Texans vs Browns Prediction, Picks & Odds

C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week. Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL. Our Texans vs Browns prediction is a passing offense against a scoring problem.

The Houston Texans are 3-5 but at +17, and the Cleveland Browns 5-4 at -35. Only one of those records matches the point difference behind it.

Week 10 · Editorial pick

Texans vs Browns: our editor’s props

Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal’s live numbers.

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Our props

Player propC.J. Stroud 270+ passing yardsHouston average 269 passing yards a game, third in the NFL, and Stroud threw 384 last week.

★★★★☆4/5 confidence

Player propCleveland under 2 touchdownsCleveland score 1.7 a game, 29th, and convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst in the NFL.

★★★☆☆3/5 confidence

An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Texans vs Browns: 2026 form so far

A 3-5 team outscoring its record against a 5-4 team being outscored by 35. The table sets each attack against what the opposite defense has actually allowed.

Texans attack against the Browns defense

Browns attack against the Texans defense

Cleveland convert 39.1% of their red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the NFL, and run for 97 yards a game.

Texans vs Browns quarterback matchup

C.J. Stroud completed 21 of 35 for 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 in a 44-22 win. Shedeur Sanders went 19 of 31 for 297 and two scores at 114.6.

Texans vs Browns injury report and team news

C.J. Stroud threw five touchdowns at a 125.5 rating last week.

Cleveland convert 39.1% in the red zone, the worst rate in the NFL.

Houston are 3-5 but +17; Cleveland are 5-4 but -35.

The third-best passing offense against the worst red zone in football

Houston throw for 269 yards a game, third in the NFL, and Stroud rates 104.1 on the season. Last week he had 384 and five scores in a 44-22 win.

What Houston do not do is run it: 87 yards a game at 3.57 a carry are 29th and 30th. Cleveland’s defense is built for exactly that, conceding 4.72 a carry but only 201 through the air.

Cleveland’s own problem is the 20-yard line. They convert 39.1% of red-zone trips, the lowest rate in the league, which is how a team with the sixth-best pass defense is at -35.

Players to watch

• C.J. Stroud (HOU, QB): 384 yards and five touchdowns at 125.5 last week.
• Tank Dell (HOU, WR): A primary target in a passing game throwing for 269 a game.
• Shedeur Sanders (CLE, QB): 297 yards and two touchdowns at 114.6 last week.
• Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB): Carries a run game averaging 97 yards a game.

How to watch Texans vs Browns

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15 at Huntington Bank Field, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the broadcast.

Texans vs Browns prediction and score projection

Houston win 26-17. Cleveland’s defense is good enough to keep this close and their red zone is the reason it will not be enough.

The live spread and our projected margin both update on this page through the week.

Every Week 10 game, previewed

The rest of the round sits in our weekly NFL picks and our NFL hub. The outright markets are priced in Super Bowl LXI odds. For the player side of this game, see NFL player props.

Texans vs Browns FAQ

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change