassiterCB3Georgia
    22Jaylin SmithCB2USC
    11Tremon SmithCB9Central Arkansas
    37Collin WrightCBStanford
    6Reed BlankenshipSAF5Middle Tennessee
    2Calen BullockSAF3USC
    20Ja'Marcus IngramSAF3Buffalo
    36George OdumSAF9Central Arkansas
    5Jalen PitreSAF5Baylor
    27Kamari RamseySAFUSC
    29M.J. StewartSAF9North Carolina

    Special teams 3

    #PlayerPosExpCollege
    15Ka'imi FairbairnK11UCLA
    38Kai KroegerP2South Carolina
    40Austin BrinkmanLS2West Virginia